DRAFT Peterborough 1 PCN Data pack August 2019

Peterborough 1 PCN – summary • There almost 40, 500 people registered with Peterborough 1 PCN, with a smaller older population compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England. The population is estimated to increase at a much lower rate than the CCG as a whole between 2019 and 2036 • The PCN has a lower proportion of White British ethnic group when compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England higher proportions from all other ethnic groups • Relative deprivation is higher in the PCN compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England. Approximately 25% of children and 21% of older people live in poverty • It is estimated that on average there are 555 births a year in the PCN. Birth rates and the proportion of babies born with a low birth weight are statistically similar to the North Alliance, which in itself has a noticeably high birth rate compared to the CCG • It is estimated that male and female life expectancy within the Peterborough 1 PCN are both statistically similar to the North Alliance at 79. 5 and 82. 9 years respectively • Recorded obesity in adults is statistically significantly lower than the North Alliance average • It is estimated that 21. 4% of adults smoke, which is statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance • Estimates of people reporting long-term activity-limiting illness and being in Good or Very Good health are statistically similar to averages for the North Alliance • On average there around 200 deaths a year in the PCN, with around 40% of these in people aged under 75 years • The PCN has statistically significantly low recorded prevalence of CHD, hypertension, stroke, asthma, COPD and cancer compared to the North Alliance averages. As these data are not agestandardised, this may be a reflection of the relatively young population of the PCN. • All-cause mortality rates are statistically similar to the North Alliance average in Peterborough 1 PCN and under 75 mortality rates for all causes, circulatory diseases and cancer are statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance average

Demography

GP registered population Age band Peterborough 1 PCN North Alliance Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG England Number % Total 40, 356 100. 0% 567, 598 983, 597 59, 759, 638 0 -4 years 2, 824 7. 0% 5. 9% 5. 4% 5. 5% 5 -14 years 6, 273 15. 5% 12. 6% 11. 7% 11. 8% Under 18 years 10, 535 26. 1% 21. 8% 20. 3% 20. 4% 16 -64 years 26, 352 65. 3% 63. 4% 65. 6% 64. 3% 65+ years 4, 446 11. 0% 16. 9% 16. 3% 17. 4% 75+ years 1, 798 4. 5% 7. 3% 8. 0% 85+ years 478 1. 2% 2. 3% Peterborough 1 PCN has a higher proportion of people aged 18 and under and lower proportion aged 65 and over compared with North Alliance, CCG and England. Population forecasts PCN 2019 2021 2026 2031 2036 2019 to 2021 Number % 852 2. 1% 1, 842 4. 5% -43 -0. 1% -416 -1. 0% 2. 9% 61, 522 6. 1% 24, 637 2. 3% 12, 767 1. 2% C&P CCG 982, 987 1, 011, 368 1, 072, 891 1, 097, 528 1, 110, 295 28, 381 43, 007 42, 590 2031 to 2036 % 40, 356 43, 050 2026 to 2031 Number Peterborough 1 PCN 41, 208 2021 to 2026 The population of Peterborough 1 PCN is forecast to grow at a much lower rate than the CCG as whole and decreases in registered population are expected between 2026 – 2031 and 2031 – 2036, during which time it is anticipated the CCG will continue to experience population growth. Source: GP registered population, April 2019, NHS Digital. Population forecasts based on population distribution at ward level (Apr 19), Mid 2015 based population forecasts Cambridgeshire County Council

Population distribution PCN dominant population Source: GP registered population data by Lower Super Output Area, April 19, NHS Digital

Ethnicity White British White Other Mixed Black Peterborough 1 PCN 68. 3% 12. 2% 2. 7% 2. 6% 10. 4% 2. 9% 0. 9% North Alliance 80. 7% 8. 7% 1. 9% 1. 4% 5. 0% 1. 7% 0. 5% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 80. 0% 9. 5% 2. 1% 1. 3% 4. 1% 2. 4% 0. 7% England 79. 8% 5. 7% 2. 3% 3. 5% 5. 6% 2. 3% 1. 0% PCN Asian: Indian/ Asian: Bangladeshi/ Chinese/ Pakistani Other Peterborough 1 PCN has a lower proportion of population from the White British ethnic group and higher proportions from all other ethnic groups compared to North Alliance, Cambridgeshire & Peterborough CCG and England. Source: Census 2011 data applied to GP registered population using Census 2011 ethnic group proportions; England data from NOMIS (patients registered at a GP Practice by LSOA, July 2018, NHS Digital)

Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation Income Affecting Older Children Index People Index Ailsworth Medical Centre 20. 4 18. 6 15. 0 Botolph Bridge 20. 0 18. 4 16. 8 Bushfield 32. 0 21. 3 Dogsthorpe Medical Central 39. 4 31. 7 31. 0 The Grange Medical Centre 25. 5 20. 6 21. 4 Thorpe Road 21. 2 18. 2 16. 4 Welland Medical 35. 9 30. 1 27. 2 Westwood Clinic 38. 0 30. 8 21. 5 Peterborough 1 PCN 28. 2 24. 5% 20. 6% North Alliance 21. 6 18. 9% 16. 5% Relative deprivation is lower in xxx PCN and each of the constituent C&P CCG 17. 2 15. 4% 14. 3% practices when compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England 21. 8 19. 9% 16. 2% Peterborough 1 is one of the most deprived PCNs within C&P CCG, with the majority of practices within the PCN having higher levels of observed deprivation than North Alliance, CCG and England averages. . Approximately 25% of children and 21% of older people registered with Peterborough 1 practices live in poverty. Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2015, by ward

Births and Fertility Birth rates by ward Number of live births (2014 -2016) Estimated Birth rate per 1, 000 female population aged 15 to 44 years Low birth weight births (under 2, 500 g) Peterborough PCN 1, 663 63. 4 7. 3% North Alliance 19, 756 65. 8 6. 8% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 31, 348 58. 2 6. 5% 1, 989, 052 62. 4 7. 4% England Birth rates and low birth weight births in Peterborough 1 PCN are statistically similar to the averages for the North Alliance.

Life expectancy Males (years) Females (years) Peterborough 1 PCN 79. 5 82. 9 North Alliance 80. 5 83. 7 Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 81. 2 84. 3 Male and female life expectancy are statistically significantly to North Alliance in Peterborough 1 PCN. Source: C&P PHI based, derived from NHS Digital Civil Registration data and GP registered population data (benchmark = North Alliance), 2013 – 2017

Risk factors

Risk factors Obesity Estimated Smoking Number % Peterborough 1 PCN 2, 790 9. 3% 6, 695 21. 4% North Alliance 44, 121 10. 1% 90, 367 19. 8% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 65, 496 8. 5% 136, 105 17. 0% 4, 530, 447 9. 8% 8, 301, 429 17. 2% England Recorded prevalence of obesity is statistically significantly lower in Peterborough 1 PCN compared to the average for North Alliance. Estimated smoking prevalence is statistically significantly higher in Peterborough 1 PCN compared to the average for North Alliance. Source: Obesity - C&P PHI derived from NHS Digital QOF data for 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Estimated smoking - C&P PHI derived from the QOF based smoking prevalence estimate from the Public Health England (PHE) National General Practice Profiles at https: //fingertips. phe. org. uk/profile/general-practice (benchmark = North Alliance)

Self-reported limiting long-term illness and general health status Long-term activitylimiting illness Good or very good health Peterborough 1 PCN 16. 7% 81. 5% North Alliance 16. 7% 81. 9% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 15. 5% 83. 6% England 17. 6% 81. 4 % It is estimated that the proportion of people that reported that they had a long-term activity-limiting illness in the 2011 Census was statistically similar to the North Alliance average. It is also estimated that the proportion of people that reported that they were in good or very good health in the 2011 Census was statistically similar to the North Alliance average. Source: C&P PHI from Census 2011, NOMIS and patients registered at a GP Practice by LSOA, July 2018, NHS Digital (benchmark = North Alliance)

Diseases

Mortality – all causes All ages Under 75 year olds Number DASR per 100, 000 Ailsworth Medical Centre 138 1, 024. 5 47 315. 0 Botolph Bridge 124 921. 1 58 333. 0 Bushfield 181 980. 6 79 396. 2 Dogsthorpe Medical Central 162 1, 830. 5 58 504. 1 The Grange Medical Centre 107 1, 156. 9 45 466. 1 Thorpe Road 110 558. 8 46 224. 5 Welland Medical 83 978. 0 53 505. 2 Westwood Clinic 136 966. 1 82 462. 0 Peterborough 1 PCN 1, 041 982. 1 468 379. 7 North Alliance 21, 171 949. 8 6, 793 311. 9 Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 34, 464 901. 5 10, 385 286. 4 There are on average 208 deaths a year in Peterborough 1 PCN, approximately a third are in people aged under 75 years. A number of Peterborough 1 PCN practices have statistically significantly high all cause mortality rates compared to the North Alliance for under 75 s and Dogsthorpe Medical Centre is also statistically significantly worse than the North Alliance for all age mortality. DASR = directly age standardised rate per 100, 000 population Source: C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, 2013 -2017 (benchmark = North Alliance)

Circulatory disease Prevalence Coronary heart disease Number % Hypertension Mortality (circulatory) Stroke All ages Number % Number DASR per 100, 000 Under 75 year olds Number DASR per 100, 000 Ailsworth Medical Centre 114 2. 5% 620 13. 4% 58 1. 3% 45 358. 9 13 87. 1 Botolph Bridge 94 1. 3% 606 8. 6% 42 0. 6% 27 189. 0 18 105. 0 Bushfield 164 3. 0% 626 11. 5% 74 1. 4% 44 252. 2 13 69. 7 Dogsthorpe Medical Central 107 2. 5% 452 10. 5% 48 1. 1% 44 483. 4 17 151. 2 The Grange Medical Centre 52 1. 8% 265 9. 4% 25 0. 9% 29 302. 7 12 120. 1 Thorpe Road 136 2. 0% 773 11. 2% 93 1. 3% 21 114. 7 5 28. 1 Welland Medical 90 2. 2% 394 9. 6% 33 0. 8% 21 287. 4 12 149. 4 Westwood Clinic 108 2. 0% 674 12. 7% 44 0. 8% 35 240. 6 22 118. 7 Peterborough 1 PCN 865 2. 1% 4, 410 10. 9% 417 1. 0% 266 258. 8 112 94. 6 North Alliance 16, 999 3. 0% 77, 171 13. 8% 8, 908 1. 6% 5, 344 241. 0 1, 519 70. 4 C&P CCG 26, 602 2. 8% 122, 348 12. 6% 14, 132 1. 5% 9, 004 236. 7 2, 288 63. 9 1, 827, 352 3. 1% 8, 141, 488 13. 9% 1, 030, 869 1. 8% England Not available Peterborough 1 PCN prevalence rates of CHD, hypertension and stroke are statistically significantly low compared to North Alliance. A number of practices have statistically significantly high rates of mortality from circulatory disease compared to the North Alliance and Peterborough 1 PCN is statistically significantly worse than the North Alliance for under 75 circulatory mortality. Note: Prevalence data are not available by age i. e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures

Respiratory disease Prevalence Asthma Mortality Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease All ages Under 75 years Number % Ailsworth Medical Centre 269 5. 8% 90 1. 9% 10 80. 9 <5 16. 3 Botolph Bridge 330 4. 7% 80 1. 1% 13 94. 1 6 34. 8 Bushfield 288 5. 3% 110 2. 0% 32 175. 3 15 77. 6 Dogsthorpe Medical Central 278 6. 4% 81 1. 9% 23 305. 8 <5 28. 0 The Grange Medical Centre 177 6. 3% 62 2. 2% 15 171. 7 <5 11. 0 Thorpe Road 371 5. 4% 71 1. 0% 6 31. 5 <5 16. 0 Welland Medical 307 7. 5$ 66 1. 6% 15 186. 7 8 70. 6 Westwood Clinic 223 4. 2% 97 1. 8% 23 199. 2 6 35. 7 Peterborough 1 PCN 2, 243 5. 5% 657 1. 6% 136. 8 43 37. 0 North Alliance 33, 050 5. 9% 10, 952 2. 0% 3, 065 139. 7 678 31. 9 C&P CCG 57, 830 6. 0% 16, 513 1. 7% 4, 533 119. 9 942 26. 8 3, 463, 893 5. 9% 1, 113, 417 1. 9% England Number DASR per 100, 000 Not available Asthma and COPD prevalence is statistically significantly low compared to the North Alliance in Peterborough 1 PCN and rates of mortality from respiratory causes are statistically similar to the North Alliance.

Long term conditions Prevalence Diabetes (17+ years) Number % Cancer Number % Mortality - Cancer All ages Under 75 year olds Number DASR per 100, 000 Ailsworth Medical Centre 189 5. 3% 110 2. 4% 41 285. 2 18 124. 9 Botolph Bridge 269 5. 2% 120 1. 7% 45 345. 7 18 114. 9 Bushfield 271 6. 6% 138 2. 5% 64 332. 1 36 175. 6 Dogsthorpe Medical Central 299 9. 7% 54 1. 3% 39 400. 8 23 220. 4 The Grange Medical Centre 162 7. 6% 49 1. 7% 22 250. 2 16 182. 5 Thorpe Road 303 5. 6% 156 2. 3% 54 266. 6 32 159. 8 Welland Medical 299 10. 2% 48 1. 2% 26 249. 6 22 211. 9 Westwood Clinic 327 8. 2% 74 1. 4% 46 313. 1 32 195. 5 Peterborough 1 PCN 2, 119 7. 0% 749 1. 8% 337 304. 0 197 167. 8 North Alliance 30, 953 7. 0% 14, 854 2. 7% 6, 093 269. 7 2, 807 130. 1 C&P CCG 46, 573 6. 0% 25, 700 2. 7% 9, 902 259. 5 4, 411 123. 2 3, 196, 124 6. 8% 1, 593, 302 2. 7% England Not available Peterborough 1 PCN has a wide variance of observed outcomes at practice level with regards to prevalence of diabetes and cancer and mortality from cancer. Note: Prevalence data are not available by age i. e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures DASR = Directly age standardised rate per 100, 000 population Source: Prevalence (recorded) - C&P PHI from QOF, NHS Digital, 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Mortality - C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, 2013 -2017 (benchmark = North Alliance)

Mental health Schizophrenia, bipolar affective disorder and other psychoses Depression (18+ years) Dementia Learning disabilities Number % Ailsworth Medical Centre 24 0. 5% 388 11. 1% 27 0. 6% 24 0. 5% Botolph Bridge 61 0. 9% 453 8. 9% 15 0. 2% 17 0. 2% Bushfield 66 1. 1% 352 8. 7% 24 0. 4% 33 0. 6% Dogsthorpe Medical Central 60 1. 5% 258 8. 6% 18 0. 4% 34 0. 8% The Grange Medical Centre 34 1. 2% 155 7. 4% 13 0. 5% 18 0. 6% Thorpe Road 50 0. 7% 514 9. 7% 34 0. 5% 32 0. 5% Welland Medical 33 0. 8% 170 5. 9% 19 0. 5% 23 0. 6% Westwood Clinic 64 1. 2% 587 14. 9% 22 0. 4% 30 0. 6% Peterborough 1 PCN 392 1. 0% 2, 877 9. 6% 172 0. 4% 211 0. 5% North Alliance 4, 096 0. 7% 41, 730 9. 5% 4, 094 0. 7% 2, 675 0. 5% C&P CCG 7, 750 0. 8% 68, 112 8. 8% 6, 551 0. 7% 4, 057 0. 4% 550, 918 0. 9% 4, 589, 213 9. 9% 446, 548 0. 8% 284, 422 0. 5% England Peterborough 1 PCN prevalence rates for the above indicators vary in comparison to the North Alliance. Mental health disorder prevalence is statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance, dementia prevalence is statistically significantly lower and depression and learning disability prevalence is statistically similar.