BMKG Muylono R Prabowo INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY
BMKG Muylono R. Prabowo INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHISICS Macao, 15 April 2013
MAIN PROGRAM OF BMKG Inspectorate SUBSTANTIVE PROGRAM Dep. 3 Ina-TEWS Ina-MCEWS Dep. 1&2 Telecommunication TECHNICAL PROGRAM Instr. &Calibration Dep. 4 Database Dissemination R&D SUPPORTING PROGRAM Educ&Traning DG&Ex. Sec. Supporrting. Fac. 2
OPERATIONAL OF METEOROLOGY AT BMKG Analysis, Forecast, Services Observations Space-based Observation Computer System for Meteorological Services Upper Air Observation Collection and Dissemination of Meteorological Data Ocean Observation International Data Exchange Advisories Issuance of Products at Met. Sta and HQ Information Issuance Surface Observation Warnings Model Prediction PC Data Collection Radar Observation Products TC Forecast Weather Forecast One Week Forecast Aeronautical Met. Information Marine Met. Information 3
BMKG’S METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND USERS PRODUCTS : Public Weather Services PRODUCTS : - Daily Weather Forecast Extreme weather warning Aeronautical Weather Services - Aerodrome forecast - Flight-Route forecast - SIGMET Marine Weather Services - Max & Significant Wave & Swell forecast - Surface current - 10 -meter wind forecast Fire Weather (FDRS) Tropical Cyclone -Hotspot/Firespot -Fire Weather Index - Smoke dispersion/ Trajectory USERS : • Ministry of Transport • Ministry of Agriculture • Ministry of Health • Ministry of Defense • Disaster Management • Agency (Nat’l & Regional) • Tourisms • Marine stakeholders • Fisheries Fax, Email, • Public works/construction Web, • Bulog • Mass Media Telp. • Universities & SMS • Research Institutions - TC Track forecast - TC’s Impacted Area forecast 4
DISSEMINATION OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLIC National Level: ROUTINE PRODUCT - NDMA - Natnl. SAR - Police - Min. Transportation - Min. Public Work - Mass Media -… National Scale Forecast BMKG HO - Daily Weather Forecast - Three day Weather Outlook - Potential of Flood (Daily) - Potential of Forest Fire (Daily) - Max&Sig. Wave Forecast - Information of Tropical Cyclone Provincial Scale Forecast BMKG REG. OFF. - Daily Weather Forecast - Three day Weather Outlook - Potential of Flood (Daily) - Max&Sig. Wave Forecast WEB E-MAIL TELP FAX BMKG HO BMKG REG. OFF. - PDMA - SAR Offices - Prv. Police - Port Admn. - Prv. Public Work - Mass Media -… National Level: -Min. Coord. Walfare -NDMA -PDMA -Crisis Centre DKI -Army/ Police -Mass Media -… EARLY WARNING PRODUCT Early Warning of Extreme Weather Provincial Level: SMS Provincial Level: -Gavernors - Mayors - Army/ Police -Mass Media -…
DISSEMINATION OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLIC Phone Services Faximile TV Station BMKG’s STATIONS Public Area Weather Display Email Social Media Website 6
MULTI MODE OF INFORMATION DISSEMINATION BMKG MIN. COMM. & INFO NDMA LOCAL AUTORITIES MASS MEDIA INTERNET CELL. OPERATOR POLRI SIRINE 2303/ BMKG HO PEOPLE / USERS 7
BMKG AKSES LAYANAN INFORMASI CUACA DAN PERINGATAN DINI CUACA EKSTRIM Telepon: 021 -6546315 / 08111107264 Website: http: //www. bmkg. go. id Email: infomet 2000@gmail. com ; cuaca. ekstrim@bmkg. go. id
BMKG PRODUCTS OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLIC
No PRODUCT 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 Hourly Weather Forecast 12 Hourly Weather Forecast Daily Weather Forecast 3 Daily Weather Outlook Weekly Weather Outlook Weather Information for Tourist Resorts Specific Weather Information for commercial purpose (e. g insurance) Specific Weather Information for other Government Institutions 7 8 Frequency of Issuance 4 times/day 2 times/day 1 times/day 2 times/week 4 times/month 2 times/week On request 9 Forest fire Weather Information 1 times/day 10 Early Warning of Significant Weather If applicable
JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
PROVINCE WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
THREE DAYS WEATHER OUTLOOK (TWO TIMES/WEEK)
ONE WEEK WEATHER OUTLOOK (TWO TIMES/WEEK)
POTENTIAL OF FOREST FIRE (DAILY)
POTENTIAL OF FLOOD FORECAST (DAILY)
12 HOURS WEATHER FORECAST PRAKIRAAN CUACA DAN ANGIN INDONESIA BMKG A WIB DAY) BERLAKU 13 APRIL 2013 PUKUL(TWICE 07. 00 - 19. 00 Prakiraan Curah Hujan Tanggal 13 April 2013 jam 07. 00 WIB Peluang Hujan Ringan : • Sumatera bagian utara dan selatan • Pesisir Barat Sumatera bagian selatan • Pesisir Timur Sumatera bagian tengah dan selatan • Kalimantan bagian barat, tengah dan selatan • Sebagian besar Sulawesi • Sebagian besar Maluku • Papua bagian barat, utara dan tengah • Bali dan Nusa Tenggara • Sebagian besar Jawa Prakiraan Angin Tanggal 13 April 2013 jam 07. 00 WIB Peluang Hujan Sedang : • Sumatera bagian utara • Beberapa tempat di Pesisir Peluang Hujan Lebat • Beberapa tempat di Sumatera Barat Sumatera bagian selatan • Kalimantan bagian barat dan tengah • Sulawesi bagian utara dan tengah • Maluku bagian utara dan tengah • Papua bagian barat dan tengah • Bali dan NTB • Jawa bagian tengah dan timur • Beberapa tempat Sulawesi bagian utara bagian tengah • Beberapa tempat di Maluku bagian utara dan tengah • Beberapa tempat di Papua bagian tengah • Beberapa tempat di Bali dan NTB • Beberapa tempat di Jawa bagian tengah dan timur Angin di wilayah Indonesia secara umum bertiup dari arah Tenggara – Barat Daya, kecuali wilayah Sulawesi bagian Tengah, Tenggara dan Selatan, Bali dan Nusa Tenggara serta Jawa bagian Tengah dan Timur dari Timur Laut – Timur dengan kecepatan angin umumnya berkisar antara 05 – 15 knots (09 – 27 km/jam). Kecepatan angin ≥ 15 knot (≥ 27 km/jam) : - Samudera Hindia sebelah Barat Sumatera hingga Selatan NTT - Laut Andaman - Laut Cina Selatan - Samudra Pasifik Timur Filipina Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika
WINDWAVE FORECAST (SEVEN DAYS IN ADVANCE)
BMKG CHALLENGES, PRESSURE, AND CHALLENGES
BMKG GEOGRAPHICAL CONDITION Tropical Area, Warm and humid 70% area is water, Sea-land interaction Ring of fire, Earthquake and volcanoes Scale of disaster Temporal and spatial scales
Observation Network
Map of Seismisity
Statistic of Disaster in Indonesia 24
DISASTER WARNING CALENDER AND PREPAREDNESS DISASTER/ TRIGER Flood/ Heavy Rainfall WARNING DOCUMENT Map of Potential of Flood (3 Months in advence) BMKG Landslide/ Heavy Rainfall Map of Potential of Landslide (Agency of Geology–ESDM) Mini Twister/ Heavy Wind Map of Cloud (Cb) distribution from Weather Radar (2 hours in advance) – BMKG High Wave/ Heavy Wind Map of Potential of Forest Fire (2 days in advance) Earthquake (Tectonic) Location and magnitude of earthquake Earthquake (Vulcanic) Location and magnitude of earthquake Tsunami Information of Potential of Tsunami WARNING By BMKG PREP. TIME DEC – JAN – FEB OCTOBER NOVEMBER AUGUST – SEPT JULY MAR – AUGUST MAR – MEY MAR – JUN BMKG Map of Potential of High Wave (7 days in advance) Forest Fire/ Drought (Less rainfall) PERIODE OF OCCURANCE (NORMAL) BMKG ALL YEAR LONG 25
BMKG INTERNAL FACTOR Observation Network, Data completeness, Human Resources, Technology, Communication, Model/Accuracy, Timeliness, Research areas, Funding
BMKG EXTERNAL FACTOR Providers, Available through internet, Various user needs, Public understanding, Low enforcement, Cooperation, Evaluation, Accessibility
AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS (BMKG) JL. ANGKASA I NO. 2 KEMAYORAN JAKARTA PUSAT – INDONESIA 10720 TEL: +6221 -4246321, +6221 -6546315 (WEATHER) , +6221 -6546316 (EARTHQUAKE) FAX. : +6221 -4246703 http: //www. bmkg. go. id 28
AREA RESPONSIBILITY OF JAKARTA - TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTER
Citra Satelit Cuaca 23 April 2008 – 07. 00 WIB Badai Tropis “DURGA” Badai Tropis “ROSIE”
DAMPAK BADAI ”DURGA” TERHADAP CUACA DI INDONESIA : Potensi hujan sedang - lebat dan angin kencang (kec. 36 km/jam) di sekitar Pesisir Barat Sumatera bagian Selatan dan Pesisir Selatan Jawa bagian Barat. Badai Tropis “DURGA”
JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
PROVINCIAL WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
CAPITAL CITIES WEATHER FORECAST (DAILY)
THREE DAYS WEATHER OUTLOOK (TWO TIMES/WEEK)
ONE WEEK WEATHER OUTLOOK (TWICE A WEEK)
- Slides: 36