Copyright by Yichun Zhang Zhenlong Zheng and Hai
第四章 外汇市场 @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
本章框架 p 第一节 外汇市场概述 p 第二节 外汇市场的构成 p 第三节 外汇市场的交易方式 p 第四节 汇率决定理论与影响因素 @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
@Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
一、外汇交易步骤 p 外汇交易一般分为五大步骤:询价 (Asking)、报价 (Quotation)、成 交 (Done)、证实 (Confirmation)、结算 (Settlement)。 p 询价报价交易过程的实例: 询价方甲:Spot USD JPY please? (请问即期美元兑日元你报什 么价格?) 报价方乙:MP。 (稍等片刻。) 70/80 (买价 70点/卖价 80点。) 询价方甲:Buy USD 2。 (买进 200万美元。) 报价方乙:Ok,done,I sell USD 2 Million and buy JPY At 110. 70,value 19/10/2004。 (好的,成交。我卖给你 200万美元买 进日元,汇率是 110. 70,起息日是 2004年 10月19日。) JPY please to AAA BK Tokyo。A/C No. 13579。 (我们的日元请付至东京AAA银行,账号是 13579。) 询价方甲:USD To GGT BK A/C 7896432 CHIPS UID 07352, Thanks very much for deal BIFN。 (我们的美元请付至纽约GGT 银行,账号是 7896432,CHIPS UID 07352,多谢你的交易,再见 朋友。) @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
交叉汇率的计算 Ø 如果两个即期汇率都以美元作为计价货 币,那么,汇率的套算也是交叉相除。 例:假如目前市场汇率是: n GBP 1=USD 1. 6125 -1. 6135 AUD=USD 0. 7120 -0. 7130 则单位英镑换取澳元的汇价为: n GBP 1=AUD n n - =AUD 2. 2616 -2. 2662 @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
三、远期外汇交易 p 远期交易分类 q 固定交割日的远期交易 (Fixed Maturity Date Forward Transaction) q 选择交割日的远期交易 (Optional Maturity Date Forward Transaction) p 远期交易目的 q q q 避免商业或金融交易遭受汇率变动的风险 外汇银行为平衡期汇头寸 投机者为谋取汇率变动的差价 @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
抵补套利 (Covered Interest Arbitrage) A国利率8% 2006. 3. 1 100 A 换回A与 存在A相 比较 B国利率10% 120 B 即期汇率 远期汇率 2007. 2. 28 120 B*(1+10%) @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
纸币流通制度下的汇率决定理论 p 购买力平价说 p 利率平价说 p 国际收支说 p 资产市场说 @Copyright by Yichun Zhang, Zhenlong Zheng and Hai Lin, Department of Finance, Xiamen University, 2007
- Slides: 52