EPI 2670 Injury Epidemiology Transportation Related Injuries Thomas

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EPI 2670: Injury Epidemiology Transportation Related Injuries Thomas Songer, Ph. D University of Pittsburgh

EPI 2670: Injury Epidemiology Transportation Related Injuries Thomas Songer, Ph. D University of Pittsburgh

Types of Transportation

Types of Transportation

Top Ten Public Health Achievement

Top Ten Public Health Achievement

History of Crashes Fatality Rate per 100 Million Vehicle Miles

History of Crashes Fatality Rate per 100 Million Vehicle Miles

Studying the Epidemiology of Injuries from Crashes

Studying the Epidemiology of Injuries from Crashes

The Accident Triumvirate • Environment • Vehicle • Driver

The Accident Triumvirate • Environment • Vehicle • Driver

The Crash Sequence • Pre-crash Period • Crash Period • Post-crash Period

The Crash Sequence • Pre-crash Period • Crash Period • Post-crash Period

The Haddon Matrix use for planning, resource allocation, strategy identification Human Vehicle Environment Pre-event

The Haddon Matrix use for planning, resource allocation, strategy identification Human Vehicle Environment Pre-event Event Post-event

How do we know what the impact of crashes are?

How do we know what the impact of crashes are?

Surveillance: Systematic, regular ascertainment of incidence using methods distinguished by their practicality, uniformity, and

Surveillance: Systematic, regular ascertainment of incidence using methods distinguished by their practicality, uniformity, and frequently their rapidity, rather than by complete accuracy. Last, 1990

Definition of Crashes • • • Police-reported crashes Fatal crashes Self-reported crashes Insurance-reported crashes

Definition of Crashes • • • Police-reported crashes Fatal crashes Self-reported crashes Insurance-reported crashes Injury-producing crashes Property-damage producing crashes

Fatality Analysis Reporting System

Fatality Analysis Reporting System

FARS Police Accident Reports State vehicle registration files State driver licensing files State Highway

FARS Police Accident Reports State vehicle registration files State driver licensing files State Highway Department data Death certificates Coroner/Medical examiner reports Hospital medical records Emergency medical service reports

Fatality Analysis Reporting System 39, 187 fatal motor vehicle crashes occurred in the United

Fatality Analysis Reporting System 39, 187 fatal motor vehicle crashes occurred in the United States in 2005, and 43, 443 deaths occurred in these crashes.

Fatal Crashes, 1975 -2003

Fatal Crashes, 1975 -2003

Persons Killed, United States, 1975 -2003

Persons Killed, United States, 1975 -2003

Fatal Accidents in Pennsylvania Number 1, 562 % Speed % Alcohol Related 16. 1

Fatal Accidents in Pennsylvania Number 1, 562 % Speed % Alcohol Related 16. 1 32. 9 Costs (millions) $ 4, 385 All figures are 1997 State of Pennsylvania Department of Transportation

GES General Estimates System

GES General Estimates System

USA Crash Rates By Severity per 100 million VMT Fatal 1. 4 Injury 77

USA Crash Rates By Severity per 100 million VMT Fatal 1. 4 Injury 77 Property 156 Damage 6, 279, 000 total crashes 1999 FARS, GES

What are the descriptive factors related to crashes?

What are the descriptive factors related to crashes?

Vehicular Age Human Gender Experience Alcohol Failure Fatigue Design Road Cond. Speed Traffic Weather

Vehicular Age Human Gender Experience Alcohol Failure Fatigue Design Road Cond. Speed Traffic Weather Environmental

Driver Involvement Rates in Crashes by Gender and Crash Severity per 100, 000 licensed

Driver Involvement Rates in Crashes by Gender and Crash Severity per 100, 000 licensed drivers Males 50 40 30 20 10 0 Fatal 1999 GES/FARS Females

Crash Death Rates per 100, 000 population by Age and Gender 1999 FARS

Crash Death Rates per 100, 000 population by Age and Gender 1999 FARS

Motor Vehicle Crash Death Rates among Males by Country, 1980 Age group

Motor Vehicle Crash Death Rates among Males by Country, 1980 Age group

Percent of Drivers in Crashes with Alcohol Involvement by Age Group Fatal Injury Age

Percent of Drivers in Crashes with Alcohol Involvement by Age Group Fatal Injury Age (in years) 1999 GES/FARS

Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes by Previous Driving Record Previous Crashes Previous Suspensions Previous

Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes by Previous Driving Record Previous Crashes Previous Suspensions Previous DWI Convictions Previous Speeding Convictions Other Moving Violations No Previous Convictions 14. 8% 12. 4% 3. 4% 21. 0% 17. 6% 57. 3% 1999 FARS

Proportion of Vehicles Involved in Traffic Crashes 1999 GES/FARS

Proportion of Vehicles Involved in Traffic Crashes 1999 GES/FARS

Crash Rates by Type of Vehicle per 100 million vehicle miles traveled Fatal Crashes

Crash Rates by Type of Vehicle per 100 million vehicle miles traveled Fatal Crashes 1997 FARS

Crash Rates by Type of Vehicle per 100 million vehicle miles traveled Injury Property

Crash Rates by Type of Vehicle per 100 million vehicle miles traveled Injury Property Damage 1997 GES

USA Crash Rates by Month per 100 million vehicle miles traveled 1999 GES/FARS

USA Crash Rates by Month per 100 million vehicle miles traveled 1999 GES/FARS

Crash Rates by Road Type, 1997, Pennsylvania (per 100 million VMT) Penn. DOT

Crash Rates by Road Type, 1997, Pennsylvania (per 100 million VMT) Penn. DOT

Crashes by Hour of Day, PA Number 1997 Penn. DOT

Crashes by Hour of Day, PA Number 1997 Penn. DOT

Alcohol Involved Crashes by Time of Day Number of Crashes 1999 GES, FARS Morning

Alcohol Involved Crashes by Time of Day Number of Crashes 1999 GES, FARS Morning Evening

Alcohol Related Crashes by Time of Day 1999 GES, FARS Property Damage Morning Injury

Alcohol Related Crashes by Time of Day 1999 GES, FARS Property Damage Morning Injury Fatal Injury Evening

Crash Severity by Posted Speed Limit Property Damage Injury Fatal Injury % 1999 GES/FARS

Crash Severity by Posted Speed Limit Property Damage Injury Fatal Injury % 1999 GES/FARS

Research Issues

Research Issues

No Standard Definition of Crashes • Police-reported crashes – under-reports non-fatal & less severe

No Standard Definition of Crashes • Police-reported crashes – under-reports non-fatal & less severe events • Self-reported crashes – drivers with impairments may under-report • Injury-producing crashes – does not include less severe events • Property-damage producing crashes – under-reporting to insurance companies

General Underreporting of Accidents Various sources suggest that about half the motor vehicle crashes

General Underreporting of Accidents Various sources suggest that about half the motor vehicle crashes in the country are not reported to the police, the majority of these unreported crashes involve only minor property damage and little personal injury.

Death Rates per 10, 000 Vehicles Registered by Country Ethiopia Bangladesh Swaziland Ecuador Hong

Death Rates per 10, 000 Vehicles Registered by Country Ethiopia Bangladesh Swaziland Ecuador Hong Kong

MMUCC Model Minimum Uniform Crash Criteria Important Data Elements • • Crash Date &

MMUCC Model Minimum Uniform Crash Criteria Important Data Elements • • Crash Date & Time Place Manner of Crash Weather Conditions Road Condition Vehicle Make VIN • • • Total Occupants Seating Position Injury Status Seat Belt Use Alcohol Involvement Air bag Deployment

CODES To measure benefits in terms of reducing death, disability, and medical costs, NHTSA

CODES To measure benefits in terms of reducing death, disability, and medical costs, NHTSA determined that statewide data were needed that included all persons involved in policereported crashes -those who were injured as well as those who were not injured.

Prevention of Injuries from Motor Vehicle Accidents • • • Changes in Highway Design

Prevention of Injuries from Motor Vehicle Accidents • • • Changes in Highway Design Changes in Vehicle Design Seat Belts Air Bags Speed Limits Changes in Licensing

Air Bags Work (except for a few) - Up through December 1999, air bags

Air Bags Work (except for a few) - Up through December 1999, air bags have saved an estimated 4969 lives. - In purely frontal crashes, air bags reduce car driver deaths by 26 -32 percent. - Since 1990, 175 deaths have been caused by airbags