Emerging Reemerging Infectious Diseases Dr KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI Outline

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Emerging & Re-emerging Infectious Diseases Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Emerging & Re-emerging Infectious Diseases Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Outline Of Presentation n n Infectious diseases- trends Definition of emerging & re-emerging diseases

Outline Of Presentation n n Infectious diseases- trends Definition of emerging & re-emerging diseases Factors contributing to emergence Examples Public health response Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Infectious Disease- Trends n n n Receded in Western countries 20 th century Urban

Infectious Disease- Trends n n n Receded in Western countries 20 th century Urban sanitation, improved housing, personal hygiene, antisepsis & vaccination Antibiotics further suppressed morbidity & mortality Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Infectious Disease- Trends n n Since last quarter of 20 th century- New &

Infectious Disease- Trends n n Since last quarter of 20 th century- New & Resurgent infectious diseases Unusually large number- Rotavirus, Cryptosporidiosis, HIV/AIDS, Hantaviraus, Lyme disease, Legionellosis, Hepatitis C…… Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Infectious Diseases: A World in Transition AIDS Avian Influenza Ebola Marburg Cholera Rift Valley

Infectious Diseases: A World in Transition AIDS Avian Influenza Ebola Marburg Cholera Rift Valley Fever Typhoid Tuberculosis Leptospirosis Malaria Chikungunya Dengue JE Antimicrobial resistance UP ? DOWN Guinea worm Smallpox Yaws Poliomyelitis Measles Leprosy Neonatal tetanus Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Definition n Emerging infectious disease Newly identified & previously unknown infectious agents that cause

Definition n Emerging infectious disease Newly identified & previously unknown infectious agents that cause public health problems either locally or internationally Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Definition n Re-emerging infectious disease Infectious agents that have been known for some time,

Definition n Re-emerging infectious disease Infectious agents that have been known for some time, had fallen to such low levels that they were no longer considered public health problems & are now showing upward trends in incidence or prevalence worldwide Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Factors Contributing To Emergence AGENT n n n Evolution of pathogenic infectious agents (microbial

Factors Contributing To Emergence AGENT n n n Evolution of pathogenic infectious agents (microbial adaptation & change) Development of resistance to drugs Resistance of vectors to pesticides Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Factors Contributing To Emergence HOST n n Human demographic change (inhabiting new areas) Human

Factors Contributing To Emergence HOST n n Human demographic change (inhabiting new areas) Human behaviour (sexual & drug use) Human susceptibility to infection (Immunosuppression) Poverty & social inequality Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Factors Contributing To Emergence ENVIRONMENT n n n Climate & changing ecosystems Economic development

Factors Contributing To Emergence ENVIRONMENT n n n Climate & changing ecosystems Economic development & Land use (urbanization, deforestation) Technology & industry (food processing & handling) Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n n n International travel & commerce Breakdown of public health measure (war,

CONTD. n n n International travel & commerce Breakdown of public health measure (war, unrest, overcrowding) Deterioration in surveillance systems (lack of political will) Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Transmission of Infectious Agent from Animals to Humans n n >2/3 rd emerging infections

Transmission of Infectious Agent from Animals to Humans n n >2/3 rd emerging infections originate from animals - wild & domestic Emerging Influenza infections in Humans associated with Geese, Chickens & Pigs Animal displacement in search of food after deforestation/ climate change (Lassa fever) Humans themselves penetrate/ modify unpopulated regions- come closer to animal reservoirs/ vectors (Yellow fever, Malaria) Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Climate & Environmental Changes n n n Deforestation forces animals into closer human contact-

Climate & Environmental Changes n n n Deforestation forces animals into closer human contact- increased possibility for agents to breach species barrier between animals & humans El Nino- Triggers natural disasters & related outbreaks of infectious diseases (Malaria, Cholera) Global warming- spread of Malaria, Dengue, Leishmaniasis, Filariasis Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Poverty, Neglect & Weakening of Health Infrastructure § § § Poor populations- major reservoir

Poverty, Neglect & Weakening of Health Infrastructure § § § Poor populations- major reservoir & source of continued transmission Poverty- Malnutrition- Severe infectious disease cycle Lack of funding, Poor prioritization of health funds, Misplaced in curative rather than preventive infrastructure, Failure to develop adequate health delivery systems Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population Displacement n n n Growth of densely populated cities- substandard

Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population Displacement n n n Growth of densely populated cities- substandard housing, unsafe water, poor sanitation, overcrowding, indoor air pollution (>10% preventable ill health) Problem of refugees & displaced persons Diarrhoeal & Intestinal parasitic diseases, ARI Lyme disease (B. burgdorferi)- Changes in ecology, increasing deer populations, suburban migration of population Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Human Behaviour n n Unsafe sexual practices (HIV, Gonorrhoea, Syphilis) Changes in agricultural &

Human Behaviour n n Unsafe sexual practices (HIV, Gonorrhoea, Syphilis) Changes in agricultural & food production patterns- food-borne infectious agents (E. coli) Increased international travel (Influenza) Outdoor activity Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Antimicrobial Drug Resistance n • • Causes: Wrong prescribing practices non-adherence by patients Counterfeit

Antimicrobial Drug Resistance n • • Causes: Wrong prescribing practices non-adherence by patients Counterfeit drugs Use of anti-infective drugs in animals & plants Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. • • § Loss of effectiveness: Community-acquired (TB, Pneumococcal) & Hospital-acquired (Enterococcal, Staphylococcal

CONTD. • • § Loss of effectiveness: Community-acquired (TB, Pneumococcal) & Hospital-acquired (Enterococcal, Staphylococcal Antiviral (HIV), Antiprotozoal (Malaria), Antifungal Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Antimicrobial Drug Resistance n Consequences Prolonged hospital admissions Higher death rates from infections Requires

Antimicrobial Drug Resistance n Consequences Prolonged hospital admissions Higher death rates from infections Requires more expensive, more toxic drugs Higher health care costs Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

ENVIRONMENT Climate change Mega-cities Vector proliferation Migration Pollution Exploitation HUMAN Antibiotics s n o

ENVIRONMENT Climate change Mega-cities Vector proliferation Migration Pollution Exploitation HUMAN Antibiotics s n o Zo ANIMALS i os Food production Intensive farming Transmission Population Growth Vector resistance VECTORS

Examples of recent emerging diseases Source: NATURE; Vol 430; July 2004; Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Examples of recent emerging diseases Source: NATURE; Vol 430; July 2004; Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI www. nature. com/nature

Examples of Emerging Infectious Diseases n n Hepatitis C- First identified in 1989 In

Examples of Emerging Infectious Diseases n n Hepatitis C- First identified in 1989 In mid 1990 s estimated global prevalence 3% Hepatitis B- Identified several decades earlier Upward trend in all countries Prevalence >90% in high-risk population Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n Zoonoses- 1, 415 microbes are infectious for human Of these, 868 (61%)

CONTD. n Zoonoses- 1, 415 microbes are infectious for human Of these, 868 (61%) considered zoonotic 70% of newly recognized pathogens are zoonoses Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Emerging Zoonoses: Humananimal interface Avian influenza virus Borrelia burgdorferi: Lyme Bats: Nipah virus Deer

Emerging Zoonoses: Humananimal interface Avian influenza virus Borrelia burgdorferi: Lyme Bats: Nipah virus Deer tick (Ixodes scapularis) Ebola virus Mostomys rodent: Lassa fever Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI Marburg virus Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome

SARS: The First Emerging Infectious Disease Of The 21 st Century No infectious disease

SARS: The First Emerging Infectious Disease Of The 21 st Century No infectious disease has spread so fast and far as SARS did in 2003 Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Lesson learnt from SARS n n n An infectious disease in one country is

Lesson learnt from SARS n n n An infectious disease in one country is a threat to all Important role of air travel in international spread Tremendous negative economic impact on trade, travel and tourism, estimated loss of $ 30 to $150 billion Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n n n High level commitment is crucial for rapid containment WHO can

CONTD. n n n High level commitment is crucial for rapid containment WHO can play a critical role in catalyzing international cooperation and support Global partnerships & rapid sharing of data/information enhances preparedness and response Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H 5 N 1) n n n Since Nov 2003,

Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H 5 N 1) n n n Since Nov 2003, avian influenza H 5 N 1 in birds affected 60 countries across Asia, Europe, Middle-East & Africa >220 million birds killed by AI virus or culled to prevent further spread Majority of human H 5 N 1 infection due to direct contact with birds infected with virus Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Novel Swine origin Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n Swine flu causes

Novel Swine origin Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n Swine flu causes respiratory disease in pigs – high level of illness, low death rates Pigs can get infected by human, avian and swine influenza virus Occasional human swine infection reported In US from December 2005 to February 2009, 12 cases of human infection with swine flu reported Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Swine Flu Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n n March 18 2009

Swine Flu Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n n March 18 2009 – ILI outbreak reported in Mexico April 15 th CDC identifies H 1 N 1 (swine flu) April 25 th WHO declares public health emergency April 27 th Pandemic alert raised to phase 4 April 29 th Pandemic alert raised to phase 5 Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n n By May 5 th more

Influenza A (H 1 N 1) n n n By May 5 th more than 1000 cases confirmed in 21 countries Screening at airports for flu like symptoms (especially passengers coming from affected area) Schools closed in many states in USA May 16 th India reports first confirmed case Stockpiling of antiviral drugs and preparations to make a new effective vaccine Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI 32

Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI 32

Pandemic HINI (Swine flu) n n Worldwide- 162, 380 cases 1154 deaths India- 558

Pandemic HINI (Swine flu) n n Worldwide- 162, 380 cases 1154 deaths India- 558 cases 1 death Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Examples of Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases n n n Diphtheria- Early 1990 s epidemic in

Examples of Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases n n n Diphtheria- Early 1990 s epidemic in Eastern Europe(1980 - 1% cases; 1994 - 90% cases) Cholera- 100% increase worldwide in 1998 (new strain eltor, 0139) Human Plague- India (1994) after 15 -30 years absence. Dengue/ DHF- Over past 40 years, 20 -fold increase to nearly 0. 5 million (between 1990 -98) Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Bioterrorism n n Possible deliberate release of infectious agents by dissident individuals or terrorist

Bioterrorism n n Possible deliberate release of infectious agents by dissident individuals or terrorist groups Biological agents are attractive instruments of terror- easy to produce, mass casualties, difficult to detect, widespread panic & civil disruption Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n n Highest potential- B. anthracis, C. botulinum toxin, F. tularensis, Y. pestis,

CONTD. n n Highest potential- B. anthracis, C. botulinum toxin, F. tularensis, Y. pestis, Variola virus, Viral haemorrhagic fever viruses Likeliest route- aerosol dissemination Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Key Tasks in Dealing with Emerging Diseases n n Surveillance at national, regional, global

Key Tasks in Dealing with Emerging Diseases n n Surveillance at national, regional, global level n epidemiological, n laboratory n ecological n anthropological Investigation and early control measures Implement prevention measures n behavioural, political, environmental Monitoring, evaluation Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

National surveillance: current situation n n Independent vertical control programmes Surveillance gaps for important

National surveillance: current situation n n Independent vertical control programmes Surveillance gaps for important diseases Limited capacity in field epidemiology, laboratory diagnostic testing, rapid field investigations Inappropriate case definitions Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n n Delays in reporting, poor analysis of data and information at all

CONTD. n n Delays in reporting, poor analysis of data and information at all levels No feedback to periphery Insufficient preparedness to control epidemics No evaluation Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Solutions Public health surveillance & response systems n Rapidly detect unusual, unexpected, unexplained disease

Solutions Public health surveillance & response systems n Rapidly detect unusual, unexpected, unexplained disease patterns n Track & exchange information in real time n Response effort that can quickly become global n Contain transmission swiftly & decisively Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

GOARN Global Outbreak Alert & Response Network n Coordinated by WHO n Mechanism for

GOARN Global Outbreak Alert & Response Network n Coordinated by WHO n Mechanism for combating international disease outbreaks n Ensure rapid deployment of technical assistance, contribute to long-term epidemic preparedness & capacity building Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Sharing Outbreak-related Information • with Public Health Professionals • with Public Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Sharing Outbreak-related Information • with Public Health Professionals • with Public Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Solutions n n Internet-based information technologies Improve disease reporting Facilitate emergency communications & Dissemination

Solutions n n Internet-based information technologies Improve disease reporting Facilitate emergency communications & Dissemination of information Human Genome Project Role of human genetics in disease susceptibility, progression & host response Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Solutions n n n Microbial genetics Methods for disease detection, control & preventio Improved

Solutions n n n Microbial genetics Methods for disease detection, control & preventio Improved diagnostic techniques & new vaccines Geographic Imaging Systems Monitor environmental changes that influence disease emergence & transmission Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Key tasks - carried out by whom? Global Regional Synergy National Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Key tasks - carried out by whom? Global Regional Synergy National Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

What skills are needed? Infectious diseases Epidemiology Public Health Telecom. & Informatics International field

What skills are needed? Infectious diseases Epidemiology Public Health Telecom. & Informatics International field experience Laboratory Information management Multiple expertise needed ! Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

Global Disease Intelligence: A world on the alert Collection Verification Distribution Response Dr. KANUPRIYA

Global Disease Intelligence: A world on the alert Collection Verification Distribution Response Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

The Best Defense (Multifactorial) n n n Coordinated, well-prepared, wellequipped PH systems Partnerships- clinicians,

The Best Defense (Multifactorial) n n n Coordinated, well-prepared, wellequipped PH systems Partnerships- clinicians, laboritarians & PH agencies Improved methods for detection & surveillance Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI

CONTD. n n Effective preventive & therapeutic technologies Strengthened response capacity Political commitment &

CONTD. n n Effective preventive & therapeutic technologies Strengthened response capacity Political commitment & adequate resources to address underlying socioeconomic factors International collaboration & communication Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI