Global Plan to Stop TB 2016 2020 Stop

Global Plan to Stop TB 2016 -2020 Stop TB Partnership 28 th October, 2014 | | Barcelona, Spain

Rhetoric to Action: The Global Plan for TB • First Global Plan to Stop TB: 2001 -2005 • A ten-year Global Plan: 2006 -2015 • 5 -year Global Plan: 2011 -2015 Global Plan for 2016 -2020 2001 -2005 2006 -2010 2011 -2015 2016 -2020 The next 5 -year Global Plan: 2016 -2020

Global Estimates 2015 Reaching MDGs and STOP TB Targets by 2015? Falling 1. 5% per year Target 41% decline since 1990 Target 45% decline since 1990 ü 2015 MDGs related targets on TB prevalence and mortality may not be reached in all regions ü TB incidence declining far too slowly Source: Global Tuberculosis Report 2014

The Challenge Projections to 2035 compared with current trends Global Plan for 2016 -2020

Other Challenges Global Plan 2016 -2020 challenges ØEstimated 3 million people with TB missing ØGaps in addressing TB/HIV co-epidemics ØOnly 1 in 5 MDR-TB receiving treatment ØInsufficient tools to combat the disease ØWeak health policies, systems and services ØSocial and economic determinants maintain TB ØFunding not secure

The Global Plan 2016 -2020 Global Plan for 20162020 Bending the Curve: A global investment framework to win the fight against TB • Show what it takes to set the world on the right track to reach the goals set in the WHO post 2015 Global TB Strategy • It will describe the different responses needed in different regions of the world in order to “bend the curve” of TB incidence and mortality • It will provide an estimate of costs and impact of activities on disease burden

The Global Plan 2016 -2020 1 ü Country grouping based on epidemiology, health systems and socioeconomic and political characteristics

The Global Plan 2016 -2020 2 ü Investment packages, consisting of interventions appropriate for each country group, will be modelled for cost and impact Clinical Interventions : q Diagnosis q Treatment q Prevention Systems Interventions 100 INVESTMENT PACKAGES Package Country Group 1 $$ Impact Reduction in TB Incidence between 2016 -2020 (/100 K) 75 Package Country Group 2 $$ 50 Package Country Group 3 $$ 25 Package Country Group 4 $$ 0 Baseline Investment Packages

The Global Plan 2016 -2020 What will the Global TB Plan deliver? ü Funding requirement for accelerated TB response for the period 2016 -2020 - Implementation (Investment packages) -Research and Development ü Impact of funding on the TB epidemic – Modelling of incidence, prevalence and mortality globally and by country groups

Timeline Mar. ‘ 14 Start Q 3 -Q 4 ‘ 14 Modelling, Country Missions & Regional Consultations Early-’ 15 Community/ CS & Stakeholder Consultation Mid-’ 15 Sept. ‘ 15 Oct. ‘ 15 Draft for inviting comments on the web Endorsement by the Stop TB Board Launch