DAC Work on Multilateral Aid Emily Bosch DAC
DAC Work on Multilateral Aid Emily Bosch DAC Network on Development Evaluation 10 February 2010
Multilateral Aid and the DAC 1. Aid Predictability: Forward Spending Survey 2. Division of Labour: Global Fragmentation & Concentration 3. Annual Multilateral Aid Report
Forward Spending Survey • Only global survey on donors’ future aid • Survey shows little sign of raised levels of ambition for 2010 targets, outlook for 2011 no more encouraging. • Multilateral agencies account for most of increased allocations to LICs
Global Fragmentation & Concentration • Bilateral and Multilateral donors • Donor fragmentation across countries is increasing • Allocation rules do not internalise aid from other donors
Non-significant donor relationships: Opportunities for concentration
Multilateral Trends • +/- 30% share of multilateral ODA • 2008: 82% ML aid to IDA, EC, UN, Global Fund • Even greater concentration when non-core or funds channelled through multilaterals is included, special topic in 2010 report
Gross ODA provided by DAC members countries 1987 – 2008
other multilateral ODA EC Ne w al Ze d an ur g re a Ko bo m xe Lu e ga l rtu Po Gr ee c lia nd ra st Au nd a nd la Ire Fin la la st ri er itz Sw Au ay k um lgi Be rw No da ar nm De na Ca ed en Sw in ly nd s er la th Sp a Ita n pa Ja e es at St 5. 0 Ne d nc y m an m Fr a Ge r ng do Ki Un ite d Un ite Multilateral ODA disbursements by DAC member 2006 - 2008 annual average (in USD billions, excluding debt relief) 4. 5 4. 0 3. 5 3. 0 2. 5 2. 0 1. 5 1. 0 0. 5 -
Trends of Multilateral Aid Allocation 12 2007 constant USD billion 10 8 6 4 2 0 UN EC World Bank Group 1989 -93 1994 -98 1999 -03 Reg. dev. Banks 2004 -08 The Global Fund Other Agencies
ODA Gross disbursements (core contributions) and reflows 1999 -2008, cumulative (excluding debt relief) Constant 2007 USD billion Source: DAC aggregated statistics Total multilateral inflows = 276 bn Total flows to ODA recipients (bilateral aid + multialteral outflows) = 957 bn DAC countries Total ODA-eligible inflows = 61 bn; inflows to agencies reporting to the DAC = 36 bn 99 bn EC (1 bn)* (4 bn) IDA ( 87 bn) UN agencies 643 bn 2 bn 54 bn 25 bn 37 bn Other multi Regional banks (18 bn) (9 bn) ( 9 bn) IDA 100 bn 40 bn** 87 bn 33 bn 26 bn ODA recipients ( ) Reflows (not including interest payments) * Reflows to IFAD. * Outflows based on proportion of UN agencies that report to the DAC
Conclusions • Objective of work is to provide evidence for more rational allocation of aid. • Multilateral work so far looks more indepth at how bilateral donors fund multilateral agencies. To what extent does the perceived or real effectiveness of multilateral agencies affect the allocation of multilateral aid?
- Slides: 12