Bureau of Labor Statistics Defining Labor Market Areas

Bureau of Labor Statistics Defining Labor Market Areas (LMAs) Ken Le. Vasseur Bureau of Labor Statistics APDU Annual Conference Washington, DC September 24, 2008

Bureau of Labor Statistics Overview • Relationship between geography and methodology • We follow OMB, delineate for residual (SLMA) • History— 1970 s, 80 s, 90 s, 00 s • Legal requirement: JTPA 1982 • New England is difficult • Examples from 2000 s • HUD programmatic use 2

Bureau of Labor Statistics Estimation Methodology • • The LAUS program estimates employment and unemployment by place-of-residence for about 7, 300 subnational areas on a monthly basis About 2, 358 of them are LMAs, generally estimated using a building-block approach – • 400 metro areas/divisions; 591 micro; 1, 367 small Employment inputs are readily available from the CES and QCEW programs at BLS – Both have monthly establishment data for total nonfarm w&s • Jobs, by place-of-work 3

Bureau of Labor Statistics Estimation Methodology • • Converting employment from an establishment basis to a household basis (persons by place-of-residence) can be accomplished by a ratio approach Previously, a simple ratio: Census/CES – • • • Adjusts for commutation, multiple-jobholding, and unpaid absences Now, multiple ratios, tying up to 5 areas together In either case, having a “well-defined” LMA is essential Largely self-contained: Place-of-residence employment is tied primarily to place-of-work employment 4

Bureau of Labor Statistics General Approach • Take as given the OMB-designated federal statistical areas – “Large” labor market areas • Metropolitan areas (divisions where applicable) and micropolitan areas • Review and delineate areas in the residual U. S. territory – “Small” labor market areas 5

Bureau of Labor Statistics OMB-Designated Areas 6

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 1972: BLS was given (technical) responsibility for the Local Area Unemployment Statistics program – Data were receiving increased use, including for federal allocations – Funding transferred about a decade later 7

Bureau of Labor Statistics History—Legal Requirement • 1982: Job Training Partnership Act enacted – Sec. 4. “For the purpose of this Act … the term "labor market area" means an economically integrated geographic area within which individuals can reside and find employment within a reasonable distance or can readily change employment without changing their place of residence. Such area shall be identified in accordance with criteria used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Department of Labor in defining such areas or similar criteria established by a Governor. ” 8

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 1970 s: – BLS national office examined commuting flows (from Journey to Work) and sent out lists of proposed small LMA designations for regional office and State agency review • Contiguity was required • Other details are sketchy 9

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 1980 s: – BLS national office examined commuting flows (from Journey to Work) and sent out lists of proposed small LMA designations for regional office and State agency review – Some regional offices/States accepted them – Some States liked the prior delineations – Thus, some “grandfathering” or “local opinion” 10

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 1990 s: – – – Population and density disregarded 15% commuting threshold (to nearest 0. 1) in either direction Allowed additional iteration(s) For pre-existing multi-county areas, kept intact if commuting threshold was not significantly under 15% at 90% confidence level Contiguity required In New England, residual areas (based on MCDs) were attached more freely, with State input 11

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 2000 s: – – – Did not use urban clusters of 2, 500 -9, 999 or any other data on population or density 25% commuting threshold in either direction Allowed only 1 additional iteration Contiguity required New England (NECTA) residual was very messy • • • – Small LMAs, if internal cohesion and independent Adjacent areas, if internal cohesion and ties to OMB area Isolated MCDs, if little cohesion For titling, we used county names 12

Bureau of Labor Statistics History • 2000 s results: – – – • 22 Multi-county SLMAs outside New England 1, 295 Single-county SLMAs outside New England 44 Multi-MCD SLMAs in New England 2 Single-MCD SLMAs in New England 4 Multi-MCD adjacent areas in New England 18 Single-entity Isolated MCDs in New England Labor Market Area Directory at www. bls. gov/lau/lmadir. pdf – Updated annually, based on OMB changes and title changes 13

Bureau of Labor Statistics Examples for the 2000 s 14

Bureau of Labor Statistics Examples for the 2000 s 15

Bureau of Labor Statistics Programmatic Use • • We received a large number of requests regarding “what labor market area am I in? ” Investigation led us to HUD Community Development Block Grant Anti-Job Pirating Provision – “CDBG funds may not be used to directly assist a business, including a business expansion, in the relocation of a plant, facility, or operation from one LMA to another LMA if the relocation is likely to result in a significant loss of jobs in the LMA from which the relocation occurs. ” 16