ESRC Population Change Research Challenge and UPTAP John

ESRC Population Change Research Challenge and UPTAP John Stillwell, UPTAP Coordinator Presentation to the BSPS Annual Conference University of St Andrews, 11 September 2007

Presentation • ESRC ‘Population Change’ Research Challenge • ESRC initiatives underway • Research Centres Competition • UPTAP programme • Call for UPTAP User Fellowships

ESRC’s Key Research Challenges • Succeeding in the global economy • Energy, the environment and climatic change • Understanding individual behaviour and its relationship to biological and social determinants • Population change • International relations and security • Religion, ethnicities and society Source: ESRC’s 2005 -2010 Strategic Plan

Population Change Key Challenge • Understanding the processes of demographic restructuring – changing childbearing patterns, household structures, ageing and migration • Understanding change in UK in an international comparative context • Build on existing portfolio of work in the field

Portfolio of Existing ESRC Initiatives Relevant to Population Change • New Dynamics of Ageing (£ 20 million interdisciplinary programme funded by all Research Councils – What are the influences shaping the ageing process and how can the consequences be managed to benefit older people? (Directed by Alan Walker, Sheffield) (Deadline for Second Call for grants is 14 Nov 2007) • Understanding Population Trends and Processes (UPTAP) programme – details to follow • Centre on Migration, Policy and Society (COMPAS) – integrated approach to understanding migration in UK and EU (Directed by Steve Vertovec, Oxford) • Centre on Micro-Social Change (MISOC) – uses data from BHPS to look at household behaviour (Directed by Steve Pudney, Essex)

Other activities that relate to population change • Families and Social Capital Research Group – inter-relationship between dynamics of family change and social resource processes (Co-Directed by Rosalind Edwards and Janet Holland, London South Bank) • Scottish Demography – 6 projects on fertility, migration and ageing in Scotland (now completed) • Gender Equality Network (Ge. Ne. T) – dynamics of gender equality (Co-ordinated by Jacqueline Scott, Cambridge) • Social Contexts and Responses to Risk (SCARR) – such as those examining perceptions of risk and responses to risk in areas of family change and intimate relationships (Coordinated by Peter Taylor-Gooby, Kent) • ESRC/BSPS/ONS public policy seminars held in 2006

…. and …. . • Census Programme 2006 -2011 - one stop gateway to data and support services to access the UK census and other census resources (Directed by Dave Martin, Southampton) (Latest Call for development projects closed on 4 September 2007) • National Centre for e-Social Science (NCe. SS) - investigating use of Grid infrastructure and tools within the social sciences (Directed by Peter Halfpenny, Manchester) - some projects have a demographic component e. g. Modelling and Simulation for e-Social Science (Mo. Se. S) at Leeds (Latest call for research nodes closed on 3 July 2007) • National Centre for Research Methods (NCRM) - focal point for the identification, development and delivery of an integrated national research and training programme improving the quality and range of methodological skills and techniques (Directed by Chris Skinner, Southampton) (Latest call for nodes closed on 24 July 2007)

Population Challenge Key Research Questions 1. What are the interconnections between declining fertility, migration and ageing? 2. What are the explanations for below replacement level fertility in much of Europe? What are its long-term impacts? 3. What are the political, social and economic implications of increased migration within and to the EU?

ESRC Research Centres Competition, 2007 -08 • ESRC funding up to 3 Centres for period of 10 years (each with approx £ 1 million per year) • ‘Population Change’ and ‘Energy, the Environment and Climate Change’ are the two challenges identified for new investment • The previous questions provide some guidelines for new ‘Population Change’ Centre • Interdisciplinary, micro and macro and mixed methods • International comparative and collaborative research perspective • Might want to consider linkage of social data (longitudinal, cohort studies, BHPS) and biomedical data • Provide robust evidence to inform policy debates • Closing data for call was 4 September 2007 - decision in March 2008

UPTAP Understanding Population Trends and Processes

Primary aims • To build capacity in secondary data analysis (amongst new and mid-career researchers) • To promote the use of large-scale social science data sets, both qualitative and quantitative (making better use of ESRC investments) • To improve our understanding of the demographic trends and processes which affect society • To collaborate and communicate with user (policy-making) communities beyond the academic sector

Links with other ESRC initiatives • Those mentioned previously but also • ESRC Research Methods Programme • ESRC Researcher Development Initiative

Overview • Round 1 UPTAP projects commissioned during summer 2005 • Some projects began in October 2005 • Coordinator started in November 2005 • Four year programme (ending November 2009) • 25 projects involving 40 researchers at the moment • Initial workshop for policy-makers at LGA in November 2006 • Annual conferences for researchers in March 2006 and 2007

Initial UPTAP awards • • • 4 Postdoctoral Fellowships 6 Mid-career Research Fellowships 1 User Fellowship 7 Small Research Grants 3 Large Projects (with linked studentships) Subsequent UPTAP awards • 1 Small Research Grant • 3 User Fellowships

• Disciplines represented epidemiology; economics; geography; politics; primary care and social medicine; public health; sociology; social policy • Organisations represented Universities: Birkbeck; Birmingham; Bristol; City; Dundee; Edinburgh; Imperial; Institute of Education; Leeds; LSE; LSHTM; Manchester; Newcastle; Oxford; St Andrews; Sheffield; Stirling; Surrey; UCL Other: Audiences London; Family Fund; ONS

Project Start Dates and Timelines September 2007

THEMES • Demographic change - residential change • Fertility - motherhood - childlessness • Living arrangements - childcare • Cohabitation - mobility • Health - wellbeing - employment • Education • Identity - ethnicity - segregation • Social and political values See flyer for details

Main British and European data sources used British Cohort Study (BCS) British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) British Election Study (BES) British Social Attitudes (BSA) Survey Census of Population (CAS, SMS, SWS, STS) Economic and Social Data Service (ESDS) International English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) ‘Ethnic Minority Psychiatric Illness Rates in the Community’ (EMPIRIC) study European Community Household Panel (ECHP) European Social Survey (ESS) European Values Survey (EVS) Family Expenditure Survey (FES) Family Resources Survey (FRS) General Household Survey (GHS) Health Survey for England (HSE) Home Office Citizenship Survey (HOCS) Labour Force Survey (LFS) Millennium Cohort Study (MCS) Multinational Time Use Study (MTUS) ‘Muslims in Europe’ (ME) study National Child Development Survey (NCDS) National Survey of Ethnic Minorities (NSEM) ONS Longitudinal Study (LS) Mid-year Population Estimates Vital Statistics (VS) Youth Cohort Study (YCS)

UPTAP Round 2 • Summer 2006: ESRC decided to provide further £ 1. 4 million to UPTAP for projects with special focus on theme of ‘ethnicity’ – Round 2 • 33 applications – 12 new projects recently announced: 8 small grants 2 large grants 1 Postdoctoral Fellowship 1 Research Fellowship

UPTAP Round 2 Awards PI Institution Type of award Title Ethnic Neighbourhoods and Integration Zhiqiang Feng St Andrews Small grant Neighbourhoods and the creation, stability and success of mixed ethnic unions Nissa Finney Manchester Research Fellowship Ethnic Group Population Change and Integration: A Demographic Approach to Small Area Ethnic Geographies Albert Sabater Manchester Postdoctoral Fellowship Estimating segregation and diversity of ethnic groups over time in England Wales, 19912001 Lavinia Mitton Kent Small grant ‘Black Africans’ in Britain: Integration or Segregation Antonia Simon Institute of Education Small grant Exploring the movement of people from different ethnic groups into or out of wards with high or low density of their own ethnic group Immigration and Employment Marina Shapira Edinburgh Small grant Understanding the Labour Market Impact of Immigration in Britain

UPTAP Round 2 Awards PI Institution Type of award Title Ethnicity and Health Vanessa Higgins Manchester Small grant Ethnic differences in diet, physical activity and obesity Xuan-Mai Stafford UCL, Manchester Large grant Racial Discrimination and Health: exploring the possible protective effects of ethnic identity Ethnicity and Crime Paula Kautt University Small grant Ethnic Variation in Criminological Experiences: A Single and Multilevel Statistical Analysis of British Crime Survey Data, 2001 -2006 Liz Twigg Portsmouth, Southampton Small grant Exploring the Goodhart thesis at the local scale: neighbourhood social heterogeneity and perceptions of quality of life in the British Crime Survey Projections of Ethnic Populations Sylvia Dubuc Oxford Small grant Demographic characteristics and projections of ethnic minority and religious groups Phil Rees Leeds Large grant What happens when international migrants settle? Ethnic group population trends and projections for UK local areas under alternative scenarios

Importance of collaboration and communication ‘users’ (beyond the academic sector) • UPTAP web site • UPTAP Communications Strategy • UPTAP User Fellowships

Home page: www. uptap. net

Events page

News items

Number of UPTAP web site visits in 2007 Source: Lycos Web Hosting, accessed 13. 00 on Monday 9 September 2007

UPTAP Communications Strategy • Identify communications objectives: - Initially, raising awareness about the initiative and opportunities for user involvement - later on, dissemination of results of research to users • Target user audiences: - Central Government officers - MPs - local authority officers - regional administrators - those working in non-government administrative organisations (e. g. NHS) - others

Creation of database of practitioner/user organisations Association of Census Distributors (ACD); Association of Geographical Information (AGI); Association for Research in the Voluntary and Community Sector (ARVAC); Association of Public Health Observatories (APHO); Association of Regional Observatories (ARO); Audit Commission; British Society for Population Studies (BSPS); British Urban and Regional Information Systems Association (BURISA); Central and Local Government Information Partnership (CLIP); Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG); General Register Office Scotland (GROS); Government Social Research Unit (GSRU); …………………. and so on

Documentation and Participation • UPTAP flyers (series) • Short articles about UPTAP in Newsletters (e. g. BURISA) • UPTAP Research Findings (series) • UPTAP launch seminar for policy-makers at the LGA • UPTAP sessions within user conferences (e. g. BURISA, LARIA, …) • Bespoke workshops for particular groups of users (e. g. MPs, ONS, civil servants, . . . ) • Contribution to Social Science Week • Conference for practitioners (2008/09) • These activities matched with parallel series of academic outputs: journal papers; book chapters; books; conferences; ….

UPTAP Research Findings U P T A P R e s e a r c h F i n d i n g s

Childbearing on Hold Roona Simpson • Uses British Cohort Studies for 1958 and 1970 to identify trends in childbearing and childlessness

Minority Ethnic Groups in the British Labour Market Yaojun Li • Uses pooled data for 33 years from GHS and LFS • Identifies time series trends by ethnic group in: - employment - unemployment - salariat - weekly pay ….

UPTAP User Fellowships • Opportunity for young/mid career researcher in a user organisation to work on secondary data analysis with academic in a centre of excellence • Aims to enhance collaboration and build capacity • Should be some training involved • Funding covers salary costs for up to 6 months (or 12 months part-time) with max funding of £ 50 K • Initial task is to find an academic supervisor • Academic makes Je. S application (guidelines provided) and provides mentoring (costs covered) • Deliverables include presentations, papers for journals and Research Findings • Two calls so far resulting in 4 projects

Current User Fellowships • • • User Fellow: Daniel Guinea Martin, ONS Partner organisation: Institute of Education Project: “Trends in Gender and Ethnic Occupational Segregation in England Wales: Longitudinal Evidence” • Start date: 1 Jan 2006 • Daniel using the LS to look at occupational segregation during the 1990 s at both the aggregated and individual levels, allowing him to gain enhanced skills that, in his role as LS User Support Officer at ONS, will inform and add value to the use of the LS by others

• • • User Fellow: Orian Brook, Audiences London Partner organisation: University of St Andrews Project: “Demographic Indicators of Cultural Consumption” • Start data: 1 March 2007 • Orian is doing secondary analysis of large data sets relating to consumption of the performing arts administrative data collected when tickets are sold and is aiming to answer questions such as: - What are the best geodemographic and socioeconomic predictors of arts attendance? - Do these vary by region, art form, location of venue, etc

• User Fellow: Domenica Rasulo, ONS • Partner organisation: City University • Project: “Decomposition of changes in disability-free life expectancy by cause: England, 1991 -2001” • Start date: 1 April 2007 • Domenica is aiming to identify the mortality and disability factors underlying the change in disabilityfree life expectancy observed in England in the decade 1991 -2001, work which will help define priorities in the field of public health and improve the assessments of targeted health priorities

• • • User Fellow: Mark Woolley, Family Fund Partner organisation: Newcastle University Project: “Understanding the unmet needs of families with severely disabled children” • Start date: 1 October 2007 • The Family Fund holds a national dataset of families with disabled children • Mark is looking at whether the environment is as important as intrinsic impairment in terms of levels of participation in everyday life; i. e. would the same disabled child in a different environment have a different level of participation

UPTAP User Fellowships Round 3 • Call should be announced on ESRC web site very shortly – 1 October 2007 • Aiming for around 10 Fellowships • Deadline is mid-January 2008 • Commissioning in March 2008 • Awards announced in May 2008 Look at www. uptap. net for details

UPTAP Co-ordinator John Stillwell School of Geography University of Leeds LS 2 9 JT Email: j. c. h. stillwell@leeds. ac. uk

ASAP A new, international, peer-reviewed journal with a specific focus on the practical application of analytical principles and findings at different spatial scales ASAP concentrates on presenting the results of applications of GIS and quantitative modelling methods, including those commissioned or sponsored by public or private sector organizations Papers welcome NOW ASAP web site http: //www. springer. com/west/home? SG WID=4 -102 -70 -173734904 -0