FEWSION for Community Resilience Improving Community Resilience Using

FEWSION for Community Resilience Improving Community Resilience Using the Power of Data and Community Engagement Sean Ryan, Northern Arizona University 6/4/2019 21 st Annual Emergency Management Higher Education Symposium, June 3 -7, 2019

Welcome and Introduction What is F 4 R™? § Why Food, Energy, and Water? § Why Supply Chains and Data? § Why Citizen Science and Community Engagement? F 4 R™ Goals: § Learning about food, energy, and water at multiple scales § Building community capacity through engagement § Using data and visualizations as a foundation for conversations and problem solving Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 2

Welcome and Introduction What is one of your favorite foods? § Use a marker and write down the food item. Also, write the abbreviation for the state you are from, then post your information on the “Favorite Foods” poster. § Networking – Introduce yourself to at least 3 people around you. Share your name, title, role, and where you are from. § We are going to engage in a data-driven scenario to explore the layers and components developed through the FEWSION for Community Resilience (F 4 R™) process Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 3

Your Food Providers Where do you get your food? § What influences your choices? § What impacts do your food choices have? § Where does that food originally come from and how does it get to you? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 4

Food Providers for a Community: Flagstaff, AZ § Population: 70, 000 § Northern Arizona § Brainstorm and Concept Map: § What organizations and/or individuals do you think provide food for this community? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 5

Food Providers for a Community: Flagstaff, AZ § Population: 70, 000 out of about 140, 000 in Coconino County (County is larger than 9 states) § Largest community in NAZ. 145 miles from a big city (Phoenix) Brainstorm and Concept Map: § What organizations and individuals do you think provide food for this community? § Where does that food come from? § How does it get there? § How much food does this community need? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 6

Total Annual Food Inflow for Coconino County, AZ Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 7

Total Annual Food Outflow for Coconino County, AZ Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 8

Basic Supply Chain FEMA NIC Supply Chain Resilience Guide, Draft, Dec 17, 2018, Figure 1. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 9

The Purpose of F 4 R™ Supply Chain Mapping “Developing an understanding of supply chains will enable urban communities to better manage resources, influence policy decisions, and alter public consumptive patterns” Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 10

Local or “Last Mile” Supply Chain Resilience Suppliers Distributors Manufacturers • • Consumers Key Terms Supply Node/origin—Warehouse, distribution center, etc. Demand node/destination—Grocery store, gas station, pharmacy, etc. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 11

Disruption Risks § Supply chain risk management is concerned with identifying and mitigating a host of risks—from coordination of supply and demand to minimizing disruption of normal activities. § This includes disruption risks such as: § Operational contingencies § Natural hazards § Terrorism § Political instability § These risks can occur anywhere along the supply chain continuum. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 12

What is your record for snowfall? Flagstaff, February, 2019: 35. 9 inches in less than 24 hours! https: //www. washingtonpost. com/weather/2019/02/22/highly-unusual-event-leaves-arizona-digging-out-inch-snowfall-that-shatteredrecords/? noredirect=on&utm_term=. 931 d 94 a 07122 Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 13

Roads Closed! § What impacts might an event like this have on the community food, energy, and water supply chain? § Who might be the most susceptible to these impacts? https: //www. google. com/maps/place/Arizona Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 14

What is the Urban Metabolism of Your Community? Toronto § 6 days of gas § 20 days of food § 2 months of heating § Water? Bristow, David N. , and Christopher A. Kennedy. "Urban metabolism and the energy stored in cities: Implications for resilience. " Journal of Industrial Ecology 17. 5 (2013): 656 -667. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 15

Snow Disruption Summary § Flagstaff was shut down (all major highways had some level of closure from 24 hours to 8 days), and the airport was closed for over 48 hours § Some food, energy, and water systems were impacted, none of severe nature, but ran right up to the edge § Some individuals needed medical assistance, there was mild flooding in the subsequent snowmelt, there were many added costs due to closures and snow removal § This event gave some unofficial measurements of Flagstaff’s urban metabolism Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 16

So, how do you map and measure the resilience of a food supply chain? Step 0: Recruit Research Teams Identify Driving Questions Step 1: Map and Identify Key Owners and Operators Step 2: Building Relationships and ID Potential Actions through Interviews Step 3: Providing Public Products and Connecting Stakeholders Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 17

Where to Start? Grocery Stores § Private big box providers supply most food to many communities § It is important to understand the distribution center connections § These retail locations may be important for community support during an emergency event Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 18

Where to Start? Food Banks § Provide for vulnerable individuals § Willing to share data § Often already linked to emergency management, public health, and private sector (grocery store) representatives at state, regional, and local levels § Increasing the capacity and network links of food bank partners increases resilience of the community Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 19

Relevant Actor Network Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 20

Once You Start to Visualize and Understand the FEW System… You can pick and choose: § What scale to work on § What sector to begin with Start to Identify: Who might be critical in the supply chains of your community What is their role and who else do they know About how much of the community’s FEW they provide Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 21

FEWSION™ General Supply Chain Diagram Pala, O. ; FEWSION General Supply Chain Diagram https: //fewsion. us/education 22 Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019

Structure § A local coordinator leads efforts to recruit, deliver content, train, and engage community members § Students and citizen volunteers commit: § meeting sessions/classes § assignments § data collection and entry § community engagement § visualization and analysis of data § Community Report § Iterative and flexible design Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 23

What Data Does F 4 R™ Collect? FEWS Commodities and Infrastructure: Organizations - Facilities - Types and amounts Received/Supplied - Transportation § What store/retailer/provider gets FEWS commodities to the consumers? § Where are the facilities located? Where do they get their supplies? How much do they provide? Social Intelligence Data: Processes, Activities, People - Communication and Decision Making § Who runs/makes decisions for these organizations/facilities? What factors influence those decisions? How can we best engage and collect data from these individuals? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 24

Break Time § Before you get up, write down a question or something you would like to see/know Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 25

Mesoscale Data Tool: FEW-View – Free, Open, State and County Data Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 26

LA Shakeout Scenario What are the direct effects? What about cascading effects? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 27

Earthquake Scenarios Impacting Your Community § Flagstaff § Your Community § Los Angeles § Cascadia § New Madrid https: //earthquake. usgs. gov/earthquakes/byregion/arizona-haz. php Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 28

Key Mesoscale Supply Chain Considerations § Downstream Effects § Custodians of infrastructure § Who might be critical in the supply chains of… § your community? § the communities that you depend on? § the communities who depend on you? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 29

Questions About Mesoscale FEW? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 30

What is FEWSION for Community Resilience? § A data driven project focuses on the food-energy-water system (FEW) for a given community § It leverages the power of citizen researchers and builds a community’s capacity for RESILIENCE through data collection and community conversations § It can answer questions like: § Where does my food, energy, and water come from? § How resilient is my community’s FEW? § How vulnerable is my community’s FEW? § Who in my community is responsible for FEW? Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 31

The Food-Energy-Water Nexus: Transforming Science for Society We may need to: Decrease demand Increase supply Increase storage buffers Increase transportation and trade capacity § Manage change § Emphasize science at fine and meso scales where actionable solutions exist § § Scanlon, B. R. , B. L. Ruddell, P. M. Reed, R. I. Hook, C. Zheng, V. C. Tidwell, and S. Siebert (2017), The food‐energy‐water nexus: Transforming science for society, Water Resour. Res. , 53, 3550– 3556, doi: 10. 1002/2017 WR 020889. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 32

F 4 R™ Core Values § A central premise of the F 4 R™ process is that the solutions and opportunities to improve community resilience and increase adaptive capacity will be driven by community members. § Understanding FEW systems and their connections is essential for policy decisions, planning, and development. § F 4 R™ can be utilized in many different settings across the country. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 33

Reflection, Discussion, and Collaboration How might a community use F 4 R for preparedness, mitigation, response, and recovery? § Reflect on the content, discuss ideas with a small group and share an application or key takeaway with the whole group. Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 34

Tools and Resources § FEW-View: https: //fewsion. us/ § F 4 R Overview and Updates: https: //fewsion. us/f 4 r/ § Curriculum and facilitator guide § Additional professional and technical support will be provided for the F 4 R Network § F 4 R is actively seeking communities and universities willing to pilot the materials and process in 2019 -2020 § Contact: Sean. Ryan@nau. edu, (928) 523 -0990 Sean Ryan/ F 4 R Project Coordinator June 4, 2019 35