Forecasting the Future of Your Name Here Note

Forecasting the Future (of. . . ) Your Name Here Note: This is a basic framework for a presentation. You may add as many slides as you need. 1

Why My Topic is Important • This topic is important in its own right because… • This topic has many important implications for other things… 2

What Exactly am I Forecasting? • How my topic is defined • The limits between my topic and other topics • What is the time period for my forecast, when do I expect it to come true • How I will know if my forecast is correct, what are the measures or indicators 3

Trend Analysis • What have the past trends been? • What is the likelihood of these trends projecting into the future? • Will future trends be linear, or do I expect turning points? • Links to evidence and examples 4

Technological Developments • Key Technological Developments in this field have been. . • Experts in the field expect the following developments in the forseeable future • Links to evidence and examples 5

Preferences and Values • Different views about what we would like to happen • My own opinion • Links to examples 6

A Scenario • What might the world look like in ten or twenty years? • What role will my topic be playing at that time • Are there alternative plausible scenarios? 7

A Forecast • What I think is most likely • How certain or uncertain I am 8

Goals • What I would like to have happen • Why 9

Next Steps • What could we do now to make the future better? • How certain are we that these steps would work? 10