Drought Update Dealing with Drought Workshop February 12
Drought Update Dealing with Drought Workshop February 12, 2013
Droughts in the Past From: A thousand years of drought and climatic variability in Kansas: Implications for water resources management by Anthony L. Layzell, KGS Open File Report 2012 -18
Kansas Conditions
Drought Outlook
Precipitation
Vegetative Conditions
Additional Moisture Needed
Spring Outlook
Early Summer Precipitation Outlook
Why? • Transition in the ENSO – Currently neutral ENSO signal – Expected El Niño hasn’t developed – Neutral conditions to continue for the Spring K-State Research & Extension
SST Outlook: NCEP CFS. v 2 Forecast Issued 3 February 2013 The CFS. v 2 ensemble mean (black dashed line) predicts below-average SSTs during N. Hemisphere winter 2012 -13, and a gradual increase in SST anomalies into summer 2013.
Sites to Remember • Climate Prediction Center Forecasts – http: //www. cpc. ncep. noaa. gov/products/forecasts/ • Kansas Geological Survey – http: //www. kgs. ku. edu/Hydro/Publications/2012/OFR 12_18/index. html • USDA Joint Agricultural Weather – http: //www. usda. gov/oce/weather/index. htm • National Weather Service – http: //weather. gov • Weather Data Library – http: //www. ksre. ksu. edu/wdl
Mary Knapp Weather Data Library 1703 Throckmorton Kansas State University Manhattan, KS 66506 PH: 785 532 -7019 E-mail: Mknapp@ksu. edu URL: http: //www. ksre. ksu. edu/wdl/
- Slides: 13