Clim 2 Pow er CLIM 2 POWER Timeline

Clim 2 Pow er CLIM 2 POWER Timeline and where we stand WP 7 Project management & scientific coordination 2 nd Project Meeting, Brussels 4 th April 2018 Sofia G. Simoes, Filipa Amorim

Where we stand

Where we stand WP 1 End user requirements • Developing enduser requirements • User board meeting Brussels April 5 th (EURELETRIC, EEA, JRC, DG Energy, WEMC, DG Climate Action, ENTSO-E, …) • National workshops in the 4 case-studies WP 2 Climate Data • Toy-data set in high resolution (0. 11°) with a regional climate model • Find a statisticaldynamical approach to obtain higher resolved seasonal forecasts to feed the hydro- and energy models • Select and process long-term climate projections End 2018 1 st set of draft results Set 2017 WP 3 RES energy & demand simulation • Integrating climate data (from WP 2) • Testing models with toy-data set • Validating model outputs with reanalysis and measured data • From April, set energy and power models with proper time and spatial resolution • Simulating the system operation with optimisation models • Estimating climate related electricity costs and emissions variability May 2020 results pipeline ready Mid-2019 2 nd set of draft results Feb 2019 Year 2 WP 4 Impacts on power production Aug 2020 Year 3

Copernicus Symposium & other projects CLIM 4 ENERGY - A service providing climate change indicators tailored for the energy sector http: //clim 4 energy. climate. copernicus. eu/ http: //ecem. climate. copernicus. eu/ The Added Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasting for Integrated Risk Assessment (Feb’ 18 – Jul’ 21) energy & water Sub-seasonal to Seasonal climate forecasting for Energy (Dec’ 18 - Nov’ 21) wind, solar, hydro, demand Seasonal to decadal timescales (Dec’ 18 Nov’ 20) renewable energy, hydrology and agriculture and forestry

Making energy and power models respond to climate variability Hydro, solar, wind availability hydro-storage acq. & storage of fossil fuels electricity prices dispatch constraints operational & maintenance costs CO 2 emissions EU ETS allowance costs Optimisatio n of whole energy/ power system Power + heating & cooling demand Climat e Changes in termal and RES power plant operation Concurrentbiodiversity, flood water uses protection, agriculture, transboundary – statistical meaning-full approach to enhance the predictive skill of the current models over Europe, instead of “just” numerical downscaling – seasonal forecast + long-term projections – optimal power plant porfolio strategy

Impact from CLIM 2 POWER Power producer s timely plan/decide on use of RES resources & backup options for times whenever RES are not available optimal supply schedule half a year ahead Energy traders & facilitato rs learn about climate impact on seasonal electricity prices and can adapt their trading portfolio Power system manager s Water compani es EU, national & regional administ rat assess how the availability of RES in the whole national/tran snational system changes due to the forecasts and can plan for mitigation measures (e. g. cross-border trade of electricity) in a better position to plan water distribution amongst competitive uses, by adopting a priority framework, thus minimizing the risks on those who will be prevented to use water benefit from forecasts of storage operation and potential water use competition situations, enabling improved water source risk assessment and management of alternatives EU : WFD, 2020 Resourceefficient EU Roadmap for water, impacts of wet/dry seasons on river manag. min. & use of RES max. MS central gov. : water transboundar y issues Regional/loca

Steering Committee # Name Role 1 Lead WP 1, represents UCC 4 Tim O’Higgins Kristina Fröhlich Johannes Schmidt Edi Assoumou 5 Pierre Strosser 6 Abigail Cronin 2 3 7 Sofia Simoes 8 Anna Krook. Riekkola Sílvia Carvalho 9 Pedro Paes Lead WP 2, represents DWD Lead WP 3, represents BOKU Lead WP 4, represents ARMINES Lead WP 5, represents ACTEON Lead WP 6, represents UCC Lead WP 7, coordinator, represents NOVA, chairs Steering Committee Represents LTU Represents FC. ID Represents EDP 10 The SC will meet (face to face or Represents WE 11 Tarik Berrada virtually) every six months: Sep 17, Mar 18, Sep 19, Mar 20 Or more? Participate in WPL telco’s? Monthly?

Internal status reporting Every 2 months the WP leaders shall request information about the status of ongoing work from the leaders of active tasks, compile it and send it to the SC. The status can be presented as slides (1 slide per task + 1 summary slide of the WP) or filling a table to be sent by the coordinator. At every consortium meeting the WP leaders shall present a similar internal status report covering the past 6 months and the next 6 months in the project. WP Leaders are expected to report on the development of the Deliverable Responsible due Date project deliverables and inform the SC of expected deviations. Month in time. D 1. 1 Literature Review and Methodology Report D 1. 2 Draft User Requirement Report – European D 1. 3 Training Session for the project partners D 1. 4 Final User Requirement Report– European and Regional D 1. 5 Usability Evaluation Framework Report UCC UCC UCC M 6 M 8 M 12 M 16 D 2. 1 “Toy” data set: downscaled time series of bias-corrected climate data from the global reanalysis data (only regional model output, no statistical ensemble generation yet) DWD M 3 D 2. 2 Statistically downscaled (SD) time series of climate data from the global seasonal forecasts (ensemble) DWD D 2. 3 Tailored dataset of climate change scenarios D 2. 4 Evaluation report on the quality of downscaled data D 2. 5 Operational workflow of data provision D 2. 6 Report on the functionality and performance of the new method including bias correction methodology D 2. 7 Evaluation report on the selection and processing FC. ID DWD DWD, ARMINESOIE WP 1 28 February 2018 30 April 2018 31 August 2018 31 December 2018 WP 2 30 November 2017 31 Aug 2018, 31 M 12, M 19, Mar 2019, 31 Aug M 24, M 28 2019, 31 Dec 2019 M 12 31 August 2018 M 10 31 August 2018 M 24 31 August 2019 M 14 31 October 2018

List of Deliverables (I) Deliverable D 3. 1. 1 Hydropower generation for Douro River D 3. 1. 2 German-Austrian market zone D 3. 1. 3 Lule älv river D 3. 1. 4 France D 3. 1. 5 Europe D 3. 2 Simulation framework for bias corrected wind and solar PV for the whole of Europe D 3. 3 Simulation framework for electricity demand, depending on temperature, for the whole of Europe D 3. 4 Report on methodologies applied in all case studies, on cross-validation, and on bias correction D 4. 1 Enhanced power system models, reports on aforementioned impacts for each national case study - PT D 4. 2 Enhanced power system models, reports on aforementioned impacts for each national case study - SE D 4. 3 Enhanced power system models, reports on aforementioned impacts for each national case study - FR D 4. 4 Enhanced power system models, reports on aforementioned impacts for each national case study – AT/DE D 4. 5 Enhanced power system models, reports on aforementioned impacts for EU D 4. 6 Power systems web service functional specification - draft (M 14) and final (M 32) D 4. 7 Report on the development of a data service module for long-term projection of CC impacts on the provision of energy Responsible NOVA BOKU-IWHW LTU ACTEON ARMINES-CMA Month due Date M 14 M 22 M 30 WP 3 31 October 2018 30 June 2019 28 February 2020 ARMINES-CMA BOKU-DSS M 16 M 24 M 31 31 December 2018 31 August 2019 31 March 2020 WP 4 NOVA LTU M 30 28 February 2020 ARMINES-CMA M 31 31 March 2020 ARMINES-CMA M 14 M 32 31 October 2018 30 April 2020 FC. ID M 30 28 February 2020 ARMINES-CMA BOKU-DSS

List of deliverables (II) Deliverable Responsible D 5. 1 Detail data flow documentation of individual modules D 5. 2 First prototype of the web client D 5. 3 Second prototype of the web client including user feedback D 5. 4 Final report on end-user tests and feedback on the web service ARMINESCMA ARMINESOIE ACTEON D 6. 1 Outreach and Promotion Plan: Version 1 Communication strategy & guidance document (M 3) and Version 2. 0 (updated closed document) (M 30) UCC D 6. 2 Dissemination templates: presentation template UCC Logo, brand, poster & D 6. 3 Outreach material: website (M 4), social media platform (M 6), 2 brochures (M 3, M 30), 5 newsletters (M 12, M 18, M 24, M 30, M 34 UCC D 6. 4 Data Management Plan UCC D 6. 5 Userboard Reports: 3, 1 per workshop, with public and inhouse versions compiled UCC D 6. 6 Users Database: Database of people in the established core Month due Date WP 5 M 23 30 July 2019 M 12 31 August 2018 M 30 28 February 2020 M 35 30 July 2020 M 30 WP 6 30 November 2017, 28 February 2020 30 November 2017 30 Nov 2017, 31 Dec 2017, 28 Feb M 3, M 4, M 6, M 12, 2018, 31 Aug M 18, M 24, M 30, 2018, 28 Feb M 34 2019, 31 Aug 2019, 28 Feb 2020, 30 Jun 2020 M 6 28 February 2018 30 Apr 2018, 28 Feb 2019, 31 May M 8, M 18, M 33 2020 M 3

Milestones list Milestone MS 1. 1 1 st Userboard Meeting MS 1. 2 User requirements of CLIM 2 POWER web service are set MS 2. 1 “toy” time series of highly resolved biascorrected climate data MS 2. 2 testing the SD time series on WP 3 impact models MS 2. 3 operational workflow is set MS 3. 1 Hydropower simulation frameworks for EU and 4 national case-studies completed MS 3. 2 Simulation frameworks for wind and solar PV completed MS 3. 3 Simulation framework for electricity demand completed MS 3. 4 Report on the methodology, cross-validation and bias correction MS 4. 1 Input data readiness and validation internal workshop MS 4. 2 Draft functional specifications Responsibl Mont e h due Date Status UCC M 7 M 12 31 March 2018 31 August 2018 OK DWD M 3 OK DWD M 12 30 November 2017 31 August 2018 DWD BOKU-DSS M 24 M 28 ARMINESCMA BOKU-DSS M 29 31 August 2019 31 December 2019 31 January 2020 M 30 28 February 2020 M 31 31 March 2020 ARMINESCMA FC. ID M 9 31 May 2018 M 14 31 October 2018 M 16 31 December 2018 28 February 2020 MS 4. 3 2 nd Userboard meeting to analyze first set of model outputs MS 4. Future climate impact module final version is available MS 5. 1 First prototype of the web service architecture ARMINES-OIE MS 5. 2 Final prototype ARMINES-OIE MS 6. 1 CLIM 2 POWER web portal UCC M 30 M 12 M 30 M 3 31 August 2018 28 February 2020 30 November 2017 OK

WP 7 Milestones & Deliverables Minutes of Kick-off meeting (NOVA) (M 1) SEP 2017 MS 7. 1 MS 7. 2 Mid-project meeting minutes (NOVA) (M 16) DEC 2018 No. Title Responsible Due date D 7. 1 Project guidelines NOVA M 1 Sep 2017 D 7. 2 Initial and final quality assurance and risk management plan NOVA D 7. 3 Minutes of Steering Committee meetings NOVA C 2 P_20180222_WPLM_minute C 2 P_20180308_WPLM_minute M 6 Feb 2018 M 18 Feb 2019 M 1 Sep 2017 M 6 Feb 2018 M 12 Aug 2018 M 16 Dec 2018 M 24 Sep 2019 M 30 Feb 2020 M 36 Aug 2020

CLIM 2 POWER Meetings WP WP 7 WP 6 Description Kick-Off Meeting Userboard Meeting 1 WP 1&7 WP 1 Project Meeting 2 + Training on collecting user inputs National Userboard Meeting 1 WP 6 Userboard Meeting 2 WP 6&7 Project meeting 2 and advisory board meeting 1 + Mid-term-Meeting with JPI Climate ERA 4 CS WP 6 National Userboard Meeting 2 WP 6&7 WP 6 Project meeting 3 and advisory board meeting 2 Userboard Meeting 3 WP 6 National Userboard meeting 3 WP 6&7 Final Meeting with "European Research Area for Climate Services" + Final project event Date M 1 Sep 2017 M 7 Mar 2018 M 8 April 2018 M 9 May 2018 Location Lisbon Brussels Participants All partners Brussels All partners AT, FR, PT, SE M 16 Dec 2018 Brussels M 18 Feb 2019 M 18 Feb Vienna or 2019 Luleö Brussels BOKU, NOVA, ARMINES, LTU All partners M 19 Mar 2019 AT, FR, PT, SE M 30 Feb Nice / 2020 Antipolis M 33 May Brussels 2020 M 34 June AT, FR, PT, 2020 SE M 35 July Brussels / 2020 Lisbon BOKU, NOVA, ARMINES, LTU All partners OK? UCC + NOVA+DWD & ARMINES? BOKU, NOVA, ARMINES, LTU All partners ?

Bureaucracies Project agreement - Done, but adenda needed… Project guidelines - Version since October 31 st - Mailing list, deliverables list, milsetone list, procedure for project presentations, steering committe, local contact, etc Sharing information

JPI Climate Reporting obligations • Formal acknowledgement formula Project CLIM 2 POWER is part of ERA 4 CS, an ERA-NET initiated by JPI Climate, and funded by FORMAS (SE), BMBF (DE), BMWFW (AT), FCT (PT), EPA (IE), ANR (FR) with co-funding by the European Union (Grant 690462) • Reporting to JPI Climate – The LPI on behalf of the consortium is responsible for submitting the reports: (Feb 2019) - Mid-term report: one month after the end of the mid-term period - Final report: one month after the end of the project. follow the structure of the templates available in Annex II of the guideline upload the Mid-term/Final report into the ERA 4 CS Monitoring Tool (http: //era 4 cs. bsc. es/) available in the ERA 4 CS website – The documents to be reviewed should normally include the following: - The submitted proposal. - Mid-term/Final report for the period under review. - Deliverables necessary for the assessment of the work, due in this period, according to the proposal.

EU User Board expertise and ability to speak on behalf of a large user – WMEC - World Meteorological Energy Council community – – – Eurelectric – The Union of the Electricity Industry Directorate-General JRC – Energy, Transport & Climate Directorate-General for Energy EEA – European Environment Agency Directorate-General for Climate Action ENTSO-E – European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity – IEA – International Energy Agency – SECLI-Firm Project - Added Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasting for Integrated Risk Assessment – S 2 S 4 E Project – Climate Services for Clean Energy – Vrije Universiteit Brussel – Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering User Board will help ensuring maximum CLIM 2 POWER impact: - Useful indicators of impacts and vulnerability, pathways & assessments generated by energy and water models + alternative adaptation options

Advisory Board advise on project strategy, ensure applicability of the deliverables and approach beyond the scope of the partner countries and support communication • three two one-day dedicated meetings, back-to-back with regular project meetings. 1. Sylvain Leduc from IIASA (AT) 2. Sylvain Quoilin from Liége University (BE), 3. Lucien Balea from RTE (FR transmission system operator) 4. John Van Aardenne Hans-Martin Füssel , European Environment Agency 5. Dario Frazzetta Simone Biondi , ENTSO-E 6. Kristian Ruby (Koen Noyens) Henning Hader, EURELETRIC 7. Andreas Zucker Iratxe Gonzales, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission Should we duplicate persons in both boards? Having Alberto Troccoli WEMC/H 2020 Secli-Firm + Albert Soret H 2020 S 2 S 4 E + Silvio Gualdi MEDSCOPE?

Conferences & publications • European Meteorological Society (EMS) 3 -7 th September, Budapest – Session: Energy meteorology session (Yves-Marie) – Session: MEDiterranean Services Chain based On climate Pr. Edictions (MEDSCOPE) • EEA Report 2019 • Paper with User Board inputs? • Other?

More on CLIM 2 POWER: https: //clim 2 power. com/ sgcs@fct. unl. pt Project CLIM 2 POWER is part of ERA 4 CS, an ERA-NET initiated by JPI Climate, and funded by FORMAS (SE), BMBF (DE), BMWFW (AT), FCT (PT), EPA (IE), ANR (FR) with co-funding by the European Union (Grant 690462).