Developing a Spatial Hazard Index Methodology Using Model

Developing a Spatial Hazard Index Methodology Using Model. Builder Photo Source: NOAA Joe Ludwig Geography 596 A January 6, 2009 Advisor: Dr. Todd Bacastow

Overview Background Objectives Methodology Limitations Timeline Progress Anticipated Results

Background US Transportation Command (TRANSCOM) Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP)

Background

Background

Background Aggregation to Political Boundaries Pattern Analysis VS

Background Geographic Information Science & Technology (GIS&T) Body of Knowledge

Objectives

Methodology OUTPUTS PROCESS Data Preparation Geodatabase Spatial Analysis Hazard Raster Surfaces Reclassification Reclassified Surfaces Weighting Matrix Composite Hazards Index Temporal Analysis Monthly Hazard Surfaces Monthly Composite Hazards Index Hazard Impact Analysis Hazard Maps

Data Preparation

Data Sources National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) US Geologic Survey (USGS) Seismic and landslide hazard areas Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Tornadoes, large hail, severe wind, extreme heat, freezing precipitation, snowfall data Flooding Geospatial Multi-Agency Coordination (Geo. MAC) group Wildfires Source: Geo. MAC Source: NOAA NHC Source: USACE Source: USGS

Data Sources National Transportation Atlas Database (NTAD) Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Airports, major highways, railroads Population density Illinois Emergency Management Agency (IEMA) Emergency management areas and offices

Spatial Analysis

Reclassification

Weighting

Weighting

Composite Index [flood]*0. 1875 + [tornado]*0. 1875 + [hail]*0. 125 + [wind]*0. 125 + [winter_wx]*0. 125 + [drought]*0. 125 + [landslide]*0. 0625 + [earthquake]*0. 0625

Geoprocessing Model

Temporal Analysis JAN FEB MAR APR JUL AUG SEP OCT MAY NOV JUN DEC

Hazard Impact Analysis Key Infrastructures Populations Emergency Management Areas

Potential Limitations Data Availability Resolution Scope of hazards Natural, technological, man-made Source: CNN

Timeline Submit Abstract for ESRI Federal User Conf. Prepare Project Abstract Hazards Research Literature Review Data Collection & Preparation Project Proposal Presentation Prepare Proposal Paper & Presentation Spatial Analysis & Methodology Model Development Apply Model to Illinois Conference Presentation ESRI Federal User Conf. Prepare Final Presentation GEOG 596 B Course End Date Prepare Final Paper Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 08 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09

Progress Literature review Data preparation In Progress Spatial analysis In Progress Model development Starting Apply model to Illinois FEB Final Presentation

Summary Composite and monthly hazard index Geoprocessing model Hazard impact map products Key infrastructure Population exposure Emergency management areas

Questions jhl 167@psu. edu www. personal. psu. edu/jhl 167