Designing the future Orienting scenarios and cultural prototypes
- Slides: 56
Designing the future. Orienting scenarios and cultural prototypes Ezio Manzini, CIRIS Politecnico di Milano
in turbulent times, the only way to forecast the future is to try to design it. What does it mean to design the future? Who deigns the future?
the present contains many possible futures. With our actions we give a “possible future” more or less possibility to influence what will be the “actual future”.
to design the future means to make some strategic moves. . . … to give a favourite possible future more potential to influence the actual future that will appear.
the future is open, but its building materials and building forces are around us just now, in the present. the problem for us is to recognise these building materials and the drivers of change.
to design the future does not mean to invent the future … … it means to re-orient and reconceptualise some existing drivers of change.
specific future-orienting design tools: > scenario building > cultural prototyping
“scenario building” as a new design activity
which kind of scenarios? policy orienting (POS) design orienting (DOS)
how a scenario is done? 1. vision 2. motivation 3. proposal
experiences … 3 research on scenario building and solutions development ….
1. Sustainable Households (the Sushouse Project) funded by the Environment and Climate Research Programme of the European Community
2. Highly Customised and Contextualised Solutions (the Hi. CS Project) funded by the Growth Programme of the European Community
3. The Chinese Network on Design for Sustainability (the Leapfrog Project) funded by the HK Polytechnic University
the present.
from the industrial society to the mature industrial society and to the network society (… two steps in two decades !)
industrial society.
“think product!” (…. and services will follow)
mature industrial society.
“think service!” (…. and products will follow)
Service: a performance that some people do for the utility, satisfaction and the support of other people’s activities (…there are marketable and nonmarketable performances)
Out- sourcing: to buy on the market a service that, before, has been delivered in a non-market form of economy (…the marketisation of private spaces and times)
network society.
“think nets!” (…. and products, services and systems will follow)
… for the network society, see: M. Castells, The rise of the network society
network society = a service economy + a high degree of connectivity
connectivity.
Connectivity: the quantity and quality of manageable interactions
connectivity as heat: the “melting” of the traditional forms of organisation.
in a quasi-fluid world ….
1. from “value chains” to “value constellations”
traditionally ideas follows organisations today organisations follows ideas
2. from “products” to “events”
traditionally products are “things” today products are “events” and companies are “dynamic system organisers”
services and connectivity transparency and permeability (… from services as interfaces to whole companies as services)
systems and connectivity flexibility and reconfigurability (… from system analysis to system design)
designers’ role in the network society ?
… solution promoters and scenario builders
system innovation in the network society. . .
the system innovation as the result of a strategic conversation …
… the strategic conversation as the tool to enable different actors to converge on the same shared vision
scenarios (in the network society). . .
… to generate shared visions … to facilitate solution oriented partnerships
sustainable scenarios ?
… evolving visions of wellbeing
context-based wellbeing
wellbeing = services + common goods + ecology of times
criteria for sustainability 1. low energy-material intensity: it is related to the consumption of environmental resources for ‘unit of service’; it is mainly a technical issue
criteria for sustainability 2. high regenerative potentiality: it is related to the capability to improve the quality of the contexts; it is a technical and socio-cultural issue
how to imagine metascenarios based on regenerative solutions?
new attitudes towards: 1. care and user empowerment enabling vs. relieving 2. social relationships and community empowerment collective vs. individual
meta-scenarios outlines Individual No-care Relieving-individual solutions D. I. Y. + Enabling-individual solutions Relieving Enabling Thank you! i Relieving-collective solutions Me&You Enabling-collective solutionsi Collective
solutions outlines Individual ( D. I. Y. +) (No-care) Inertial scenario NO sustainable solutions Sustainable solutions as (individual) enabling tools Relieving Enabling Sustainable solutions as i eco-efficient full-services Sustainable solutions as (socialised) enabling platform i (Thank you!) (Me&You) Collective
- Future perfect future continuous exercises
- Future perfect continuous and simple
- Card-based paper prototypes, sketches and storyboards are
- Card-based paper prototypes, sketches and storyboards are
- Printers create objects such as prototypes and models.
- Socializing orienting and developing employees
- Oecd scenarios for the future of schooling
- Low medium high fidelity prototypes
- Episodic memory
- Custom magnet prototypes
- Patched-up prototype
- Card-based prototypes
- "prototypes"
- Low fidelity storyboard
- Ati nurse logic
- "designing the future of urban farming," by ideo
- See future continuous
- Tense chart
- Future plans and finished future actions
- Future perfect and future continuous
- Kondicional 1 engleski
- Future perfect
- Simple present simple past simple future
- Future nurse programme
- Past continuous interrupted form
- Future continuous for future arrangements
- Push and pull scenarios
- Scenarios about relationships
- Personas and scenarios
- Light and noise discipline
- Scenarios of unhealthy relationships
- Designing and delivering oral and online presentations
- Architecture is the art and science of designing buildings
- Hát kết hợp bộ gõ cơ thể
- Frameset trong html5
- Bổ thể
- Tỉ lệ cơ thể trẻ em
- Voi kéo gỗ như thế nào
- Tư thế worm breton
- Chúa yêu trần thế alleluia
- Môn thể thao bắt đầu bằng chữ đua
- Thế nào là hệ số cao nhất
- Các châu lục và đại dương trên thế giới
- Cong thức tính động năng
- Trời xanh đây là của chúng ta thể thơ
- Mật thư anh em như thể tay chân
- 101012 bằng
- độ dài liên kết
- Các châu lục và đại dương trên thế giới
- Thơ thất ngôn tứ tuyệt đường luật
- Quá trình desamine hóa có thể tạo ra
- Một số thể thơ truyền thống
- Cái miệng nó xinh thế chỉ nói điều hay thôi
- Vẽ hình chiếu vuông góc của vật thể sau
- Biện pháp chống mỏi cơ
- đặc điểm cơ thể của người tối cổ
- Thế nào là giọng cùng tên?