Exercise Drone Delivery 1 Future of Transportation Exercise

Exercise Drone Delivery 1

Future of Transportation Exercise 3: The Process • The Basic Process – Develop A Vison of the Future (Future State) • How Does the Trend / Concept Affect The Future? • What will it Disrupt or Change in the Market? • Why Will it Matter? – Evaluate the Current State • What is Happening Today? • What Works, What Doesn’t? • What Issues Exist Right Now? – Develop a Gap Analysis • The Process of Analyzing the Current State and Projecting it to the Future State to Determine What is Missing or What Must be Done to Achieve the Future State 2

Future of Transportation Trend Title: Current State Trends Description Cost Impact Scalable xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx 3

Future of Transportation Trend Title: Future State Trends Description Cost Impact Scalable xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx 4

Future of Transportation Trend Title: Gap Analysis Issues Description Cost Dependencies Timing xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx 5

The Future of Transportation Build Diagram for Your Trend (Title Here) Drone Technology Small Drone Military Drone Commercial Drone Too small for Freight consolidation “Limited Range” Infrastructure 2017 First Rural Airports Look at Drone Operations (Establish Specific Areas for Drones) Rural Airports Set up Standards 2018 for Small Drone Use Market Realization Increased Labor Pool Military Drawdown of Service Personnel Evolved Avionics Freight Holding Capability Rural Airports Allow Unmanned Large Commercial Drones (Limited) Commercial Drone Creation LTL or Parcel Company Establishes Regular Unmanned Operation at Rural Airport NLT 2022 Interest Develops in Large Drones Approves First Broad Unmanned Flight Plans Establishes Large Drone Air Guidelines Defines Large Drone Airspace FAA Establishes Small Drone Use Regulation Unmanned Freight Drones 2025 2022 2018 2016 Full Scale Commercial Drone LTL Pilots Rural Value Proposition for Commercial Drones Develop LTL or Parcel Companies Evaluate Drones Early Pilots with Small Drones Fail 2022 2025 Unmanned Drones Leveraging Rural Airports 2025 2027 2025 Commercial Drone Delivery (Rural Areas) Time Horizon: 10 -15 Years (2025 – 2030) 2023 2018 2016 Business Model 6