Chinas Changing Role In Asia by Wang Jisi

China’s Changing Role In Asia by Wang Jisi, 2004 　　　　　　　 Wu-Chia-Jung r 93341052

The Rise of China The pessimistic view in China: ØThe rise of china will be constrained by U. S. in the world affairs.

The Rise of China The sanguine view in China: ØEarlier, both international political and economic circumstances were favorable. ØRecent, domestic reform and balanced development as the priorities to enhance China’s international stature. ØChina’s “soft power” for expanding Chinese influence in world affairs. ØUnlike Japan and Germany before, China today is far from being militarized. Ø“ 20 -year period of strategic opportunities”

Regional Security environment Regional Economic Cooperation * The China-U. S. Relationship * (North Korea) * China’s growing military capabilities * The Taiwan Issue * The Japan Issue *

Regional Economic Cooperation ØIn the early 1990 s, China was not enthusiastic about regional trade arrangement. ØNow, China’s WTO accession and increasing economic ties with its neighbors will have a great gains. ØPredictions: China-ASEAN free trade arrangement will rival both the European Union and NAFTA. ØThe promotion of East Asian economic cooperation will be an integral part of China’s regional strategy. *

Regional Security environment ØPakistan. ØChina-India relations. ØInternational terrorism, refugees and illegal immigration. ØCrime and drug trafficking across Chinese borders. To this extent, China will continue to be a conservative or status quo power in the region. ØThe North Korea Nuclear Issue • Painful historical memories. • Hu Jintao’s proactive posture toward the Korean nuclear issue. • Third priorities: 1. to maintain a nuclear-free Korea. 2. the preservation of peace and stability on the Korean peninsula. 3. to assist North Korea’s economic recovery. *

China’s growing military capabilities The best approaches are: ØFirst, incresing the transparency of China’s strategic thinking, planning and defense capabilities. ØSecond, strengthening regional security dialogues. *

The Taiwan Issue ØNational goal: to achieve reunification with Taiwan. ØDiplomatic failure. ØAPEC ØTo deter Taiwan from taking adventurous moves toward de jure independence. ØTwo modification since 2001 First, U. S. policy toward the island is not intended to encourge or endorse de jure independence of Taiwan. Senond, the other is based on the reassessment that time is on the mainland’s side in the long run. *

The Japan Issue ØThe ongoing momentum of regional economic cooperation featured by ASEAN+3. ØThe Korea nuclear issue. *

The China-U. S. relationship: A Dominant Factor.

Conclusion ØThe realtionships with the other two major players-the U. S. and Japan are still in flux. ØThe Taiwan problems. ØThe nature of the Chinese polity constitutes a large gap with its Asian neighbors. ØThe choice of value system.