Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Climate change processes
- Slides: 39
Climate Change - Adaptation and Mitigation
Climate change: processes, characteristics and threats. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library. Retrieved 19: 29, October 1, 2008 from http: //maps. grida. no/go/graphic/climate_change_processes_characteristics_and_threats.
Direct Observation of Climate Change Source: IPCC 4 AR
Impact, Vulnerability and Adaptation of Climate Change
Sensitivity, adaptability and vulnerability. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library. Retrieved 19: 38, October 1, 2008 from http: //maps. grida. no/go/graphic/sensitivity-adaptability-and-vulnerability.
Major Findings of IPCC 4 AR Impacts are occurring now as a consequence of climate change n Future possible impacts have been identified n
Source: IPCC 4 AR
Source: IPCC 4 AR
Source: IPCC 4 AR
Source: IPCC 4 AR
Mitigation of Climate Change
Global GHG Trend (1970 – 2004) Source: IPCC 4 AR
Drivers of GHG Emissions E E = P x GDP x TPES x P GDP TPES Emissions Income per capita Population Carbon Intensity Energy Intensity
Trends of Emission Drivers Source: IPCC 4 AR
Changes in Drivers of Emissions Source: IPCC 4 AR
Uneven Distribution of Emissions Source: IPCC 4 AR
Different Pathways of Future Emissions Source: IPCC 4 AR
Consequences of Different Emissions Scenarios Source: IPCC 4 AR
Source: IPCC 4 AR
Mitigation Potential n Market Potential: n n the amount of GHG mitigation that might be expected to occur under forecast market conditions, including policies and measures in place at the time. Economic Potential: n the potential for cost effective GHG mitigation when nonmarket social costs and benefits are included with market costs and benefits in assessing the options for particular levels of carbon prices when using social discount rates instead of private ones.
Economic Mitigation Potential in 2030 Bottom-up Studies Source: IPCC 4 AR Top-down Studies
Total ~ 16 – 31 Gt/yr i. e. 23 -46% reduction from (conservative) baseline Source: IPCC 4 AR
Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007
Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007
Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007
Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007
References Main n n IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson, Eds. , Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976 pp. IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz, O. R. Davidson, P. R. Bosch, R. Dave, L. A. Meyer (eds)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. , XXX pp. IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S. , D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller (eds. )]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp. IPCC Website: http: //www. ipcc. ch/ Others n Stern Review http: //www. hm-treasury. gov. uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern_review_Report. cfm n Graphics on climate change http: //www. grida. no/tag. aspx? id=100
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