comparing ISCCP and GEWEX products Stefan Kinne Max
- Slides: 52
comparing ISCCP and GEWEX products Stefan Kinne Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg, Germany Ehrhard Raschke University of Hamburg, Germany MPI Metorolo gy Madison, July 2006
overview MPI-M ¡ available long-term global data-sets for radiative fluxes l l at the Top of Atmosphere (To. A) at the surface (sur) ¡ concept on investigating consistency ¡ assessments of solar flux comparisons ¡ assessments of infrared flux comparisons ¡ recommendations
MPI-M l ¡ Earth’s radiation budget how accurate defined is the radiation budget of our climate system? know your clouds … ¡ size-distribution ¡ cover ¡ (z) know ancillary data … ¡ surface + s-processes ¡ anthop. influences ¡ …on regional and seasonal scales
2 long-term data-sets MPI-M describe radiation budgets at To. A and surface ¡ ISCCP l l l ¡ GOAL: extract data on cloud field characteristics from operational meteorological satellite sensors years: 1983 -2004, res: 250 km (spatial) , 3 hr (temp) processed. C at NASA-GISS (Rossow, Zhang) GEWEX-SRB l GOAL: determine radiation budgets at the surface years: 1983 -2004, res: 100 km (spatial) , daily (temp) processed at NASA-Langley (Stackhouse) l clouds properties are ‘based‘ on the ISCCP climatology ! l l
task at hand MPI-M ¡ two bb-flux data sets l l for same time-period based on the same cloud data ¡ we should expect similar (if not the same) data l ¡ let’s test that l l l stratify data into zonal bands of monthly means display differences (always ISCCP minus GEWEX) interpret differences and highlight issues
MPI-M 75 -90 N ¡ 60 -75 N ¡ 30 -60 N ¡ 0 -30 S ¡ 30 -60 N ¡ 60 -75 N ¡ 75 -90 N ¡ regional temporal choices (1. 7%) (5. 0%) (18. 3%) (25. 0%) (18. 3%) (5. 0%) (1. 7%) use monthly averages
solar fluxes MPI-M solar i To. A ¡ solar i surface ¡ solar h/i To. A ¡ h the ‘solar’ driver solar atm. transmittance surface albedo planetary albedo typical plot: timeseries of monthly averages diff. colors for diff. latitude zones ISCCP GEWEX deviation Time (starting in 1983) g
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M WHY DEVIATIONS ? simplified treatment of GEWEX solar insolation at low sun-elevations toa D sol i DECEMBER 2005 for the record: larger deviations are gone In new GEWEX data
conclusion # 1 MPI-M ¡ un-necessary deviation for ‘solar driver’ ¡ low Dt) sun, avg (Dlat, ¡ also an issue in global modeling IPCC-4 AR a ¡ use consistent routines for To. A insolation ! ¡ agree ¡ on orbit and So implement properly! solar insolation of IPCC models
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text sol isur
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M sol isur TOA ¡ text at surface: differences among data-sets are larger ! high lat. peaks are out phase to To. A peaks a cloud issue !
conclusion # 2 MPI-M ¡ ‘sol i To. A’ differences are lost at ‘sol i surface’ and ‘sol i surface’ differences are larger (!) ¡ differences in atmospheric properties dominate ¡ larger differences (season dep. ) at higher latitudes l ¡ most probable explanation ¡ diff. ¡ in cloud-cover / cloud opt. depth (for data-sets) assessment: cloud cover / optical depth differ ! ¡ ‘cloud’ differences have a seasonal dependence ¡ GEWEX cloud (opt. depth/cover) impact is stronger especially during polar summers (particularly in SH) (… yet weaker during mid-latitude summer in SH)
D sol h/i sur ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M largest differences during NH mid-lat winters - at high latitudes (not shown) even worse ! a snow issue !
conclusion # 3 MPI-M ¡ solar surface albedo in models differs l l l differences have a seasonal dependence sign of diff. varies between high and low latitudes largest differences are linked to snow (alb. / cover) ¡ GEWEX has smaller solar surface albedos at higher latitudes especially in seasons, when snow can be expected … yet larger solar surface albedos in the tropics ¡ assessment on solar surface albedo: accuracy and consistency of ancillary (non-cloud data) data matters !
sol h/i ISCCP - GEWEX MPI-M ¡ toa text a combination of all previous biases
conclusion # 4 MPI-M ¡ diff. in plantetary albedo display combined effect l l l solar insolation biases solar surface albedo atmospheric properties (especially those of clouds) ¡ potential ¡ planetary albedo at To. A differences l ¡ for offsetting errors surface albedo diff. at mid/ high lat. are modulated as expected by cloud impact based on solar transm. - except for tropics: GEWEX clouds less reflective! assessment: cloud microphysics differ
infrared MPI-M IR h surface [emission] ¡ IR i surface ¡ IR h at To. A [OLR] ¡ h surf. temp effect (low) cloud effect (high) cloud effect typical plot: timeseries of monthly averages diff. colors for diff. latitude zones ISCCP GEWEX deviation Time (starting in 1983) g
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text sur D ir h
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ D ir h sur can this trend text be detected at - ir i sur ? - ir h toa ? ‘false’ trend due to the use of incorrect surface temperature data for ISCCP in the tropics
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ there D ir i sur NO: atm. effects (clouds) dominate
ISCCP-GEWEX MPI-M toa NO: atm. effects (clouds) dominate ¡ text D ir h
ISCCP-GEWEX MPI-M toa/sur toa ¡ text lower GEWEX opt. depth/cover higher GEWEX opt. depth/cover sur D ir h
MPI-M conclusion # 5 ¡ atmospheric properties are main IR modulators ¡ surface emission differences vs OLR differences l l ¡ usually consistent with cloud (opt. depth/cover) bias … though not always ! cloud boundary temperatures matter l atm. temp. profile or altitude placement of cloud? ¡ assessment: cloud altitude placement differs ¡ other important ancillary data: l surface temperature / atm. temperature profile
conclusions MPI-M ¡ ISCCP and GEWEX radiations products often disagree on cloud ancillary data ¡ significant difference for cloud properties surprise, given the same cloud data-source ¡ larger disagreements at high-latitudes ¡ potential offsets can dilute severity of problem ¡ ¡ careful validation to quality data are needed ¡ ground-based network (BSRN) ? ¡ use synergy of advanced space sensors (A-train) ¡ collaboration of data/analyzing groups needed
recommendations MPI-M ¡ develop a reference algorithm for To. A solar insolation ¡ ¡ re-evaluate cloud properties and ancillary data (T, snow) ¡ ¡ ¡ compare to in-situ and ground-based quality data identify systematic diff. on regional / seasonal scales treat cloud ancillary data in a consistent manner ¡ ¡ Earth’s orbital data, solar constant, low sun elevation issue implementation ( … to suit model / data-set resolution) document your steps ! ¡ supply complete and detailed explanations on assumptions and methods – including a brief summary to allow a hasty user to understand major characteristics and error sources.
MPI-M
MPI-M extras solar downward surface flux ‘trend’ ¡ solar transmission ratio and ‘trend’ ¡ solar planetary ‘trend’ / ‘trend’ differences ¡ infrared surf emission ‘trend’ / ‘trend’ differences ¡ infrared outgoing ir flux ‘trend’ differences ¡ all-sky vs. clear-sky: the cloud effect ¡
MPI-M
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ sur D sol i MAY 2006 text high latitudes only
sol i ISCCP MPI-M MAY 2006 ¡ text lower latitudes sur
GEWEX MPI-M MAY 2006 ¡ text lower latitudes sol i sur
MPI-M
sol (isur/itoa) ISCCP/GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text
sol (isur/itoa) ISCCP/GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text
GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text sol (isur /itoa)
MPI-M
D sol h/i toa ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text lower latitudes
D sol h/i toa ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text high latitudes
sol h/i ISCCP MPI-M ¡ text toa
sol h/i GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text toa
MPI-M
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ text sur D ir h
ir h ISCCP MPI-M ¡ text sur
MPI-M
ISCCP-GEWEX MPI-M ¡ toa text lower latitudes D ir h
ISCCP – GEWEX MPI-M ¡ D ir h toa text high latitudes
MPI-M
ISCCP-GEWEX cld effect MPI-M ¡ text solisur
ISCCP cloud effect MPI-M ¡ text toa sol h/i
ISCCP cloud effect MPI-M ¡ text toa ir h
ISCCP 91 -95 MPI-M ¡ text Raschke et al. , Int. J. Clim. 2005 sol+ir h toa
ISCCP 91 -95 MPI-M ¡ text Raschke et al. , Int. J. Clim. 2005 sol+ir atm
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