Domestic Enrollment Progress Report AUGUST 15 2014 Enrollment

Domestic Enrollment >> Progress Report AUGUST 15, 2014

Enrollment SUMMER State-Funded FTEs 2014: 1, 835 2013: 2, 001 2012: 1, 972 2011: 2, 002 Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Consistent Pattern Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Overview Understanding What do we know? What do we not know? Action What have we done? Where are we headed?

Context: History Total State-Funded FTEs Since 2003 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 State-Funded FTEs 4888 4649 4446 4636 4399 4702 4938 4654 4623 4629 4620 Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: Comparisons Fall Quarter Domestic Enrollment (FTEs) 9000 8000 7000 6000 Consistent 3% decrease per year 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Edmonds Everett Shoreline North Seattle Lake Washington Cascadia 2009 7139 7093 4816 4208 3538 2211 http: //www. bothell. washington. edu/about/facts 2010 7653 7615 4678 4225 3635 2345 2011 7022 6200 4532 3953 3257 2312 2012 6852 6151 4409 3814 3120 2239 2013 6259 6242 4272 3739 3513 2277 Source: SBCTC Fall Quarter Enrollment and Staffing Reports

Context: Community 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black/African-American Hispanic/Latino Multiple/Other White WA State 2% 8% 4% 12% 4% 71% Shoreline CC 2% 17% 10% 9% 2% 60% King County 1% 15% 6% 9% 5% 64% Snohomish County 1% 10% 2% 9% 5% 73% Source: American Community Survey 1 -Year Estimates

Context: Community 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Native American Asian/Pacific Islander African American Latino Hispanic Other White Cascadia Edmonds Everett Shoreline 2% 15% 4% 13% 2% 64% 2% 19% 8% 15% 0% 55% 3% 11% 5% 15% 3% 63% 2% 17% 10% 9% 2% 60% Lake Seattle North Washington 1% 2% 16% 4% 10% 11% 8% 2% 3% 66% 60% Source: SBCTC Fall Quarter Enrollment and Staffing Reports

Context: SBCTC Analysis Washington State Population and Employment Data 2010 -2030 WACTC Accountability and Allocation Task Force September 2013

Context: Demographics Population by age: Snohomish County 2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2015 % 15 – 19 46, 518 49, 226 5. 8 47, 456 -3. 6 46, 909 -1. 2 46, 939 0. 1 20 - 24 43, 391 44, 970 3. 6 45, 915 2. 1 47, 737 4. 0 45, 360 -5. 0 25 - 34 99, 444 100, 655 1. 2 100, 360 -0. 3 103, 118 2. 7 103, 971 0. 8 Population by age: King County 2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2015 % 15 – 19 111, 118 117, 227 5. 5 112, 410 -4. 1 114, 224 1. 6 115, 198 0. 9 20 - 24 121, 196 130, 776 7. 9 133, 214 1. 9 134, 183 0. 7 142, 056 5. 9 25 - 34 327, 759 314, 288 -4. 1 323, 899 3. 1 331, 544 2. 4 307, 967 -7. 1 Source: American Community Survey 1 -Year Estimates

SCC Age Demographics SCC Domestic Enrollment (Headcount), Fall to Fall, by Age 2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2013 % < 20 1, 734 1, 668 - 3. 8 1, 553 -6. 9 1, 457 -6. 2 1, 528 4. 9 20 - 24 1, 777 1, 724 -3. 0 1, 642 -4. 8 1, 705 3. 8 1, 636 -4. 0 25 - 34 1, 574 1, 651 4. 9 1, 657 0. 4 1, 579 -4. 7 1, 435 -9. 1 35 + 1, 998 1, 533 -23. 3 1, 451 -5. 3 1, 368 -5. 7 1, 345 -1. 7 Total 7, 243 6, 651 -8. 2 6, 329 -4. 8 6, 152 -2. 8 5, 969 -3. 0 % of SCC Domestic Enrollment (Headcount), Fall to Fall, by County 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 King 67% 67% 66% 65% Snohomish 27% 27% 29% 31% Other 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 22% 23% 22% King: “In-District” Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: District 2000 Shorewood: big drops (5. 2% , 09 -10; 7. 9% 10 -11) 1800 Number of graduates 1600 1400 1200 Shorecrest: 3. 4 - 6. 0% decrease per year 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Shorecrest High School Shorewood High School Ballard Edmonds/Woodway Mountlake Terrace Inglemoor (Northshore SD) 2008 -2009 1543 1705 1640 1785 1537 1880 2009 -2010 1491 1688 1632 1780 1479 1795 2010 -2011 1404 1600 1613 1722 1372 1762 2011 -2012 1358 1473 1643 1624 1284 1632 2012 -2013 1276 1490 1620 1644 1225 1633 Source: OSPI Washington State Report Card

Context: SCC District Distribution of college-bound graduates from Shoreline School District high schools 100% 90% 15% 17% 43% 36% 20% 19% 14% 15% 42% 13% 21% 80% 70% 60% 44% 46% 40% Out of State 50% 40% WA 4 -year 11% Other WA 2 -year 16% 12% 30% 16% 10% 18% 14% 18% 24% 25% 23% 2010 2011 2012 20% 32% 28% 27% 28% 2011 2012 2009 10% 0% 2009 2010 Shorewood Shorecrest Source: Education Research & Data Center, High School Feedback Report Shoreline CC

Context: Workforce UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Snohomish King Fall 2009 10. 5% 9. 2% Fall 2010 10. 3% 9. 2% Fall 2011 8. 9% 8. 1% Fall 2012 6. 9% 8. 0% Fall 2013 5. 8% 5. 2% Source: U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Context: Workforce Total State-Funded FTEs by Type of Student 2, 500 2, 105 2, 000 1, 824 State Funded FTEs 1, 707 1, 644 1, 788 1, 825 1, 746 1, 555 1, 682 1, 500 1, 586 Basic Skills Transfer - Domestic Transfer - International 1, 000 764 Workforce 613 500 417 443 489 331 350 322 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 335 295 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 - Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: Student Voice “Importance to me” 1 – not important at all 7 – very important “Enrollment factors” 1. Importance of cost in decision to enroll (M = 6. 06) 2. Importance of financial aid in decision to enroll (M = 6. 00) 3. Importance of academic reputation in decision to enroll (M = 5. 90)

What do we know? Declines a in domestic enrollment are … shared problem. not related to representation based on race/ethnicity. reflect age-related demographic changes. reflect district changes. reflect economic changes, and & financial aid are key enrollment factors. can be seen in transfer, workforce, and basic education.

What do we not know? Causality Other external factors Other schools’ strategies Emergent, Urgent, or Crisis

What are we doing? Retention initiatives Investment in student advising Enhanced welcome week activities First Year Fast Forward Increasing “bucket” offerings Mid-Quarter Check-in Marketing programs of workforce funding

Where are we headed? Strategic Begins Enrollment Management with data Supports strategic planning KEY issues and actions Refreshed for new context