Backcasting exercise I Problem orientation Stakeholder analysis Baseline

Backcasting exercise I. Problem orientation Stakeholder analysis Baseline analysis II. Vision development Scenario development Driver analysis Elaboration of vision III. Backcasting analysis Preparing presentation

1 hour Problem orientation • Define the goal of the study • Define time scope • Define system boundaries 1 hour Stakeholder analysis • Identify stakeholders • Map stakeholders on stakeholder grid Wed 1 hour Baseline analysis • Provide general overview of the system • Identify key problems • Identify societal needs 2 hours Elaboration of vision • Elaborate set of criteria to describe vision • Specify developed criteria (propose measurable indicators to make them ’tickable’) Driver analysis 1 hour Thu 3 hours Fri + Mon • Identify main drivers • Map drivers on impact/uncertainty plane • Select key uncertainties and trends Scenario development • Generate scenarios • Evaluate developed scenarios across developed criteria • Test developed scenarios against key uncertainties • Decide on which scenario to select (mix is possible) 6 hours Backcasting analysis • Identify what changes (C, S, T) are needed • Identify how these changes can be achieved • Identify who (which stakeholders) are needed • Identify drivers and barriers for developed pathway • Map proposed changes along the timeline Preparing presentation TOTAL Tue 3 hours + Wed 18 hours