Effects of using Visualization and Animation in Presentations

Effects of using Visualization and Animation in Presentations about Forest Succession and Fire Behavior Potential Jane Kapler Smith, USDA Forest Service Donald E. Zimmerman, Colorado State University Carol Akerelrea, USDI BLM Garrett O’Keefe, Colorado State University Thank you: Joint Fire Science Program

Thank you, Partners and Advisors: Paula Fornwalt, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins Merrill Kaufmann, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins Laurie Huckaby, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins Jason Stoker, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins Nick Crookston, Crookston Rocky Mountain Research Station, Moscow Jim zum. Brunnen, Colorado State University Thank you, Workshop Participants!

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We asked: 1. Can a presentation about forest modeling increase knowledge about forest processes in members of the public? 2. Do computer visualizations and animations enhance effectiveness of such a presentation? 3. Do formal presentations influence public perceptions of the Forest Service and forest management? 4. Do visualization and animation affect these perceptions?

Model: Graphics: FVS-FFE SVS Groups: Rural mountain residents (Poudre Canyon) Town residents (Fort Collins) Students (Colorado State)

Programs: 4 “visualized” presentations 3 “non-visualized” presentations 142 participants Topics: Succession Fire behavior Forest management Modeling Agenda: • Refreshments • Introduction– purpose, paperwork, honorarium • Pre questionnaire– knowledge • Presentation • Post questionnaire– knowledge plus presentation, visual aids, demographics plus Forest Service credibility, model credibility

Concept: Succession Not Visualized or Animated Visualized & Animated 1900 1990 1910 1960 1950 1940 1930 1920 1980 1970 1900 2000 ~1896 2000

Visualized & Animated Not Visualized or Animated Concept: Modeling future condition ~1903 Model predicts: • 25% more trees • 30% greater cover ~1999 ~2050– 2020 2000 2030 2010 2040 547 trees 1900– 170 trees 2000– 409 trees

Visualized & Animated Not Visualized or Animated Concept: Modeling future condition ~1903 Model predicts: • 25% more trees • 30% greater cover ~1999 1900 2000 ~2050 2000 2030 2020 2010 2040 2050

1. Can a presentation about forest modeling increase knowledge about forest processes in members of the public? Pre to Post Questionnaire “Don’t know” signif. Succession 87% Fire behavior 87% Management 78% Models 95% Knowledge signif. * * *

2. Do computer visualizations and animations enhance effectiveness of such presentations? Rural Mtn Visualized, Animated vs. Not Vis. or Anim. Succ. Fire be. Mgt. No Yes Yes * * * Town Student No No Models Knowledge signif. Possible explanations: • Age • Education/biology

2. Do computer visualizations and animations enhance effectiveness of such presentations? …. if “effectiveness” = “appeal”… * *

3. Do formal presentations influence public perceptions of the Forest Service and forest management? Probably Yes: Usu. true Not true 4. Do visualization and animation affect these perceptions? Substantial variation, no clear pattern

Conclusions 1. Presentations can enhance understanding of forest processes and models. 2. Visualization & animation may increase understanding for some audiences (older or less educated? )… and people like it! 3. Presentations may increase agency credibility 4. Visualization & animation unlikely to increase credibility 5. Presentation quality matters

1. How do forests change over time? 2. How do fires influence forests, and forests influence fires? 3. How do our choices influence forests… and fires?

The players: ponderosa pine… 0. 5 inch

Models help us understand predict

Modeled Succession 1900 2000 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 1920 1910 1900

2000 Mo de l ed ~1896 Da ta No da ta Da ta 2000 2050

Wind, mph Modeled Potential for Active Crown Fire 0 10 20 Denser Dense Open (2050) (2000) (1900) Surface & Passive Crowning 30 40 50 60 Active Crowning

Effects of using Visualization and Animation in Presentations and Visualization and Animation in Presentations Information at Firelab. org Thank you!