Chapter 1 Difference between the SEKUSD FXswap implied
Chapter 1
Difference between the SEK/USD FX-swap implied dollar interest rate and the USD libor rate, 3 months Per cent Start of the financial crisis Chart 1: 1 Lehman Greece Source: Bloomberg
Swedish and international stress index Chart 1: 2 Sources: Reuters Eco. Win, Bloomberg and the Riksbank
The difference between interest rates on ten year government bonds and the German government bond with the same maturity Basis points Chart: 1: 3 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Implied stock market volatility Per cent, 10 day moving average Chart 1: 4 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
CDS-premiums on European governments and corporations Basis points Chart 1: 4 Source: Bloomberg
Government CDS premiums Basis points Chart 1: 6 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Stock market developments Index, 1 January 2008 =100 Chart 1: 7 Sources: Reuters Eco. Win
Risk premiums on the interbank market, 3 months Basis points Chart 1: 8 Soure: Reuters Eco. Win
Central banks balance sheets Per cent of GDP Chart 1: 9 Sources: Respective central bank
Federal Reserve balance sheet USD billions Chart 1: 10 Source: Federal Reserve
The Riksbank loans and the guarantee programme’s outstanding volumes SEK billion Chart 1: 11 Sources: The Riksbank and Swedish National Debt Office
Budget balance in selected EU countries Percentage of GDP Chart B 1 Source: Reuters Ecowin
CDS premiums (5 years) for selected EU countries Basis points Chart B 2 Source: Reuters Ecowin
Difference between yields on mortgage bonds and govermnent bond yields with five year maturity Basis points Chart 1: 12 Sources: Reuters Eco. Win and the Riksbank
The difference between the interbank rate and the expected policy rate of different maturites Basis points Chart 1: 13 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Indicative breakdown of the Swedish riskpremium, 3 months Basis points Chart 1: 14 Source: The Riksbank
EUR/SEK cross currency basis spread, 5 years Basis points Chart 1: 15 Source: Bloomberg
Credit spreads for US corporate bonds Basis points Chart: 1: 16 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Credit spreads for European corporate bonds Basis points Chart 1: 17 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Chapter 2
The Swedish Banks lending per borrower category September 2009, per cent of total lending Chart 2: 1 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
The Swedish Banks lending per geographical area September 2009, per cent of total lending Chart 2: 2 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Household borrowing from monetary financial institutions Annual percentage change Chart 2: 3 Source: The Riksbank
Mortgage equity witdrawals, percentage of disposable income Per cent Chart 2: 4 Sources: Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Eco. Win and the Riksbank
House prices Purchase Price Coefficient Chart 2: 5 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Tenant-owned apartment prices, threemonth moving average SEK per square metre Chart 2: 6 Source: www. maklarstatistik. se
Time to sale in Sweden Number of days, median Chart 2: 7 Sources: Hemnet and www. maklarstatistik. se
Number of housing starts Chart 2: 8 Source: Statistics Sweden
Household debt and post-tax interest expenditure Percentage of disposable income Chart 2: 9 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Households' debt ratio in a number of municipalities and in Sweden Per cent Chart 2: 10 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Breakdown of households' new mortgages by fixed interest periods Per cent Chart 2: 11 Source: The Riksbank
Disposable income of households, final consumption expenditure and savings SEK million Chart 2: 12 Source: Statistics Sweden
Corporate borrowing from credit institutions and fixed gross investment Annual percentage change Chart 2: 13 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Corporate borrowing from credit institutions and their securities funding SEK Billion Chart 2: 14 Source: The Riksbank
Interest coverage ratio in Swedish listed companies Ratio Chart: 2: 15 Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank
Profitability and debt/total assets ratio in Swedish listed companies Per cent Chart 2: 16 Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank
Breakdown of corporate borrowing by period of fixed interest Per cent Chart 2: 17 Sources: Riksbanken
Expected default frequency (EDF), outcome och forceast Per cent Chart 2: 18 Sources: Moody´s KMV och Riksbanken
Transaction volumes in the Swedish commercial property market SEK billion Chart 2: 19 Sources: Savills and the Riksbank
Real prices of office premises in city centres Index, 1981 = 100 Chart 2: 20 Sources: Newsec and the Riksbank
Average yield levels for modern office premises in city centres Per cent Chart 2: 21 Sources: Newsec and Reuters Eco. Win
Component factors for annual change in prices for offices in central Stockholm Per cent Chart 2: 22 Sources: Newsec, Reuters Eco. Win and the Riksbank
Vacancy rate for office premises in city centres Per cent Chart 2: 23 Source: Newsec
The property companies’ credit structure SEK million Chart 2: 24 Sources: Reports of the 17 property comp. listed on the NASDAQ OMX Stockholm A-list, q 4, 2009 and the Riksbank.
GDP in the Nordic countries and Germany Quarterly changes in per cent Chart 2: 25 Sources: Reuters Eco. Win and the Riksbank
Households’ borrowings Annual percentage change Chart 2: 26 Sources: ECB and national statistics offices
Real house prices in the Nordic countries and Germany Index, March 2004 = 100 Chart 2: 27 Sources: the BIS Database, Reuters Eco. Win, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Companies’ borrowings Annual percentage change Chart 2: 28 Sources: The ECB and national statistics agencies
Corporate defaults Twelve-month moving average, index, average year 2007 = 100 Chart 2: 29 Sources: National statistics agencies and the Riksbank
Expected default frequency for companies in the Nordic countries and Germany Per cent Chart 2: 30 Sources: Moody’s KMV Credit Edge and the Riksbank
Expected default frequency for property companies in the Nordic countries and Germany Per cent Chart 2: 31 Sources: Moody’s KMV Credit Edge and the Riksbank
GDP Annual percentage change Chart 2: 32 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Nominal wages Annual percentage change Chart 2: 33 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Unemployment Per cent Chart 2: 34 Source: Eurostat
Terms of trade Index: March 2000 = 100 Chart 2: 35 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Current account Percentage of GDP Chart: 2: 36 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Harmonised index for consumer prices Annual percentage change Chart 2: 37 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Real exchange rates Index, 2000 = 100 Chart: 2: 38 Source: BIS
Liabilities from banks operating in the Baltic countries to foreign financial institutions National currencies; Index, December 2008 = 100 Chart: 2: 39 Sources: National central banks
Household borrowing Annual percentage change Chart 2: 40 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Corporate borrowing Annual percentage change Chart 2: 41 Source: Reuters Eco. Win
Households´and companies´debts in relation to GDP Per cent Chart 2: 42 Sources: National central banks and Reuters Ecowin
Late payments Per cent of outstanding loans Chart 2: 43 Sources: Eesti Pank, Financial and Capital Market Commission och Lietuvos Bankas
Houseprices Index, January 2006 = 100 Chart 2: 44 Sources: Latio, Ober Haus, Arco Real Estate Land Board and Lietuvos Bankas
Chapter 3
The major Swedish banks' assets and liabilities per currency, December 2009 SEK billion Chart 3: 1 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
The total assets of the major Swedish banks in Sweden and abroad, March 2010 SEK billion Total Chart 3: 2 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
The banks' earnings SEK billion, rolling four quarters Chart 3: 3 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Profit before loan losses and loan losses (net) in the major Swedish banks Totalled over four quarters, SEK billion, fixed prices, 31 March 2010 Chart 3: 4 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Annual lending growth at the major Swedish banks Per cent Chart 3: 5 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Net interest income in relation to interestbearing assets, the net interest income margin Per cent Chart 3: 6 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
related net commission income, Stockholm Stock Exchange turnover and the stock market index Index, Q 1 2003 = 100 Chart 3: 7 Source: Bank reports, NASDAQ OMX and the Riksbank
Allocation of total assets Per cent, December 2009 Chart 3: 8 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Swedish major banks' lending in the Baltic countries Left axis EUR billion, right axis per cent Chart 3: 9 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Market shares of lending in the Baltic countries Per cent, March 2010 Others Chart 3: 10 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Geographical distribution of loan losses, in the period second quarter 2009 to first quarter 2010 Per cent Chart 3: 11 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Loan losses per quarter Percentage of lending at the start of the respective quarters Chart 3: 12 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Capital ratios of Swedish and international banks Per cent Chart 3: 13 Source: Standard & Poor’s
Lending in relation to deposits Per cent Chart 3: 14 Sources: Bankscope and the Riksbank
The major Swedish banks' deposits and lending SEK billion Chart 3: 15 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
The major Swedish banks' sources of funding, March 2010 Per cent Chart 3: 16 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Maturity of the securities of the major Swedish banks, March 2010 SEK billion Chart 3: 17 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
The market funding of the major Swedish banks per currency, December 2009 Per cent Chart 3: 18 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank
Chapter 4
Profit before loan losses and loan losses (net) in the major Swedish banks Totalled over four quarters, SEK billion, fixed prices, 31 March 2010 Chart 4: 1 Sources: Bank reports, SME Direkt and the Riksbank
Distribution of loan losses in main scenario per bank and year SEK billion Chart 4: 2 Source: The Riksbank
Distribution of loan losses per region in the period 2010– 2012 in the Riksbank’s main scenario SEK billion and per cent Chart 4: 3 Source: The Riksbank
The major Swedish bank with the lowest Tier 1 capital ratio after another Swedish major bank has defaulted on its payments Per cent Chart 4: 4 Source: The Riksbank
Expected Default Frequency (EDF) for the Swedish corporate sector in the stress test and main scenario Per cent Chart 4: 5 Sources: Moody's KMV and the Riksbank
The major Swedish banks' Tier 1 and core Tier 1 capital ratios, today and in the stress test Per cent Chart 4: 6 Source: The Riksbank
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