Disrupting College What Impact Is Disruptive Innovation Having

Disrupting College What Impact Is Disruptive Innovation Having? Michael B. Horn , Principal Consultant, Entangled Solutions | Twitter: @michaelbhorn

Disruptive innovation refresh @michaelbhorn

Disruption in computing @michaelbhorn

Where does disruption not apply? Industries without an upwardly scalable technology are not disrupted @michaelbhorn

How does disruptive innovation relate to higher education? @michaelbhorn

Disruption in higher ed is just beginning @michaelbhorn

Online learning growing While postsecondary enrollments continue to shrink, online grew ~4% last year 4 Enrollment in millions 3. 5 3 2. 5 2 1. 5 1 0. 5 0 2010 @michaelbhorn 2013 2016 Source: Eduventures

HBS professor: Half of colleges will be bankrupt in 10 to 15 years - CNBC @michaelbhorn

5 Glimpses of the Future of Higher Ed @michaelbhorn

1. Where is technology in learning headed? @michaelbhorn

Are MOOCs disruptive? Much amuck about MOOCs • • • Is the innovation targeting people who are nonconsumers or overserved by existing products? Is the innovation not as good as existing products as judged by historical measures of performance? Is the innovation simpler to use, more convenient, or more affordable? Is there a technology enabler that can carry the new value proposition up -market? Is the technology paired with a business model innovation that allows it to be sustainable? Are existing providers motivated to ignore the new innovation and not threatened at the outset? @michaelbhorn

MOOCs are continuing to evolve @michaelbhorn

Value propositions Personalization @michaelbhorn

Different learning needs at different times Long-term Memory Procedural Declarative Episodic @michaelbhorn Semantic Skills Habits

Learning environments modeled upon factories Current system was built to standardize @michaelbhorn

The “Swiss-cheese problem” in education Students develop holes in their learning @michaelbhorn

Disaggregated staffing models Professor Content Expert @michaelbhorn Mentor/Learning Coach Assessment Specialist Instructional Designer

Will new mobile players herald a change? They are much more intentional about baking in good instructional design @michaelbhorn

Value propositions Personalization @michaelbhorn Access and Equity

Value propositions Personalization Access and Equity @michaelbhorn Cost Control

Some are driving down costs Colleges creating autonomous units, competency-based learning on the rise @michaelbhorn

2. The future for some ‘non-elite’ higher ed @michaelbhorn

Chorus questioning higher ed’s quality What do students learn? Pew: 58% of Republicans and GOPleaning independents believe colleges & universities have negative effect @michaelbhorn

Reports of job mismatch continue Source: JOLTS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Sept. 2017 @michaelbhorn

Traditional college business model is breaking E <T + G + I +C +M @michaelbhorn

Even elite schools are feeling the pinch Yale ra n $40 M years p annual ost-rec operat ession , as cos ing deficit fo r sever ts cont al - Yale D inue to aily Ne escalat ws e k r a m ’ r e at w h g i h ‘ e b y a m s lu p r u s s e ’ b d o l G n o Harvar t - Bos @michaelbhorn

Disruptive innovation & the allure of moving up % of tons 55% Steel Quality 25– 30% Sheet steel l d te ra m ’ ills eg t n ty li a u i f o Q ty ali Qu 1975 @michaelbhorn s 18% d ce u rod ni i fm o e te ll-p i m e ste l Structural Stee l ars & b ; n o ir le g n A 12% Rebar 7% 1980 rods 1985 1990 22% 8% 4%

Lookin g for suc cess af ter col increas lege? C e your hoosin odds – Washin g a city sch ool can gton P o st lose c l il w e g e ll o c e t a iv Another small pr - Inside Higher Ed Small & rural schools under threat e erg r m e z i l a n i f sity r e v i n U ston o B d n a ge e l l be o o l C G k c n o o l t e s e - Bo Wh Memphis C ollege of Ar t, after 81 y e operations – Inside High ars, will end er Ed @michaelbhorn

t f o h t e dea os i x A A he MB Th Univers ities ta ke a ha program rder look at whethe s are w r M. B. A orth it. - WSJ The demise of the full-time MBA, JD Law schools close, m erge as legal job mar ket shrinks - USA Today ents d tu s w e n it m d a t o n l wil Valparaiso law school - Inside Higher Ed @michaelbhorn

3. Online learning as a sustaining innovation for many @michaelbhorn

The role of hybrids @michaelbhorn

Potential benefits from online learning Personalization Access and Equity @michaelbhorn Cost Control

4. Commoditization is a threat @michaelbhorn

Disruption or commoditization? Insight from the beauty industry @michaelbhorn

5. The wildcard scenario of disruption @michaelbhorn

Performance Different Measure of Performance General purpose products disrupted job-by-job Craig’s List Auto. Trader. com Realtor. com Monster. com Metro; Blackberry CNN. com Unwind at the end of the day Time @michaelbhorn Major Metropolitan Newspapers Help me: Unload this stuff Find the right car Sell or buy a home Find the right job, or the right employees Kill commuting time productively Become well-informed Time Unwind at the end of the day

The full-time MBA is being disrupted Performance Different Measure of Performance $150, 000+ !! MBA r a e y 2 BA M e t-timthis problem Help me Parsolve ge” a b r Ga “ e n Teach me what I need to know to become i Onl a great manager Time es: i t i s r e v Uni e t a r o ainst g a g Corp n i t Compe nsumption nonco Time @michaelbhorn Give me the credentials I need to get the next, more lucrative job Help me switch careers Help me join a prestigious network • Brand • Connections

Why is Andover worried? @michaelbhorn

Some of the players attempting to unbundle @michaelbhorn

Disrupting College What Impact Will Disruption Have? Michael B. Horn Twitter: @michaelbhorn

Fixed-time, variable learning Deliver content to students Testing & assessment Receive results @michaelbhorn Progress to next grade, subject, or body of material

Competency-based learning Learning is fixed and time is variable Offer learning experiences to students Testing & assessment Progress to next body of material @michaelbhorn Receive real-time interactive feedback

Benefits of online and blended learning Personalization through modularity @michaelbhorn

Future of content & modes of delivery Game-based learning, simulations, disruption of content, mobile, synchronous & more @michaelbhorn

The new kids on the block @michaelbhorn

Modularity and targeted partnerships @michaelbhorn