Crop Market Outlook Aug 8 2017 Chad Hart

Crop Market Outlook Aug. 8, 2017 Chad Hart Associate Professor/Crop Marketing Specialist chart@iastate. edu 515 -294 -9911 Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

U. S. Corn Supply and Use 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 95. 4 90. 6 88. 0 94. 0 90. 9 Area Planted (mil. acres) Yield (bu. /acre) 158. 1 171. 0 168. 4 174. 6 170. 7 Production (mil. bu. ) 13, 829 14, 216 13, 602 15, 148 14, 255 Beg. Stocks (mil. bu. ) 821 1, 232 1, 731 1, 737 2, 370 Imports (mil. bu. ) 36 32 67 55 50 Total Supply (mil. bu. ) 14, 686 15, 479 15, 401 16, 940 16, 675 Feed & Residual (mil. bu. ) 5, 040 5, 280 5, 120 5, 425 5, 475 Ethanol (mil. bu. ) 5, 124 5, 200 5, 224 5, 450 5, 500 Food, Seed, & Other (mil. bu. ) 1, 369 1, 401 1, 422 1, 470 1, 500 Exports (mil. bu. ) 1, 920 1, 867 1, 898 2, 225 1, 875 Total Use (mil. bu. ) 13, 454 13, 748 13, 664 14, 570 14, 350 Ending Stocks (mil. bu. ) 1, 232 1, 731 1, 737 2, 370 2, 325 4. 46 3. 70 3. 61 3. 35 3. 30 Season-Average Price ($/bu. ) Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

U. S. Soybean Supply and Use 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Area Planted (mil. acres) 76. 8 83. 3 82. 7 83. 4 89. 5 Yield (bu. /acre) 44. 0 47. 5 48. 0 52. 1 48. 0 Production (mil. bu. ) 3, 358 3, 927 3, 926 4, 307 4, 260 Beg. Stocks (mil. bu. ) 141 92 191 197 410 Imports (mil. bu. ) 72 33 24 25 25 Total Supply (mil. bu. ) 3, 570 4, 052 4, 140 4, 528 4, 695 Crush (mil. bu. ) 1, 734 1, 873 1, 886 1, 900 1, 950 Seed & Residual (mil. bu. ) 107 146 122 118 135 Exports (mil. bu. ) 1, 638 1, 842 1, 936 2, 100 2, 150 Total Use (mil. bu. ) 3, 478 3, 862 3, 944 4, 118 4, 235 Ending Stocks (mil. bu. ) 92 191 197 410 460 Season-Average Price ($/bu. ) 13. 00 10. 10 8. 95 9. 50 9. 40 Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

National Corn Crop Ratings Source: USDA-NASS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

National Soybean Crop Ratings Source: USDA-NASS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Early Projection of Corn Yield Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Early Projection of Soybean Yield Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

World Corn Production Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

World Soybean Production Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

U. S. Meat Production & Prices Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

U. S. Meat Trade Million pounds Source: USDA-WAOB Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Corn Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Advance Corn Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Soybean Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Advance Soybean Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Corn Grind for Ethanol Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Current Corn Futures 4. 17 3. 89 Source: CME Group, 8/7/2017 Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Current Soybean Futures 9. 61 9. 65 Source: CME Group, 8/7/2017 Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

2017/18 Crop Margins Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Iowa Corn Prices vs. Costs Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Iowa Soybean Prices vs. Costs Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics

Thank you for your time! Any questions? My web site: http: //www 2. econ. iastate. edu/faculty/hart/ Iowa Farm Outlook: http: //www 2. econ. iastate. edu/ifo/ Ag Decision Maker: http: //www. extension. iastate. edu/agdm/ Extension and Outreach/Department of Economics