Final report Final report elements Foreword Expert statement

Final report

Final report – elements Foreword: Expert statement Asymmetry method – by Dec 10, feedback by Dec 20 th Methodological review - by Dec 10, feedback by Dec 20 th Descriptive analysis on total level - by Dec 10, feedback by Dec 20 th Results specific examinations Corrections Conclusions 2

Asymmetry method We explain how we conducted our analysis: § § § Choice of data and source (comext/comtrade) Currency Choice of asymmetries for examination Absolute and relative asymmetries Other 3

Methodological review No major methodological problems identified which may explain asymmetries Minor issues identified: Missing import of cars § High exemption threshold for export § Country of dispatch instead of country of origin § Volatile currency § 4

Descriptive analysis on total level Aggregated and absolute asymmetries: § § § Asymmetry for total import and export Asymmetry for value vs volume Consitency over time Major countries and codes Benchmarked against other countries 5

Results of specific examinations For each of the asymmetries which we analyse § Description - § Explanation - § Absolute and relative size Share of total trade for country and code Constistency over time Etc. Commodity classification Country of origin different from exporting country Transit trade Etc. Overview of data corrections done 6

Conclusions Summary of work done and evaluation Overview of reasons for asymmetries 7