Emissions Carbon dioxide emissions based on macroeconomic growth
Emissions
Carbon dioxide emissions based on macroeconomic growth assumptions U. S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions AEO 2021 economic growth cases billion metric tons 6, 0 2020 history projections High Economic Growth 5, 0 Reference Low Economic Growth other cases 4, 0 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 0, 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 2
Energy-related carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions by sector and fuel source Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by sector AEO 2021 Reference case billion metric tons 3, 0 2020 history projections Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by fuel AEO 2021 Reference case billion metric tons 2020 history projections 3, 0 2, 5 petroleum 2, 0 transportation 2, 0 1, 5 industrial 1, 5 1, 0 electric power 1, 0 natural gas coal 0, 5 0, 0 1990 residential commercial 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 0, 5 0, 0 1990 2000 2010 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2020 2030 2040 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 3
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions based on oil price assumptions U. S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions AEO 2021 oil price cases billion metric tons 6, 0 2020 history projections Low Oil Price Reference High Oil Price other cases 5, 0 4, 0 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 0, 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 4
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by sector based on oil price assumptions Carbon dioxide emissions by sector, AEO 2021 oil price cases Reference case Low Oil Price case High Oil Price case billion metric tons 2, 5 2020 history projections 2, 5 2, 0 1, 5 2020 history projections transportation 1, 5 industrial 1, 0 electric power 1, 0 0, 5 residential 0, 5 0, 0 2010 commercial 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2020 2030 2040 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 5
Generation and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions based on oil and natural gas supply assumptions Generation and carbon dioxide emissions by sector, AEO 2021 oil and gas supply cases U. S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions Fossil fuel-fired electric power generation Renewable electric power generation billion metric tons trillion kilowatthours 2020 6, 0 history projections 6, 0 5, 0 4, 0 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 6, 0 2020 history projections High Oil and Gas Supply Reference Low Oil and Gas Supply other cases 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 0, 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2020 history projections 0, 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 6
Generation and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions based on renewable cost assumptions Generation and carbon dioxide emissions by sector, AEO 2021 renewables cost cases U. S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions Fossil fuel-fired electric power generation Renewable electric power generation billion metric tons trillion kilowatthours 2020 6, 0 history projections 6, 0 5, 0 4, 0 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 0, 0 2010 High Renewables Cost Reference Low Renewables Cost other cases 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 0, 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) 2020 history projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 www. eia. gov/aeo 7
Carbon dioxide intensity by sector Carbon intensity by end-use sector AEO 2021 Reference case metric tons of carbon dioxide per billion British thermal units 2020 history projections 80 70 transportation 60 50 40 industrial residential commercial 30 20 10 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Note: Each end-use sector takes into account carbon intensity of electric power. Source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2021 (AEO 2021) www. eia. gov/aeo 8
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