CME Group Weather Derivatives Felix Carabello December 5

CME Group Weather Derivatives Felix Carabello December 5, 2007

Disclaimer • Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, and involves the risk of loss. Futures are a leveraged investment, and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money deposited for a futures position. Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles. And only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade because they cannot expect to profit on every trade. • All references to options refer to options on futures. • The globe logo, CME®, CME Group™, Chicago Mercantile Exchange® are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT® and the Chicago Board of Trade® are trademarks of The Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX® is a registered trademark of the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. • The information within this presentation has been compiled by CME Group for general purposes only. Although every attempt has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information within this presentation, CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. Additionally, all examples in this presentation are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience. • All matters pertaining to rules and specifications herein are made subject to and are superseded by official CME, CBOT and CME Group rules. Current rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifications. • Copyright © 2007 CME Group. All rights reserved. 2

Intro to CME Group The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was established in 1848, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) in 1898. • Economic functions • Hedging and risk management • Price discovery • Price dissemination The world’s largest and most diverse exchange All transactions cleared, settled, and guaranteed by the CME Clearing House • World’s largest • 100+ years of default free performance Virtual 24 hour trading on the CME Globex® electronic trading platform 3

CME Group Market Environment • Especially during periods of market turmoil, customers are concerned about: • Liquidity • Capital efficiency • Anonymity • Counterparty risk • CME Group has: • a diverse multi-asset product base CME Group provides an open-access model with instantaneous access to deep liquidity with low transaction cost. – Interest rate – Equities – Foreign exchange – Agricultural commodities – Alternative investments – Energy and metals • a broad customer base 4

Global Presence CME Globex live access from more than 80 countries 6 European/Asian hubs • Regionally focused sales, education and marketing to key targets • Broadening relationships in emerging markets CME provides access to highly liquid markets across all major asset classes on an industry leading technology platform. 5

CME Group ADV by Year (contracts in thousands) CME Group ADV by Quarter (contracts in thousands) Sep 07 up 35% vs. Sep 06 11, 135 4 -Yr CAGR: 27% 13, 000 up 52% 8, 476 8, 530 6, 837 5, 484 77% 4, 265 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Ex-Pit Open Outcry Electronic (CME Globex and e-CBOT) Q 1 06 Q 2 06 Q 3 06 Q 4 06 Q 1 07 Q 2 07 Q 3 07 to date Q 3 volume has not exceeded Q 2 volume since 2002 6

Alternative Investments at CME Group

Alternative Investments Product Line • Standardized Weather: Real Estate: • U. S. Weekly Monthly & Seasonal Weather (18 cities) • Residential Housing, based on S&P/Case-Schiller Home Price Indices • European Monthly & Seasonal Weather (9 cities) • Dow Jones U. S. Real Estate Index Futures • Asian-Pacific Monthly & Seasonal Weather (2 cities) • Canadian Monthly & Seasonal Weather (6 cities) • Frost Day Monthly & Seasonal • Snowfall & Seasonal Snowfall (2 cities) Energy: • Ethanol Forward Month Swaps (OTC) • Ethanol Basis Swaps (OTC) • Hurricane Seasonal, Seasonal Maximum based on Carvill Hurricane Index 8

CME Group Weather - A Developing Market March 8 th/April 12 th September 26 th Summer 1999 CME launches first exchange weather derivatives Change contract size from $100 to $20 Launch 10 new US seasonal cities & 12 new US monthly cities. 1999 2003 August 22, 2002 Announce the LMM (Wolverine) Volume 24, 094 February 27 Launch Snowfall Contacts for New York And Boston Add 3 new US cities and 4 new European cities Expand the Option strike range 2004 October 3 rd Launch five monthly and seasonal European cities June 20 th July 26 th 2005 September 23 th June 14 th Launch of additional 5 US seasonal cities Total is 15 US Monthly/Seasonal cities 122, 094 (1999 -2003) 2007 - Launched Hurricane/Weeklies YTD ADV 4, 800 (April 6, 400) 2006 Launch CME Weather Seasonal Strips/ Frost contracts 867, 681 October 16 th Launch 6 Canadian Monthly and Seasonal Strip Contracts 801, 122

CME Group Weather – A Developing Market • 2007 Volume • ADV +21% over 2006; (October ADV is at 7, 000) • Screen trading has increased by 150% • Increased Summer trading (CDD) by 26% • Traded over 2. 5 Million contracts since 2005 • New market participants up 23% • Records • Surpassed open interest in 2007 • Set daily record of over 29, 000 in August • 2007 OI surpassed 490, 000 • Increase of 10% over 2006 • Surpassed OI of Live Cattle, Lean Hogs and other “mature” products • Market Participants • Re-Insurance, Hedge funds, Utilities, Power, Gas and other energy. 10

Benefits of CME Group Weather Derivatives • Standardized contract specifications or flexible options (bespoke) • Anonymous central counterparty clearing • Frees up valuable counterparty credit lines • Secured by CME Financial Safeguards system • Centralized price discovery & universal price dissemination • Streamlined processing and allocations Broaden Products • Daily mark to market minimizes financial risks • Positions are automatically netted Broaden Participants • No ISDA documentation required • No bilateral collaterals Link to CME Clearing • Offer a standard, transparent reference point for marking and valuing OTC positions • Electronic trading platform & other trading venues • Immediate execution, Increased transparency, Enhanced liquidity 11

CME Group Managing Risk • CME Group weather futures and options are used to manage many risk factors: • Margin • Liquidity risk • Settlement risk • Market concentration • Credit (non-performance) risk • Deal replacement risk • Contagion risk

Accurate Weather Data is Vitally Important 1 2 3 4 Historical Margins Contract Settlements Market Confidence

Contact Us • John Harangody Director, Commodity Products John. Harangody@cmegroup. com 312 -466 -4437 • Felix Carabello Director, Alternative Investments Products Felix. Carabello@cmegroup. com 312 -634 -1585 • Christina Hanson Associate Director, Alternative Investments Products Christina. Hanson@cmegoup. com 312 -930 - 1308 • Tony Zaccaria Associate Director, Alternative Investments Products Anthony. Zaccaria@cmegroup. com 312 -930 -4560 14

CME Group Weather Derivatives Felix Carabello December 5, 2007