CAMM model performance assessed during DODO 2 Steph

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CAMM model performance assessed during DODO 2 Steph Woodward – climate model dust scheme

CAMM model performance assessed during DODO 2 Steph Woodward – climate model dust scheme Glenn Greed – implementation of dust in the CAMM model – Running of operational forecasts for use in DODO 2 flight planning Mark Harrison – NAME model forecasts Jim Haywood – Analysis of aircraft data Sundar Christopher – Satellite retrievals/validation Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 1

Description of the CAMM: §Non-hydrostatic §Two-time level semi-implicit semi. Lagrangian scheme §Charney-Philips staggering in

Description of the CAMM: §Non-hydrostatic §Two-time level semi-implicit semi. Lagrangian scheme §Charney-Philips staggering in the vertical §Arakawa C grid in the horizontal §Data assimilation (4 -D var) satellite, sonde, surface, and data from commercial aircraft Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 2

Description of the CAMM: § Domain: - § Resolution: 0. 18°x 0. 18° resolution

Description of the CAMM: § Domain: - § Resolution: 0. 18°x 0. 18° resolution (~20 km) § 38 levels in the vertical § 13 levels in the boundary layer. Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 3

Description of the dust scheme: § Dust scheme based on Woodward (2001) § 6

Description of the dust scheme: § Dust scheme based on Woodward (2001) § 6 size bins in the range 0. 03 -30μm radius § Dust emission is based on the scheme by Marticorena and Bergametti (1995) § Dust flux a function of: clay, silt, and sand fraction, vegetative fraction, soil moisture, friction velocity threshold, and surface layer friction velocity. § Convection, turbulent mixing, gravitational settling accounted for § Dry and wet deposition Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 4

Description of the dust optical properties: § Mie scattering § Spherical particles § 6

Description of the dust optical properties: § Mie scattering § Spherical particles § 6 -wavebands in the solar spectrum § 9 - wavebands in the long-wave § AOD diagnostic developed at 0. 55μm Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 5

Modifications when moving from climate model: § Soil data set in climate model -

Modifications when moving from climate model: § Soil data set in climate model - Wilson and Henderson-Sellers (1985) at 3. 75 o replaced by International Geosphere Biosphere Programme (IGBP, Loveland Belward, 1998) at 1 kmx 1 km. Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 6

Additional modifications: § The threshold friction velocities were reduced by 0. 15 ms-1 and

Additional modifications: § The threshold friction velocities were reduced by 0. 15 ms-1 and is now defined for all particle sizes spanning 0. 06 to 2000μm diameter (rather than 0. 06 to 60μm as in W 2001). § Horizontal dust flux calculations now include sand particles. The vertical flux is still assumed to consist only of particles between. 06 and 60μm. § A correction to the dust uplift code have also been introduced which inhibits emissions of dust from steep slopes. Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 7

CASE STUDY – AUG 23 rd Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 8

CASE STUDY – AUG 23 rd Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 8

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 9

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 10

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 11

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Tropical storm Debbie Dust storm within

The dust forecast from the 21 st August Tropical storm Debbie Dust storm within range of BAe 146 Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 12

A t+9 forecast: Tropical storm Debbie Dust storm within range of BAe 146 Met

A t+9 forecast: Tropical storm Debbie Dust storm within range of BAe 146 Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 13

The problems of model validation are shown by the MISR coverage: Met Office ©

The problems of model validation are shown by the MISR coverage: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 14

Therefore correlative methods of MISR-OMI are developed (Christopher et al): Met Office © Crown

Therefore correlative methods of MISR-OMI are developed (Christopher et al): Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 15

Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 16

Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 16

Comparison of dust event with Dakar AERONET Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page

Comparison of dust event with Dakar AERONET Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 17

Flight pattern on the 23 rd August 2006 Met Office © Crown copyright 2007

Flight pattern on the 23 rd August 2006 Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 18

Comparison of the vertical profile from aircraft against the CAMM vertical profiles for two

Comparison of the vertical profile from aircraft against the CAMM vertical profiles for two aircraft deep profiles. Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 19

MONTHLY MEAN COMPARISONS Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 20

MONTHLY MEAN COMPARISONS Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 20

Can also look at the monthly means: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page

Can also look at the monthly means: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 21

Monthly mean comparisons: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 22

Monthly mean comparisons: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 22

AERONET monthly means: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 23

AERONET monthly means: Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 23

Conclusions: Case study: § The CAMM model shows SKILL up to (and beyond? )

Conclusions: Case study: § The CAMM model shows SKILL up to (and beyond? ) 42 hours. § The horizontal position and vertical extent of the dust is well represented § The optical depth is reasonably well represented Monthly means: § The OMI/MISR comparisons show a reasonable agreement § AERONET shows a reasonable agreement Met Office © Crown copyright 2007 Page 24