Externalities on highways Today We apply externalities to

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Externalities on highways Today: We apply externalities to a real-life example

Externalities on highways Today: We apply externalities to a real-life example

Today n A real-life example with externalities n n Automobile congestion We can use

Today n A real-life example with externalities n n Automobile congestion We can use some economic tools to analyze the situation n n Equilibrium Market failure

Congestion n We will look at possible solutions to the problem n n Tolls

Congestion n We will look at possible solutions to the problem n n Tolls on congested routes Building our way out of congestion HOV lanes Private highways and express lanes n n Monopoly power? Public transit and city design

Recall route choice experiment from early in the quarter n n n Choose between

Recall route choice experiment from early in the quarter n n n Choose between a highway and a bridge in each of the 4 rounds Travel time on HW: 20 minutes Travel time on bridge: 9 + T minutes, where T is the number of bridge travelers

Simple case with a toll n n Suppose each car has 1 driver If

Simple case with a toll n n Suppose each car has 1 driver If we charge a toll, let the toll be $5 per car

Route choice and externalities n n Earlier this quarter, we used an activity to

Route choice and externalities n n Earlier this quarter, we used an activity to show that there is equilibrium on this route network w/o tolls: 11 cars on the bridge However, there are externalities involved whenever an additional car travels on the bridge

Why charging a toll is useful n Without tolls, the bridge and highway have

Why charging a toll is useful n Without tolls, the bridge and highway have the same travel times in equilibrium n n Take away the bridge and nobody’s travel time changes No social value to the bridge With tolls, some people can have shorter travel times

Aren’t tolls costs too? n n If bridge tolls go to government, these are

Aren’t tolls costs too? n n If bridge tolls go to government, these are just transfers of money Toll revenue can offset tax money that has to be collected n Remember that taxes have DWL, except in a case like this where externalities are present n In this case, an optimal tax can reduce DWL

Equilibrium with tolls n Each minute is $1 in time costs (per person) n

Equilibrium with tolls n Each minute is $1 in time costs (per person) n n n Cost to travel on HW $20 Cost to travel on bridge time cost + $5 What is equilibrium? n Each person on the bridge has $15 in time cost travel time of 15 minutes 6 cars on the bridge

In the following analysis… n …we assume 1 person per car n n This

In the following analysis… n …we assume 1 person per car n n This is so that we can more simply determine efficiency …we assume 20 cars that must travel from A to B

Efficiency: Lowest total minutes for all drivers # on bridge Travel time on bridge

Efficiency: Lowest total minutes for all drivers # on bridge Travel time on bridge Total minutes for bridge travelers Total minutes for highway travelers Total minutes for all drivers 1 10 10 380 390 2 11 22 360 382 3 12 36 340 376 4 13 52 320 372 5 14 70 300 370 6 15 90 280 370 7 16 112 260 372 8 17 136 240 376 9 18 162 220 382 10 19 190 200 390 11 20 220 180 400

What is efficient? 5 or 6 on bridge # on bridge Travel time on

What is efficient? 5 or 6 on bridge # on bridge Travel time on bridge Total minutes for bridge travelers Total minutes for highway travelers Total minutes for all drivers 1 10 10 380 390 2 11 22 360 382 3 12 36 340 376 4 13 52 320 372 5 6 14 15 70 90 300 280 370 7 16 112 260 372 8 17 136 240 376 9 18 162 220 382 10 19 190 200 390 11 20 220 180 400

Applying our problem to real traffic problems n n Los Angeles metro area Some

Applying our problem to real traffic problems n n Los Angeles metro area Some refer many of these freeways to be parking lots during rush hours

What are some potential ways to solve this problem? n n Some people believe

What are some potential ways to solve this problem? n n Some people believe that we can build our way out of congestion Let’s examine this problem in the context of our activity

Suppose our activity from week 2 n n n No tolls Bridge travel time

Suppose our activity from week 2 n n n No tolls Bridge travel time is 9 + T, where T represents the number of bridge travelers Equilibrium: T = 11, 20 minute travel times for all

Increased capacity on bridge n n New technology leads to bridge travel time at

Increased capacity on bridge n n New technology leads to bridge travel time at 9 + 0. 733 T Equilibrium: T = 15, 20 minute travel times for all

What happens with increased bridge capacity? n n Increased capacity leads more people to

What happens with increased bridge capacity? n n Increased capacity leads more people to travel on the bridge This is known as the increased bridge capacity creating its own demand

In the real world n Increasing freeway capacity creates its own demand n n

In the real world n Increasing freeway capacity creates its own demand n n Some people traveling during non-rush hour periods will travel during rush hour after a freeway is expanded Freeway expansion often costs billions of dollars to be effective during peak travel periods

HOV lanes n n HOV lanes attempt to increase the number of people traveling

HOV lanes n n HOV lanes attempt to increase the number of people traveling on each lane (per hour) These attempts have limited success n n n Benefit of carpool: Decreased travel time Cost of carpool: Coordination issues Problem: Most big cities on the west coast are built “horizontally” sprawl

Private highways n n n Look at a short video on LA traffic WARNING:

Private highways n n n Look at a short video on LA traffic WARNING: This video is produced by reason. tv, an organization that advertises “Free minds and free markets” After the video n n I would like your thoughts about whether or not you believe the suggestions in the video will help solve our commuting problems We will discuss benefits and costs about private highways

Some references in the video Highway 405: Often one of the busier freeways in

Some references in the video Highway 405: Often one of the busier freeways in the LA metro area; however, recent expansion has helped some Highway 91 Express Lanes: Part success, part failure

Why could private highways be successful? n n n Uses prices to control congestion

Why could private highways be successful? n n n Uses prices to control congestion Private financing would prevent tax money from having to be used More private highways would decrease demand for free roads

Potential problems for private highways n Monopoly power n n n Positive economic profits

Potential problems for private highways n Monopoly power n n n Positive economic profits if not regulated Clauses against increasing capacity on parallel routes Loss of space for expansion of “free” lanes Contracts are often long (30 -99 years) Private highways are often built in places with low demand n Tollways in Orange County

Possible solution: Public control over priced highways n This is what happened on the

Possible solution: Public control over priced highways n This is what happened on the 91 Express Lanes in Orange County (eventually) n If a highway is privately built n n Monopoly problems Public buy-out of the privately-built lanes n With public control, more carpooling has been encouraged

Benefits of public control of priced highways n n Gasoline taxes can be reduced

Benefits of public control of priced highways n n Gasoline taxes can be reduced in congested areas to offset congestion pricing Pricing increases efficiency, unlike taxes Non-commuting traffic has an economic incentive to travel during times of little or no congestion Trips with little economic value can be avoided n Remember: With externalities, these trips have Social MB < Social MC

91 Express Lanes toll schedule $9. 55 toll going eastbound on Thursdays, 4 pm

91 Express Lanes toll schedule $9. 55 toll going eastbound on Thursdays, 4 pm hour

Public transit and city design n People often hope that public transit is the

Public transit and city design n People often hope that public transit is the solution n However, many people hope that “someone else” takes public transit n n n Why? Slow, inconvenient, lack of privacy See article on class website for a funny look at public transit Public transit can only be a long-term solution if it is faster and less costly than driving

Public transit and city design n City designs usually make public transit difficult for

Public transit and city design n City designs usually make public transit difficult for many people to use effectively n n n Sprawl leads to people originating travel in many different places Express buses are difficult to implement Local buses are slow, used mostly by people with low value of time

Public transit and city design n City planners can make public transit more desirable

Public transit and city design n City planners can make public transit more desirable n n n Increased population density near public transit Areas with big workplace density, especially near bus routes and rail lines Designated bus lanes to make bus travel faster than driving solo

Public transit and city design n The problem with these potential solutions n n

Public transit and city design n The problem with these potential solutions n n n People in these cities want their single family homes, low density neighborhoods People value privacy highly This leads to the externality problems of congestion

Summary n n Congestion is a big economic problem in the US, due to

Summary n n Congestion is a big economic problem in the US, due to the externalities involved There are many possible solutions n Each has its advantages and disadvantages