General Background The Microscopic Representation of Complex Macroscopic

(-∞) General Background: The Microscopic Representation of Complex Macroscopic Phenomena, , Annual Reviews of Computational Physics II p 243, ed D. Stauffer, World Scientific 1995 Complexity a Science at 30, Europhysics News Feb-March 2003 p 54

(-∞) General Background: The Microscopic Representation of Complex Macroscopic Phenomena, , Annual Reviews of Computational Physics II p 243, ed D. Stauffer, World Scientific 1995 Complexity a Science at 30, Europhysics News Feb-March 2003 p 54 Fig 1 Map of Complexity and its Neighbouring Fields (for a more detailed interactive version see http: //complexity. cogniview. com/Map. Index. html )

-1) Realistic Market Modeling Platforms (Lev) A microscopic model of the stock market; Cycles, booms and crashes, Economics Letters 45 (1994) 103 -111. Behaviorally realistic simulations of stock markets; Traders with a soul, Computer Physics Communications 121 -122 (1999) 161. http: //xxx. lanl. gov/abs/adap-org/9901003 Microscopic Simulation of Financial Markets, Academic Press, New York, 2000.

Kahneman-Tversky

Lev Thesis; The string market: Statistical Mechanics of Conventional Traders May Lead to Non-Conventional Market Behavior, Physica Scripta. Vol. T 106, 41, 2003 Stock market shock explained Physicists model recent trading frenzy. Market 'spikes' are seen by traders as freak events. Physicists expect them, Thursday October 3, 2002

Lev; Frantisek; The Interacting Gaps Model: Physica A 330 (2003) 232. Given offered prices around current price at intervals Limit order (left unsaturated at current price) Limit order

One may have a new limit order close to the current price: changing the price by 1 tick Limit order

Or one may have a new market order that eliminates the order at the current price and goes to the first neighbor: and Limit order

Or one may have a new market order that eliminates the order at the current price and goes to the first neighbor followed by the next limit order and Limit order

Else one may have a new market order that eliminates the order at the current price at the common price and goes to the first neighbor followed by the next limit order and Limit order If one has M limit orders per Market order, the distribution of interval lengths is A power laws with exponent given by the implicit transcendental equation: For M~1 one gets ~1. 9 consistent with the market data and not with the continuous approx

0) Social Critical Percolation, Social percolation models Physica A: 277 (1 -2) (2000) 239 http: //shum. huji. ac. il/~sorin/soc-per. ps Gerard Social Percolators and Self Organized Criticality in Handbook of Graphs and Networks: From the Genome to the Internet, p. 113 eds. S. Bornholdt and H. G. Schuster, Wiley-VCH, Berlin, 2002. Anti-Percolation; antivirus ; Parallel Networks (SN); herding (Tom help)

Density of potential adopters: 26 /48 > 50%

Percolation transition From non-sales at all to a lot of sales Infinitely sharp at infinite size system

0) Social Critical Percolation, Social percolation models Physica A: 277 (1 -2) (2000) 239 http: //shum. huji. ac. il/~sorin/soc-per. ps Gerard Social Percolators and Self Organized Criticality in Handbook of Graphs and Networks: From the Genome to the Internet, p. 113 eds. S. Bornholdt and H. G. Schuster, Wiley-VCH, Berlin, 2002. Anti-Percolation; antivirus ; Parallel Networks (SN); herding (Tom help)

prob

Effects of Expectations Adaptation ÞSelf tunning to criticality ÞFractal fluctuations and correlations

ALSO: effects of Expectations Adaptation Fractal space-time fluctuations Product Success prediction (15/ 17)

Resistance

Resistant Accepted already Acceptant

Resistant Acceptant blocked Accepted already Acceptant

Resistance Resistant Accepted already Acceptant

“ANTI-Percolation” Antivirus

Consumption; Home No herding Workplace Expectations Parallel Networks Consumption; home Work + Expectations No herding Consumption+ Expectations= Herding

0. 1 Testing the Turing Test; Do Men Pass the Humanity Test? International Journal of Modern Physics C (Ruthy; to appear)

2) Stability of Pareto-Zipf law in non-stationary economies in: Economics with heterogeneous interacting agents, ed. A. Kirman and J. B. Zimmermann, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, 2001 p 141 http: //xxx. lanl. gov/abs/cond-mat/012479 Co-Evolutionist Stochastic Dynamics: Emergence of Power-Laws. Power-laws in stochastic Lotka-Volterra-Eigen-Schuster Systems in: "Towards Cognitive Economics", Eds: P. Bourgine and J. -P. Nadal, Springer (2003). 3) Can one predict and verify predictions in Economics? Connecting wealth distribution exponent to market returns exponent Pioneers on a new continent: on physics and economics Quantitative Finance (Io. P) Vol 3, No 1, C 12 Feb 2003 Go To special presentation

4) AB- Model, Emergence of Localized, Adaptive, Resilient objects from Noise, The importance of being discrete: Life always wins on the surface Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, Vol. 97, Issue 19, 10322 -10324, September 12, 2000 http: //xxx. lanl. gov/abs/adap-org/9912005 The risk of being unfair, the unstable fate of globalization (2003) Artific Life 4(9) 357 Innovations Refuse to Die: -The Unforeseen Longevity of Society Fundamental Ideas. (2004) Technological forecasting and Social Change In press The Immune self; Emergence of the Body Self-Cognition Proliferation and competition in discrete biological systems. (2003) Bulletin of mathematical biology 65(3) 375 -396 Go To special presentation

5) Artificial Creativity Creative Sparks Science 285: 1495 -1496, 1999; http: //shum. huji. ac. il/~sorin/creativesparks. htm Communication at the speed of sound Herald Tribune

6) Diagonal Link and Novelty Emergence Templates of original innovation: Projecting original incremental innovations from Figure 2 b: General scheme intrinsic information underlying the replacement version (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change, May, Vol. 61/1 P. 1 -12. of the pictorial analogy template 7) What are Stories made of? What Are Stories Made Of? Quantitative Categorical Deconstruction of Creation International Journal of Modern Physics C, Vol. 11, No. 4 (2000) 827 -835 http: //xxx. lanl. gov/abs/cond-mat/0008192

8) Traces of Mind; Emergence of Meaning in Drawings Emergence of Representation in Drawing: The Relation Between Kinematic and Referential Aspects Cognitive Development 13, 25 -51 (1998)

9) Microscopic Seers and the emergence of 3 d vision Restricted Ability to Recover 3 D Global Motion from 1 D Motion Signals: Theoretical Observations, Vision Research 35 (1995) 569 -578. 10) Complexity Faces the Music. Structures of the Mind and Universal Music Science 2001 June 29; 292: 2433 http: //shum. huji. ac. il/~sorin/structures. htm 11) Solving Traffic Jams: Human Intervention or Self-Organization? International Journal of Modern Physics, Vol. 14, No. 8 p 1007 12) Living Tree of knowledge; Discussion. District; Self-mapping, Self-Organization and Dynamical Ontology of Communities

13) Networks and K-cores scaling K~(1+ L/M) 14) Genetic vs Internet network; A Copy of gene at other location C B A B 253270, Z=23 36546, Z=46 C 826, Z=2. 83 D 442, Z=2. 22 Surf->link