Constructive Simulation for Tactical Course of Action Analysis

Constructive Simulation for Tactical Course of Action Analysis: Problems and Requirements in Combat with Peer Competitors The NATO Science & Technology Organization Collaboration Support Office Dr. Pavel ZUNA CSO Director 16 October 2019 Enabling Future Innovation and Capabilities 1 September 2019 Cleared for Public Release Slide 1

Outline • Constructive Simulation for Tactical Course of Action Analysis • NATO Science & Technology Organization – Modeling & Simulation 1 September 2019 Cleared for Public Release Slide 2

Constructive Simulation for Tactical Course of Action Analysis • Combat with Peer Competitors • Tactical Battlefield Area Evaluation for Decision Making and Simulation Support – – – Military Thinking versus Military Drills The ART of the Warfare Attack or Defense? What is the purpose of the Tactical combat? Understanding and Feeling of the METT-TC Space Time (5 aspects) • • • Length Sequencing Speed Frequency Opportunity – Conclusions 1 September 2019 Cleared for Public Release Slide 3

The NATO Science and Technology Organization (STO) Office of the Chief Scientist [BRUSSELS] Collaborative Support Office [PARIS] Innovative • • NMSG Modelling & Simulation Group AVT Advanced Vehicle Technology HFM Human Factors & Medicine IST Information Systems & Tech SAS Systems Analysis and Studies SCI Systems Concepts & Integration SET Sensors Electronics Tech Integrated IMPACT Interconnected Insightful Center for Maritime Research and Experimentation [LA SPEZIA] • S&T Board • Collaboration & Coordination • CNAD, MC, C 3 B, NCIA, ACT & ACO • International Partnerships • • • Technology Watch S&T Trends Report Von Karman Horizon Scan S&T Advice Ad hoc studies & analysis The world’s largest defense S&T collaborative network Government Industry, Academia 29 Nations & Many Partners 1 Group / 6 Panels 1 Research Center Approximately 200 Staff < 250 active projects in the Collaborative Program of Work 6000+ active collaborators

NMSG Mission Modelling and Simulation Group Promote co-operation among NATO organizations, Member Nations and Partner Nations to maximize the effective utilization of M&S. 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Slide 5

Forge and nurture effective partnerships NATO BODIES Partner Nations participation in Po. W (% of activities) 100% 80% 78% 60% 40% 20% 19% GP Pf. P 0% EOP 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 • • ACT CMRE NIAG NCIA AIRCOM MARCOM NATO JFTC NATO JWC COEs COE - Modelling and Simulation 7% COE - Air Operations (CASPOA) COE - Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence CC (CCDC) COE - Crisis Management and Disaster Response (CMDR) COE - Defence Against Terrorism (DAT) COE - Joint Chemical, Biological, Radiological, & Nuclear Defence COE - Operations NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners in Confined and Shallow Waters (CSW) Slide 6

NATO M&S Master Plan Application Domains Objectives Support to Operations Establish a Common Technical Framework Provide Coordination and Common Services Capability Development Mission Rehearsal Standardization Authority in NATO for M&S Training & Education Procurement Guiding Principles Develop and Employ Models and Simulations Interoperability Re-use Synergy 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Slide 7

70 % COMMON TECHNICAL FRAMEWORK NMSG STANDARDIZATION INTEROPERABILITY 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Slide 8

Modelling and Simulation as a Service - Phase 2 “M&S products, data and processes will be conveniently accessible and available on-demand to all users in order to enhance operational effectiveness” Ø M&S whenever needed and wherever it is needed: ü Independence of location (command post, class room, ship, theatre, etc. ) ü Independence of device (PC, laptop, smartphone, C 2/MC system, etc. ) Ø 87 Members, (Government, Academia and Industry) Ø MSG-131 Stay at the forefront of S&T MSG-136 • 10 NATO Nations • 5 Partner Nations • 4 NATO Bodies MSG-164 Enhance Alliance decision making 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 NATO MSaa. S capability? Forge and nurture effective partnerships Promote prototyping & technology demos NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Focus on Alliance needs to boost impact Slide 9

Operationalization of Standardized C 2 -Simulation Interoperability “Will enable information exchange in a timely, efficient and cost-effective manner to allow C 2 and simulation systems to interoperate” Ø Standardizing the exchange of digitized military information for C 2 SIM interoperation is a solution and will lead to realizing a number of benefits that include: • • enhanced realism and overall effectiveness; faster, more consistent information exchange among systems decreased cost and risk by reducing manual input; reduced preparation and response time. Ø 62 Members Stay at the forefront of S&T • 11 NATO Nations • 4 Partner Nations • 3 NATO Bodies Enhance Alliance decision making 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 Forge and nurture effective partnerships Promote prototyping & technology demos NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Focus on Alliance needs to boost impact Slide 10

“M&S is already a mature technology widely used by the Allies to enable military training. However, it is considered that the use of M&S to support education and training in NATO has not been developed to its greater extent. ” Mission Training through Distributed Simulation (MTDS) in the Air Domain (MSG-165) Ø Started in January 2018, following MSG-128 Ø Over 50 Members (8 NATO nations & 3 NATO bodies) Ø Collaboration with NAFAG in Smart Defence Initiative 1. 1118 Live Virtual Constructive – Training (LVC-T) in the Maritime Domain (MSG-169) Ø Started in July 2018 Ø Over 20 Members (5 NATO nations, 1 Partner nation & 3 NATO bodies) Ø MSG-169 MSG-180 Ø MSG-165 & MSG-169 are working together towards a Joint MTDS Enhance Alliance decision Forge and nurture effective Promote prototyping & Stay at the forefront of S&T making 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 partnerships NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners technology demos Focus on Alliance needs to boost impact Slide 11

Data Farming Services for Analysis and Simulation-Based Decision Support “Will allow NATO military decision makers in the domains of defence planning, operations, training and capability development to reduce uncertainty resulting in more robust solutions” The general objective is to extend data farming capability and accessibility through developing Data Farming Services (DFS) in accordance with the Modelling & Simulation as a Service concept for analysis, wargaming, other simulation-based decision support, and training, while technically supporting NATO’s Federated Mission Networking (FMN) specifications. Ø 40 Members Ø MSG-088 Stay at the forefront of S&T • 9 NATO Nations • 3 Partner Nations • 3 NATO Bodies MSG-124 MSG-155 Enhance Alliance decision making 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 AI/BD Thematic approach Forge and nurture effective partnerships Promote prototyping & technology demos NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Focus on Alliance needs to boost impact Slide 12

CDT's accomplished/planned in 2019 and 2020 • M&S as a Service (MSaa. S) (MSG-164) q. Coalition Warrior Interoperability Exercise (CWIX) 2019 & 2020 q. ITEC 2019 q. CAX Forum 2019 q. I/ITSEC 2019: MSaa. S Demonstration q. CAX Forum 2020, I/ITSEC 2020 • C 2 and Simulation Systems Interoperability (C 2 SIM) (MSG-145) q. ITEC 2019 q. I/ITSEC 2019: Sandbox-based q CWIX 19 architecture. 24 September 2019 - CAX Forum 2019 • Data Farming services (MSG-155) • Mission Training through Distributed Simulation (MTDS) (MSG- 165) q. Spartan Warrior Exercise q. Spartan Alliance • Evolution of NATO Standards for Federated Simulation (MSG-163) q. CWIX 2019 and 2020 q. I/ITSEC 2020 NATO UNCLASSIFIED Releasable all Partners Slide 13

www. sto. nato. int 1 September 2019 Cleared for Public Release Slide 14