Arctic system framework WG 12 Modifications to Arctic

“Arctic system framework” WG 1+2

Modifications to Arctic System Framework Diagram • Focus previously on models • We broadened the focus, modeling is just among several parallel paths, e. g. process study, observation, data analysis • Collaborative platform (not just IT) is critical— e. g. , communication among researchers, input to policy, evaluation, education, “knowledge exchange” • Emphasis on key higher-level products, solutions, feedback

Collaborative platform • Data borderlands, specific tools for interconnecting disciplinary work • Frameworks that facilitate communication between disciplines—human resources, connections among researchers • Break the work down into definable unit or tasks; build step-by-step on a few “wins” • An Arctic Synthesis Center to focus on these issues? Or a virtual ASC?

Collaborative platform • Next-generation e-journal(s) with appropriately licensed/open-source models, modules, data • A forum (reward structure? communication tool? ) for sharing ideas and progress as work unfolds, even before publication • Attention to global context and research outside the Arctic

Collaborative platform—IT • An information system that allows us to track products that have been achieved – Communication, data providers—data users – Access to data – Integration across fields, geographies

Observations, process study, data analysis • “Understanding” system involves past, present, future—observations, process studies and models/predictions – Models are tools, not always ascendant – Synthesis itself is a tool, not a goal – Understanding is the goal • In social science and other fields, data analysis is important

Observations, process study, data analysis • Different time frames for advancing our understanding – near-term steps: observation, data analysis, process studies – Pie-in-the-sky future steps: achieve an accurate & predictive Arctic system model

Products—science • Predictions, e. g. sea ice and its midlatitude impacts • Datasets • Interpretation, what do the data and models mean? • So what?

Products—action • Politicians will make decisions with or without science input – Science can provide informed conclusions to the policy process – Science can track, assess the consequences of policy decisions—a feedback path • Options for action, solutions – Within Arctic, engineering for permafrost decline – Globally, stabilize CO 2 – What Arctic residents can expect, how they might adapt

Impacts of doing science • What is the environmental impact of science? – Shishmaref, “poster child of Arctic change, ” has had many research teams visiting – What is our carbon footprint?

Feedbacks are products too • Feedback needed—to action, not just more science. What kind of action should result from our scientific insights? – Science outputs and policy recommendations really are “Products” – Education products as well; communication to public – Science can evaluate policy outcomes and provide continuing feedback

Feedbacks • What is the environmental impact of science? – Shishmaref, “poster child of Arctic change, ” has had many research teams visiting lately – What is our carbon footprint? – Encourage sustainability – Be aware of political dimensions