Development of A Myanmar National Electrification Plan Towards

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Development of A Myanmar National Electrification Plan Towards Universal Access 2015 -2030: An Overview

Development of A Myanmar National Electrification Plan Towards Universal Access 2015 -2030: An Overview September 2014 A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 1

Workshop Agenda ØObjective of this workshop ØWhy universal access? Ø Is universal access by

Workshop Agenda ØObjective of this workshop ØWhy universal access? Ø Is universal access by 2030 achievable in Myanmar? (Section 1) Ø How can universal access be achieved in Myanmar: Introduction of a strategic national electrification plan (NEP)? (Sections 2 -4) ØHow can DPs contribute to NEP implementation? (Sections 5 -8) ØDiscussions and Q&As A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 2

Electrification and Socioeconomic Development A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 3

Electrification and Socioeconomic Development A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 3

Electrification Rate Increased Rapidly in Vietnam Between 1993 -2011 2004 100% 87% 90% 1997

Electrification Rate Increased Rapidly in Vietnam Between 1993 -2011 2004 100% 87% 90% 1997 80% 61% 70% 60% 50% 40% 1993 1986 14% 30% 10% 2. 5% 10% 0% 1976 1986 1996 2006 98%

Laos also Made Rapid Progress in Electrification Since 1995 90% 80% Access to Electricity

Laos also Made Rapid Progress in Electrification Since 1995 90% 80% Access to Electricity 2014 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 15% 1995 0% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 2008 2009 2010 2011 5

Asian Countries Saw Rapid Increase in Electrification Rate at Relatively Low GDP Level A

Asian Countries Saw Rapid Increase in Electrification Rate at Relatively Low GDP Level A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 6

Is universal access by 2030 achievable in Myanmar? 7

Is universal access by 2030 achievable in Myanmar? 7

Government of Myanmar is Strongly Committed to Achieving Universal Access to Electricity • Goal

Government of Myanmar is Strongly Committed to Achieving Universal Access to Electricity • Goal to achieve > 50% coverage in 2016 - The Government is developing an implementation plan to increase electricity coverage in 2016. • The President’s office has established a dedicated National Electrification Executive Committee under the patronage of the Vice President, and with union ministers of MOEP and MLFRD as chair and co-chair respectively. • Renewable Energy for Rural Electrification - A Rural Electrification and Potable Water Resource Committee was established where one of the mandates is to promote renewable energy for rural electrification. A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 8

Government Commitment to Universal Access Aligns with UN Sustainable Energy for ALL (SE 4

Government Commitment to Universal Access Aligns with UN Sustainable Energy for ALL (SE 4 ALL) Objectives • Myanmar and SE 4 LL - Myanmar endorsed the UN SE 4 ALL Initiative, a goal to ensure universal access to modern energy services by 2030, co-led by the UN Secretary General and the President of the World Bank. • Myanmar an high impact country - Myanmar is identified as one of the high impact countries that offer the most potential to make rapid progress by SE 4 ALL. • Myanmar is one of the first countries, and currently the only country in the East Asia and Pacific Region, to receive significant grant support (approximately $2 million) from the World Bank/ESMAP SE 4 ALL Technical Assistance Program. A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 9

But Myanmar’s electrification challenge is immense… The electrification rate is estimated at 33%. .

But Myanmar’s electrification challenge is immense… The electrification rate is estimated at 33%. . . 2 x New household connections per year Need to connect over as many households per year to reach universal electrification by 2030… 440, 000 ESE YESB 189, 000 Required 130, 000 59, 000 2012 Source: MOEP (2011 -2012), ESE, YESB data and Castalia estimations Assumes 6. 5 people in a household For universal electrification by 2030 10

It is impossible to meet this challenge without a programmatic, sector-wide approach… Countries that

It is impossible to meet this challenge without a programmatic, sector-wide approach… Countries that have achieved rapid electrification have relied on Programmatic, Sector-wide approach Governmen t Key Features : Developmen t Partners Consumers � Coordinated least-cost technical and investment planning � Sustainable financing policy � Stable flow of funds � Results focused Private Stakeholders Sector Ministries 11 Stakeholders Local Governmen t Utility Regulatory Authority

Myanmar National Electrification Plan (NEP) 2015 -30 • NEP should be a comprehensive action

Myanmar National Electrification Plan (NEP) 2015 -30 • NEP should be a comprehensive action plan for developing, financing, and implementing electricity access scale-up program nationwide, with the target of achieving universal access by 2030. • NEP would align support from different stakeholders with the implementation program for achieving national access targets and syndicates financing on a timely, ongoing and programmatic basis. A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 12

Component I: Geospatial Least Cost Electrification Rollout Plan A high level geospatial rollout plan

Component I: Geospatial Least Cost Electrification Rollout Plan A high level geospatial rollout plan comprising: • • Systematic grid network rollout connection plan Complementary spatial plans for mini-grids and individual systems A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 13

Component II: Road Map and Investment Prospectus • Long-term and intermediate targets for 2015

Component II: Road Map and Investment Prospectus • Long-term and intermediate targets for 2015 -2030 • Investment financing framework for the first 5 years • Action plan to address enabling policy and institutional framework • Capacity strengthening initiatives for key institutions and agencies 2030 2025 2014 2015 2020 ? ? 100% ? ? 33% A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 14

Processes and Milestones First Mission/ Workshop May 2013 Second Mission/ Workshop November 2013 Activities

Processes and Milestones First Mission/ Workshop May 2013 Second Mission/ Workshop November 2013 Activities - Establish dialogue with Govt & other stakeholders - Share international experience -Discuss methodology and work plan -Continue dialogue with stakeholders Outputs - Agree on the need of an NEP and key work areas - Agree on methodology, milestones, and working arrangements Follow-on Work - Develop scope of work - Hire consultants - Develop methodology and work plan - Continue data collection - Interim results for Kayin and Chin States Third Mission/ Workshop March 2014 -Present and discuss interim results -Agree on institutional framework options - Feedback on geospatial plan and IP - Complete draft NEP A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS Fourth Mission/ Workshop Sep 2014 - Present draft final NEP - Present investment opportunities - Govt commitment to NEP adoption & implementation - Link financiers w/ investment opportunities - Finalize NEP - Transfer data and training - Govt adopts NEP 15

Implementation Arrangements • MOEP and MLFRD jointly lead the NEP preparation with participation from

Implementation Arrangements • MOEP and MLFRD jointly lead the NEP preparation with participation from other member agencies of NEMC and REPWSC and assistance from the World Bank. • MOEP and MLFRD co-manage consultants together with World Bank. This includes strategic guidance to data collection, review of key deliverables, organization of workshops and study tours. • Consultants work closely with the government teams throughout the NEP preparation process • Close coordination with ADB, JICA and other DPs on respective, related initiatives. A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 16

Consultant Teams Two consulting firms were competitively selected to assist in NEP development: •

Consultant Teams Two consulting firms were competitively selected to assist in NEP development: • Columbia University — Geospatial least cost electrification rollout plan, with experience in Indonesia, Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, etc. • Castalia – Roadmap and Investment Prospectus, with experience in Indonesia, Rwanda, Kenya, Vanuatu A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 17

Thank You A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 18

Thank You A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS 18