CAS AREP COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES CAS ATMOSPHERIC

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CAS AREP COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES (CAS) ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME (AREP) Report

CAS AREP COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES (CAS) ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME (AREP) Report on Activities of the Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS) and Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme (AREP) in Support of the WMO DPM Programme Dr. Michel Béland, President of CAS Dr. Len Barrie, Director, AREP Dr. Slobodan Nickovic, Scientific Officer, ARREP WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP CAS Mandate Support of research in atmospheric science to: § Reduce and

CAS AREP CAS Mandate Support of research in atmospheric science to: § Reduce and mitigate natural disasters, § Protect the environment, § Enhance understanding and response to environmental change through the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) and World Weather Research Programme (WWRP-THORPEX) WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP CAS COMPONENTS: 2006 -2010 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December,

CAS AREP CAS COMPONENTS: 2006 -2010 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP CAS: WWRP-THORPEX § Goals – to improve forecasting of • High-impact weather

CAS AREP CAS: WWRP-THORPEX § Goals – to improve forecasting of • High-impact weather (tropical storms, monsoons) • Clouds and precipitation • Chemical Weather • Sand dust storms WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP § Deliverables • Warning on extreme-weather related hazards • Improvement of forecast

CAS AREP § Deliverables • Warning on extreme-weather related hazards • Improvement of forecast skill • Designing strategy for interactive forecasting and observation • Data assimilation for satellite and in situ data • Testing the effectiveness of a global ensemble forecasting system § Status • Early implementation stage; timeline: 2005 -2014 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP § Crosscutting cooperation • CBS, CIMO, CCI, All RA’s WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP Global Interactive Forecast System based on THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE)

CAS AREP Global Interactive Forecast System based on THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE) Ensembles of global forecasts conducted by three Centres (CMA, ECMWF & NCAR) Distributed archives providing regional products WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP WMO Sand Dust Storm Warning System § § § WWRP/GAW Sand Dust

CAS AREP WMO Sand Dust Storm Warning System § § § WWRP/GAW Sand Dust Storm (SDS) Project was established in September 2004 The Development of a Regional Sand Dust Storm Early Warning System in East Asia was presented at the Third International Early Warning Conference, Bonn, Germany, 27 -29 March 2006 A new proposal on WMO Sand Dust Storm (SDS) Warning System extending the scope to two other regions has been accepted at the Scientific Steering Committee meeting for SDS Project (November 2006 Shanghai, China) PROJECT OBJECTIVE: To establish a WMO-coordinated global network of SDS forecasting centers delivering products useful to a wide range of users for reducing the impacts of SDS WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP A WMO survey in 2006: more than 40 Member States expressed interest

CAS AREP A WMO survey in 2006: more than 40 Member States expressed interest to participate in SDS project WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva 8

CAS AREP § Deliverables • Designated three Regional WMO SDS Warning System (SDSWS) Centres:

CAS AREP § Deliverables • Designated three Regional WMO SDS Warning System (SDSWS) Centres: – Spain (for the Europe/Africa/Middle East region) – China (for the Eastern Asia region) – Canada (for the Southern America region) • Research operational SDS forecasts provided by eight organizations within the above three regions • Establishing a WMO SDSWS portal to support the above activities • Established an expert group for SDSWS implementation • Proposed an Secretariat-based group in support of SDSWS activities and cross-cutting issues • WMO/GEO Expert Meeting on International Sand Dust Storm Warning System” to be organized in Barcelona, Spain in November 2007; WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP § Status • Implementation; Timeline: 2006 -2015 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP, OPAG-EPAC

CAS AREP § Status • Implementation; Timeline: 2006 -2015 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP, OPAG-EPAC § Crosscutting aspects • All affected regions: RA I, IV, V, VI, • NHMSs (Spain, Japan, China, Korea, Canada); • Academia: U of Arizona, Barcelona • Users, modellers, observation community ACADEMIA WHO Developments Agriculture CAg. M CAS Health Data exchange Aviation CAe. M WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva CBS

CAS AREP 13 April 2002 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP 13 April 2002 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva 11 Napoli Raman Lidar

CAS AREP Dust impacts health Valley Fever endemic regions WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting,

CAS AREP Dust impacts health Valley Fever endemic regions WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP CAS: Tropical Meteorology Research - Monsoon variability, tropical cyclone forecasting, tropical limited

CAS AREP CAS: Tropical Meteorology Research - Monsoon variability, tropical cyclone forecasting, tropical limited area modeling § Deliverables • Improved accuracy of high impact weather forecasts • Training workshops on monsoon, tropical cyclone and application based on NWP § Status • Implementation; Timeline: 2007 -2011 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP § Crosscutting cooperation • WCRP, All RA I, IV, V, ICSU WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP CAS: GAW Programme § Deliverables • Improving environmental security by implementing of

CAS AREP CAS: GAW Programme § Deliverables • Improving environmental security by implementing of the Integrated Global Atmospheric Composition Observation (IGACO) strategy • Scientific assessments in support of environmental policy • Coordinating global measurements of atmospheric chemical variables • Routine monitoring of air pollution and sand/dust storms § Responsible • OPAG-EPAC § Status • Ongoing programme, Timeline: 2007 -2016 § Crosscutting cooperation • IGACO, NHMSs WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

Ozone and Aerosols - Essential Multi-Hazard Climate and Weather Variables Beijing Roof CMA March

Ozone and Aerosols - Essential Multi-Hazard Climate and Weather Variables Beijing Roof CMA March 20 2002 DUST POLLUTION FIRES OZONE HOLE & UV Global Aerosol Optical Depth WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP: Development of an Advanced Tropical Cyclone Early Warning System for the Philippines

CAS AREP: Development of an Advanced Tropical Cyclone Early Warning System for the Philippines § Deliverables • Education and training of local personnel on NWP, interpretation of RS observations, risk management • Acquisition of advanced equipment and software • Transfer of technology to other countries in the region (in the second phase after 2009) § Status • Work Plan development stage; Timeline: 2007 -2011 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP § Crosscutting cooperation • CBS, RA V and II, NHMS of Philippines, Australia, Japan, USA, Japan MRI, US NCAR, US National Hurricane Center WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP (THORPEX): Health and Climate Partnership for Africa § Deliverables • Reviewing social

CAS AREP (THORPEX): Health and Climate Partnership for Africa § Deliverables • Reviewing social impacts of timely warnings of epidemics • Education and training both meteorological and medical community • Improved understanding of relationship between environmental conditions and health outcomes • Downscaling of seasonal forecasts to a particular regions interest § Status • Work Plan development; Timeline: 2007 -2011 § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP § Crosscutting cooperation • WCP, WCRP, RAF; • WHO, CERMES, ACMAD, AGRHYMET, ECMWF, NOAA, U of Liverpool, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, US EPA WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP: Weather Modification Activities § Deliverables • WM research projects in different member

CAS AREP: Weather Modification Activities § Deliverables • WM research projects in different member States for precipitation enhancement and hail suppression § Status • Ongoing activities in Member States § Responsible • OPAG-WWRP § Crosscutting cooperation • No WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP Backup slides WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva

CAS AREP Backup slides WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4 -6 December, Geneva