Disasters and Climate Change in UNDAF Climate change

Disasters and Climate Change in UNDAF • Climate change effects occurrence of natural hazards and vulnerability to disasters (IPCC) • Early impacts of climate change in developing countries increase in extreme climate events • Global agenda and emerging funds driven by climate change - national concerns grounded in disaster events and climate variability 1

How is Climate Change Impact Assessed? • Information is available on projections of changes due to global warming • Sensitivity analysis to identify most immediate climate change impacts Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Increasing hazard risk Stronger winds Coastal marine hazards by an order of magnitude? Intensity Tropical cyclones Hazards Heavy rainfall / Floods Heatwaves Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 Frequency To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Increasing vulnerability Changes in vulnerability trends based on sensitivity analysis Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Example of Climate Change Information for the Water Sector in MENA Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Disaster risk reduction contribution to adaptation in UNDAF 1. Empirical evidence of risk and scale of need 2. Practical measures to reduce risk related to climatic hazards 6

Disaster risk reduction contribution to adaptation in UNDAF (continued) 3. Incorporates risk related to climatic hazards considerations in development 4. Measures progress in efforts to reduce risk related to climatic hazards 7

more common methodologies + = A Risk Based Approach to Climate Change Adaptation Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Examples of open-domain data sources and available tools • • • IPCC Assessment Reports [http: //www. ipcc. ch/] WMO World Weather Information Service [http: //worldweather. wmo. int/] UNEP Handbook on Methods for Climate Change Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies [http: //hdl. handle. net/1871/10440] Food Insecurity and Vulnerability Information and Mapping Systems (FIVIMS) [http: //www. fivims. net/index. jspx? lang=en] Assessment and Design for Adaptation to climate change (ADAPT) [http: //go. worldbank. org/Z 02 IYEC 0 J 0] Community Based Risk Screening Tool- Adaptation and Livelihoods (CRISTal) [http: //www. iisd. org/security/es/resilience/climate_phase 2. asp] Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF

Example of integrated tool • Primer for city managers helps cities to assess their vulnerabilities to disasters and become more climate resilient [http: //siteresources. worldbank. org/EASTASIA PACIFICEXT/Resources/climatecities_fullrep ort. pdf] • Climate Proofing. A Risk-based Approach to Adaptation [http: //www. adb. org/Documents/Reports/Clim ate-Proofing/climate-proofing. pdf] Turin, 23 -27 Nov 2009 To. T on Integrating DRR into the CCA UNDAF