System assessment • • Part 1: Key issues and their causes (i. e. ‘controlling variables’) Part 2: Causal loop analysis of key issues (i. e. identifying ‘transformational interventions’ for the causes) and…. ……. How do the interventions address the SDGs? Part 3: Who should be involved? •
Part 1: key issues or barriers Step 1: List key issues Step 2: Rank them by importance
Part 2: causal loop analysis STEP 2 CAUSES (controlling variables) Indirect causes STEP 1 IMPACTS Direct causes Direct impacts Indirect impacts _ Cause Impact 1 Cause Impact Impact Cause Key issue Cause Impact Cause 2 Cause 3 + Impact STEP 4 INTERVENTIONS TO STEP 3 FEEDBACK LOOPS BREAK VICIOUS CYCLES AND TACKLE CONTROLLING VARIABLES Note: positive (+) feedbacks AMPLIFY, negative (-) feedbacks DAMPEN
Example - overfishing STEP 2 CAUSES Indirect causes Fuel costs STEP 1 IMPACTS Direct causes Direct impacts 3. Population control Indirect impacts + Less cash Need for cash More children 3 Coral mining Culture 2 loss Less food Reef bombing No tourism Overfishing Fewer reefs No local 1 rules Fewer fish 1. Introduce local management 2. Restore culture STEP 4 INTERVENTIONS TO BREAK VICIOUS CYCLES AND TACKLE CONTROLLING VARIABLES Conflict + STEP 3 FEEDBACKS
Part 3: how do the interventions address the SDGs?