Future Telecommunication of Japan Yoshiyuki Sukemune Naoshi Sato

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Future Telecommunication of Japan Yoshiyuki Sukemune Naoshi Sato Communications and Information network Association of

Future Telecommunication of Japan Yoshiyuki Sukemune Naoshi Sato Communications and Information network Association of Japan November, 2007

Contents 1. Broadband Services 2. Mobile Communication Services 3. Next Generation Networks 2

Contents 1. Broadband Services 2. Mobile Communication Services 3. Next Generation Networks 2

Contents 1. Broadband Services 3

Contents 1. Broadband Services 3

Fixed BB Service: Sub’s in Japan (Million sub’s) (Yr/Mth) Total Diffusion rate per household

Fixed BB Service: Sub’s in Japan (Million sub’s) (Yr/Mth) Total Diffusion rate per household 12. 2 14. 9 17. 6 19. 6 21. 4 23. 3 25. 1 26. 4 27. 2 25. 9% 31. 7% 37. 4% 41. 6% 45. 5% 47. 1% 50. 7% 53. 3% 54. 9% Source: MIC (Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications) 4

Fixed BB Services: Fee & Speed Monthly Charge (US$) DSL FTTH CATV Approx. 23

Fixed BB Services: Fee & Speed Monthly Charge (US$) DSL FTTH CATV Approx. 23 to 28 32 to 47 28 to 37 Max. Speed (Mbps) previous 8 -12 100 8 -10 current Down 12 -50 Up 2 -5 Up & Down 100 Down 30 -160 Up 2 -10 Exch Rate: 1 US$ / 120 JPY Source: MIC 5

Contents 2. Mobile Communication Services 6

Contents 2. Mobile Communication Services 6

Growth of Mobile Com. Sub’s 3 G (72%) 1999 Start of mobile internet access

Growth of Mobile Com. Sub’s 3 G (72%) 1999 Start of mobile internet access service Internet accessible (87%) 2001 Start of 3 G service With built-in camera 85%) 2000 First mobile phones with cameras Number of mobile phone subscribers Aug. HSDPA Oct. MNP Million Sub’s Source: TCA (FY) 7

Business Model of Mobile Internet Service Now Hereafter Information charge Official site: Fixed rate

Business Model of Mobile Internet Service Now Hereafter Information charge Official site: Fixed rate Unofficial site: Free / Direct payment to ICP All-in-one fixed rate PC site: Pay-per-use Communication charge Pay-per-use ar n at si In m of (9 % Co fo rm m is io on fe ch n at io m or In f n io at rm fo In ch e ar ge s ) ge s Contents provider Information charges Mobile Carrier Users Packet communications charges 8

Diverse Applications Communication Tool l. Int’l roaming ð 151 countries l. Mail ð Up

Diverse Applications Communication Tool l. Int’l roaming ð 151 countries l. Mail ð Up to 2 MB data attachable ð Plenty of pictogram preinstalled l. Push to Talk ð Up to 20 people Entertainment Gear l. Music ð 1. 5 M Tunes with flat monthly charge l. Games ð Up to 1 MB program l. Digital TV Broadcast “One Seg. ” ð Free ð Available in urb Life Kit l. Info services ð Weather, stock quotes, restaurants, events le-wallet – m-commerce ð Ticket & Seat reservations ð Trading stocks ð Functions as trainpasses, tickets, keys ð Credit card functions l. Security ð Authentication 9

Contents 3. Next Generation Networks 10

Contents 3. Next Generation Networks 10

Transition of Telecom Networks Current networks Next generation networks IP network PSTN Routers PCs

Transition of Telecom Networks Current networks Next generation networks IP network PSTN Routers PCs NGN Full IP-based SIP IMS Mobile phone IP網 network Switching systems Subscriber phones (IP phones) Broadband Cell phones TVs PCs Subscriber phones (IP phones) Cell phones 11

NTT’s Roadmap for NGN FY NGN Implementation Core network 2006 2007   2008 - STEP

NTT’s Roadmap for NGN FY NGN Implementation Core network 2006 2007   2008 - STEP 1 Field trials Building relay network lrelay nodes loptical wave length transmission devices Service Control Functions FTTH users: 30 mil. (Mar. , 2011) STEP 2 STEP 3 Building subscriber networks Seamless access with mobile networks ledge nodes Service control functions by IMS (ITU standard conformance) Service Launch Field trial service (areas, users limited) Full-scale NGN • Broadband Internet access • IP phone • IP-Multicast services • 2 -way video (data) communication • Ethernet services, etc. 12

Challenges for NGNs - 1 Convergence of Telecom & Broadcasting RF (Wireless) Broadcasters Cable

Challenges for NGNs - 1 Convergence of Telecom & Broadcasting RF (Wireless) Broadcasters Cable CATV operators NGN Telecom carriers Termination of analog TV in 2011 Different Laws for Telecom and Broadcasting Copyright Limitation on Network Transmission for TV Program Coordination among Stakeholders’ Interests 13

Challenges for NGNs - 2 Competition Rules for IP-based Telecom Industry • Network Neutrality

Challenges for NGNs - 2 Competition Rules for IP-based Telecom Industry • Network Neutrality - - Changes in Business Model Current Model (Vertical Type) IP-based (Horizontal Type) CATV Telecom Broadcasting Contents ICPs Platform ISPs Networks (NGN) Telecom Carriers • Universal Service --- Expansion of Communication Media Voice Communications IP Phone, Mobile Phone, BB? • FMC --- Inside Conflict among Telecom Carriers 14

Challenges for NGNs - 3 Access fees NTT vs Other Telecom Carriers Explosive growth

Challenges for NGNs - 3 Access fees NTT vs Other Telecom Carriers Explosive growth of P 2 P traffic by high speed, low fixed rates 15

Evolution toward Ultra Hi-productive Society NEW INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE Creation of Unconventional Business ICT Industry

Evolution toward Ultra Hi-productive Society NEW INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE Creation of Unconventional Business ICT Industry Renovation New Generation Network 16