Breakout Session 1 Scenario Planning Scenario Planning 2
Breakout Session 1 Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning 2 • • technique to explore, test alternative futures the future is neutral territory beyond immediate policy and market horizons appreciate changes, sequences, decisions • • use different ‘drivers’ or perspectives start in future – say 2040 or 2050 ‘back cast’ to present can build robustness into strategies
Scenario Planning dimensions Confront uncertainty in 3 • Society • Technology • Environment • Politics • Economics
Scenario Planning group tasks It is 2050, the GV has been developed, led by your key ‘driver’ theme Build a plausible scenario embracing • what that might look like • any key elements or features • who and what is there – and anything absent • what are the positive and negative aspects Give your scenario a name Describe how you got there 4
Scenario Planning dimensions 5 1 ‘Deep green’ garden village 2 Well connected garden village 3 Strong place identity of garden village Richard B 4 Intergenerational, inclusive community Jamie B Jas A 5 Innovation, technology, services Laura P Deb W 6 Enterprising garden village Paul C Joan D 7 Diversity of homes, sizes, tenures Lita K Andrea C 8 Progressive energy garden village Tom E Rob T 9 Healthy lifestyle Tom C Murry B Patrick J Jackie C Ed P Simon S Barbara C
Addition role play perspectives • • • 6 Local Eynsham parent - who needs to use facilities in GV 11 year old twins - who attend new GV school Retired couple - who downsize move to GV to be near family Medical practitioner - serving growing population New start-up digital design business - wants affordable house and workspace Fabric and furnishings company – serving new/existing households Cafe owner/operator - independent Person with disability - affecting their mobility An occasional cyclist - who could go back to car, but would prefer not to A GV resident - with workplace in Eynsham A GV resident - with workplace in Oxford Recently retried person - with time to contribute to community
Scenario Planning group tasks It is 2050, the GV has been developed, led by your key ‘driver’ theme Build a plausible scenario embracing • what that might look like • any key elements or features • who and what is there – and anything absent • what are the positive and negative aspects Give your scenario a name Describe how you got there 7
2050 scenario Broad range of GV facilities, homes, services 5 Innovati 2 on Farm Connect GV 4 Gen XYZ 6 Living Lab 3 Salt Cross 9 8 Gas is gone 7 The bicycle 1 Skylark Attractive, healthy, environment Unattractive, unhealthy environment Narrow range of GV facilities, homes, services
Breakout Session 2 Develop Plan Thinking
Spatial plan thinking Drawing from known assets and scenario implications, develop your spatial ideas, identifying • Aspirations on quality of place – and local place identity • Type & location of local amenities / assets, • Potential walkable neighbourhoods and use locations • Key connections into wider area • Identify green/landscape/open space elements • Start to plot a street/layout structure (In groups of 8 -10 people, facilitated by 2 people - Each group picks a couple of key starting points) 10
Review Plan ideas from Groups What is emerging? What are key themes? What area of agreement? What areas for more study/design? What advise for Day 2? 11
Close of Day 1
Day 2 introduction
Messages from Day 1 15
Messages from Day 1 Lots of key evidence Principles and direction - from 9 scenarios Key choices and decision areas - must be ‘holistic’ Influences scope of work for today 16
2050 scenario Broad range of GV facilities, homes, services 5 Innovati 2 on Farm Connect GV 4 Gen XYZ 9 6 Living Lab Health 8 GV Gas 3 Salt Cross is gone 7 The bicycle 1 Skylark Attractive, healthy, environment Unattractive, unhealthy environment Narrow range of GV facilities, homes, services
Messages from Day 1 3/4 framework drawing groups - structure, links, centres, 2, 200 homes, landscape/GI/soil, density, form (1)Andy& Jamie, (2) Richard & Patrick, (3) Lita& Rob, 1 group on centres, community and facilities Si & Andrrea 1 group on movement, links hierarchy Ian P & Simon S 1 on enterprise, business, job Paul C 1 on energy, sustainability Tom C All do plan and phasing – to Y 10, Y 20, Y 30+ 18
Breakout Session 3
Day 2 themes to be agreed on Day 1 At least One Group MUST include exploring and developing OPTIONS 20
Breakout Session 4
Breakout Session 5
Feedback • 23
Feedback • 24
Feedback • 25
Feedback • 26
Next steps - WODC • Public Exhibition in Eynsham 18 May • WODC Offices Have your say Exhibition 21 -24 May • Eynsham Have your say Exhibition w/c 27 th May • AAP Options paper Council July ‘ 19 • AAP Options Paper (6 week consultation) Summer ‘ 19 • AAP Options responses collation Autumn ‘ 19 • AAP Reg 19 Draft AAP (6 week consultation) Winter ‘ 19 • AAP Submission to Examiner 27 Spring ‘ 20
Next steps - Grosvenor • Independent Design Review Panels Autumn ’ 19 Summer & • Emerging Proposals Exhibition Autumn ‘ 19 • Outline Planning Application content and Design Code Engagement Autumn ‘ 19 • Delivery models and Stewardship Engagement Winter ’ 19/’ 20 • Outline Planning Application Public Exhibition Spring ’ 20 • Outline Planning Application Submission 28 Spring ‘ 20
Thanks to • The venue and caterers • The hosts WODC and Grosvenor – and Oxfordshire County Council • EPIC, Green. TEA, Eynsham Historical Scociety and colleagues • The organisers – esp Andrea, Astrid, Jas, Merlene • The specialist presenters, advisors and briefers • The group facilitators and rapporteurs • All participants from all stages of the charrette 29
Thank you
- Slides: 30