Artificial Intelligence Part 1 Is it time to

Artificial Intelligence Part 1: Is it time to panic yet? Or “What just happened? !! Part of the monthly series: “The World Future We Need” Mike Ignatowski Feb 19 th, 2017 Mike. Ignatowski@gmail. com Understanding. The. Future. org

Questions for Alexa • tell me a joke • tell me a dirty joke • talk like yoda • spell --- • What happened today • what happened today in history • open ocean sounds • play jeopardy • start movie quotes • tell me a Chuck Norris joke • open the pod bay doors • tell me something interesting

1900 No: Powered flight Theory of atoms Knowledge of DNA or antibiotics

100 Years Later

What will Happen to that Rate of Change this Century?

Or Will it Be ?

Examples of Big Changes since just 2000 n Google’s stock is now at $846. In 2000 it was…. n Wikipedia contains 40 million articles. In 2000 it had…. . Zero n Facebook has 1. 86 billion active users. In 2000 it had… Zero n You. Tube has 1. 3 billion users. In 2000 it had…. Zero n There are over 2 billion smart phones. In 2000 it was… Still 7 Nonexistent years in the future

What is Artificial Intelligence? Computers doing things that we would call “intelligent” if a human did them. But can computers really think? Can a submarine swim?

History of AI n 1818 Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein n 1950 Alan Turing and the Turing test n 1950 Isaac Asimov published Three Laws of Robotics 1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm. 2. A robot must obey the orders given it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the First Law. 3. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws

History of AI n 1965 Joseph Weizenbaum built ELIZA n AI winter of 1970 s-1980 s n n n 1997 The Deep Blue chess machine defeats the world chess champion, Garry Kasparov. 2002 i. Robot's Roomba autonomously vacuums the floor while navigating and avoiding obstacles. 2004 NASA's robotic exploration roves Spirit and Opportunity autonomously navigate on Mars.

History of AI n 2009 Google builds first self driving car n 2010 Apple Siri becomes available n 2011 IBM's Watson computer wins at Jeopardy! n 2012 Neural Networks & GPUs n 2012 Google, Facebook, Microsoft invest heavily n n 2014 Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, and Bill Gates Warn About Artificial Intelligence 2015 Amazon Echo arrives

History of AI - 2016 n n n 2016 Google Deep. Mind's Alpha Go defeated top human Go player 2016 Open. AI non-profit started by Elon Musk 2016 Partnership on Artificial Intelligence to Benefit People and Society – Google, Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, IBM, Apple n 2016 Obama White House report on AI n 2016 Google “All AI” corporate strategy

History of AI - 2017 n 2017 (Jan) IBM “betting the company on AI” n 2017 (Jan) Asilomar Conference on Beneficial AI n 2017 (Feb) Ford invests $1 Billion in Argo AI

Historical Asilomar Conferences 1975 Asilomar Conference on Recombinant DNA n voluntary guidelines to ensure the safety of recombinant DNA technology. 2017 Asilomar Conference on Beneficial AI n 23 voluntary principles guiding the ethical development and use of AI

White House Report on AI

Neural Networks Read these integers from an image: 0 l 4 6 7 8 Input (0/1) Output No circles One circle Two circles No lines One line Two lines Three lines + 0 + l + 4 + 6 + 7 + 8 These are neurons, with a value between 0 and 1

Deep Neural Networks Input Read these integers (0/1) from an image: No circles 0 l 4 6 7 8 One circle Two circles No lines One line Two lines Three lines Hidden Level Output + + + + 0 + l + 4 + 6 + 7 + 8 GPU These are neurons, with a value between 0 and 1

Application of AI 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Voice recognition Image recognition Language translation Knowledge retrieval, personal assistant Elder care Education Safety / security / visual monitoring / crime prevention Legal Advice & Financial Planning Stock speculation Fact checking on fake news

Applications of AI n Transportation Navigation Assistance n Emergency Breaking n Lange Change Warning n Parallel Parking n n Self Driving Cars

Health Care Diagnosis n Evaluating symptoms n Xrays, breast cancer, skin cancer Rate of new information surpasses ability of humans to assimilate n There are 400, 000 articles (2 million pages) published in medical journals each year n There are more than 800 medicines and vaccines to treat cancer alone n IBM Watson health care project n Microsoft project "Hanover” will memorize all the papers necessary to treat cancer recommend a combinations of drugs for each patient. Robotic Surgery

Big Concerns with AI 1. Economic disruption and unemployment 4 th Industrial Revolution (and most disruptive) “Coal to Code” example 2. Weaponized AI / terrorism Self Driving vehicles, etc… 3. Abuse by totalitarian governments Extreme monitoring of everything 4. Unknown risks from superintelligence Is this our last invention?

Other Future Topics: • Evolution of cooperation • Technology and unemployment • Optimism - Why 2016 was the best year in the history of humanity • The Great Turning - Ideas from Joanna Macy and David Korten • The changing myths of our place in the universe • Exponentially increasing rates of change and the implications • The modern problem of stone-age instincts and supernormal stimuli • Moral instincts, tribalism, meaning, and religion • Systems view of the world and emerging properties • Economic growth, past, future, and inequality • "Managing the Commons" - Moving beyond the old categories of capitalism, socialism, and communism towards what's really important • The future of Artificial Intelligence and its implications • The future of Synthetic Biology and its implications

Contact Information Mike Ignatowski Email: mike. ignatowski@gmail. com Blog: Understanding. The. Future. org (These charts will be available on my blog)

Stone Age Emotions (Here)

Stone Age Emotions

Stone Age Emotions