Assessing Risk The clock is ticking Risk Assessment

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Assessing Risk The clock is ticking…

Assessing Risk The clock is ticking…

Risk Assessment n What is it? Elements of Prediction l l l Measurability Vantage

Risk Assessment n What is it? Elements of Prediction l l l Measurability Vantage Context Imminence Experience Comparable Events Objectivity Investment Replicability Knowledge PINs

Why do it? n Makes a prediction of an individual’s future acts. Consistent with

Why do it? n Makes a prediction of an individual’s future acts. Consistent with psychology’s role in a variety of settings.

How do we do it? n JACA Justification l Alternatives/ Options l Consequences l

How do we do it? n JACA Justification l Alternatives/ Options l Consequences l n Good n Bad l Access

Justification - 1 st hurdle Does the individual have subjective justification? Or have they

Justification - 1 st hurdle Does the individual have subjective justification? Or have they justified a reason that they should do the aggressive act? n “I warned her what would happen and she did it anyway. ” n

Alternatives Do they have options other than acting out aggressively? n i. e. “I

Alternatives Do they have options other than acting out aggressively? n i. e. “I am calling my lawyer and will have your job” vs. “No one can help now!” n The second is a much more threatening response. n

Consequences Does the individual identify any rewards or negative consequences to being aggressive or

Consequences Does the individual identify any rewards or negative consequences to being aggressive or violent? n Examples of concerning responses would include “I can do jail time. ” or “I might get caught but it would feel good!” n

Access Does the individual have access to carrying out the threat? n We typically

Access Does the individual have access to carrying out the threat? n We typically assume access is present. Just because we don’t think they will actually build a nuclear bomb, they might Google search and find they have everything for a pipe bomb. n

Case Summary

Case Summary

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Clock Generation Distribution Clock Generation Single phase clockClock Generation Distribution Clock Generation Single phase clock
Clock Management Clock Management Agenda Visible Game ClockClock Management Clock Management Agenda Visible Game Clock
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Discussion Items Clock Clock distribution Local clock PCDiscussion Items Clock Clock distribution Local clock PC
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Clock Ticking A Cyber Event The impact onClock Ticking A Cyber Event The impact on
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