Ambisyon Natin 2040 Emerging Priority Development Indicators Director

Ambisyon. Natin 2040 & Emerging Priority Development Indicators Director Reynaldo R. Cancio National Policy and Planning Staff National Economic and Development Authority Country Workshop on the Philippine Data Revoluton Roadmap for the SDGs EDSA Shangri-la, Manila, 1 Garden Way, Ortigas Center 06 October 2016 1

Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century • Asia will nearly double its share of global GDP to over 50%. • Asia’s per capita income will rise sixfold from 2010 to 2050, higher than the global average W orld 38, 600 36, 600 Asia 26, 600 25, 400 19, 400 Figure 1: Asia’s share of global GDP, 1700 -2050 16, 500 14, 300 10, 700 10, 600 6, 600 2010 Source of basic data: ADB Publication – Asia 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 Figure 2: Projections of Per Capita GDP (constant 2010 PPP) of World vs Asia in 2050

Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century 107, 600 • 7 economies will lead Asia’s march to prosperity (South Korea, Japan, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand) 66 , 700 47 , 800 41 , 700 • The Philippines will be overtaken by India and Viet Nam; will be in the company of Mongolia and Cambodia. 37 , 400 33 , 800 26 , 900 22 , 700 Figure 3: Projections of Per Capita GDP (constant 2010 PPP) of Selected Asian Economies in 2050 Source of basic data: ADB Publication – Asia 2050

• • A long-term (25 years) vision of Filipinos. It is a vision, NOT a plan. An anchor for development planning across administrations. A guide for engaging with international development partners. 4

The Long-term Vision (LTV) process 1. Advisory Committee • composed of representatives from the government, private sector, the academe, and civil society guided the overall implementation of the visioning exercise v 2. Public consultations • 42 FGDs with marginalized groups (C. David) • National Survey (n=10, 000; PSRC) 3. Technical studies • Thematic study team organized (led by Dr. R. Clarete) 4. Communication & advocacy • Online social media engagement • Public forums 5

The Life We Want Matatag • • Living together with family Time with family and friends (work/life balance) Maginhawa • • Freedom from hunger and poverty Guaranteed mobility Secure home ownership Travel and vacation opportunities Panatag • Security of place • Resources adequate for day -to-day needs and unexpected expenses Passive income during retirement • 6

An overwhelming majority of Filipinos aspire for a simple and comfortable life… 3. 9 % Life of the Rich 16. 9 % Prosperous or Affluent Life 79. 2 % Simple and Comfortable Life 7

What is a “simple and comfortable” life ? Own at least one car Have enough money for dayto-day needs Own a medium-sized home Decent work All children are college-educated Relax with family and friends Business owner Able to take occasional trips around the country 8

What is a simple & comfortable life? P 120, 000 Gross Monthly Income 5, 000 Own one car 25, 000 10, 000 Income Tax All children are college-educated 40, 000 Have enough money for day-to-day needs 30, 000 Own a medium-sized home 4, 000 Relax with family and friends 6, 000 Able to take occasional trips around the country 9

Vision for the Country: Hunger, local employment and poverty are the main economic issues that should be addressed No one is hungry All Filipinos have a chance for adequate. . No one is poor Everyone can go to college Everyone can get treatment when sick All Filipino families have their own house Everyone has modern lifestyle The country is a world leader in science I have here statements that people say are important for our economy). Which of the following is the most important condition the country should attain in the year 2040 (RANK 1)? Which is the second most important (RANK 2)? Which is the third most important (RANK 3)? Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)

Eradication of corruption is the most important aspect of government service that should be addressed Eradication of Corruption Fair enforcement of the law Fast and easy processes Order and Safety in the. . . Fast response towards. . . Enough avenues to be able. . . Slightly important Slightly not important Definitely not important Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)

Vision for Country “By 2040, the Philippines will be a prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor. Our peoples will enjoy long and healthy lives, are smart and innovative, and will live in a high-trust society”

From vision to action PDP 2017 -2022 PDP 2023 -2028 PDP 2029 -2034 PDP 2035 -2040 Vision • Requires strong ownership and buy-in by stakeholders and the country’s leaders over the next 25 years • Each plan must build on previous plan, not change it unnecessarily • Needs and preferences may change over time • Unexpected developments may arise (e. g. climate, science & technology)

From vision to action By 2040, Philippines will be: 20232028 20172022 20292034 20352040 1. A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor; 2. A healthy and resilient society; 3. A smart and innovative society, and 4. A high-trust society. 14

A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor; Sustain rapid growth; eradicate poverty; reduce inequality; promote knowledge-driven growth 20232028 20172022 20292034 20352040 Rapid growth; reduce inequality; expand the middle-class; improve efficiencies; transition to knowledgedriven growth Reduce poverty in all dimensions; eradicate extreme poverty; improve efficiencies Provide basis for demographic dividend; reduce inequality; reduce poverty in all dimensions; higher output and productivity; connectivity 15

A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor; Emerging priority indicators: Income per capita (average and median) Household disposable income per capita Percent of families that belong to middle-class Inequality indicator (Gini; share of top/bottom 20%) Multi-Dimension Poverty Index Poverty Incidence 16

A healthy and resilient society Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain expanded coverage and access to health care, , encourage wealth build-up and diversification, expand insurance cover 20232028 20172022 20292034 20352040 Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain expanded coverage and access to health care, encourage wealth build-up and diversification, expand insurance cover Reduce morbidity due to NCD; expand coverage of universal health care, Encourage wealth build-up, promote insurance cover Reduce IMR, U 5 MR, MMR, malnutrition rate, morbidity due to CD, expand access to health care, RH program, Promote income and wealth diversification 17

A healthy and resilient society Emerging priority indicators: Life expectancy at birth Infant mortality rate Maternal Mortality rate Morbidity due to Communicable Diseases Access to Health Care (i. e National Health Insurance Program Coverage rate) 18

A smart and innovative society Sustain learning opportunities; encourage R&D, creativity and innovation 20232028 20172022 20292034 20352040 Improve IPR framework; encourage STI Access to education, increase learning opportunities; increase tech adoption; strengthen IPR framework Continue education reforms in K-12, begin reforms in higher education Increase access to education (K-12, higher education); promote technology adoption 19

A smart and innovative society Emerging priority indicators: Net enrolment Rate Completion Rate Cohort Survival Rate 20

A high trust society Citizens living in peace and harmony; Proud of their national identity 20232028 20172022 20292034 20352040 Maintain harmony in diversity; maintain peace and order; Maintain national unity; Cultivate national pride Promote harmony in diversity; maintain peace and order; Promote national unity; create national brand Build trust in government; enforce peace and order; resume peace talks; Create social and cultural awareness; values formation 21

A high trust society Emerging priority indicators: Trust Index Number of Provinces Free from armed conflict Peace Agreement Implementation 22

bo di a ia C am go l on M et n am a Vi es i do n di a In In lip pi ne s na n Ja pa C hi Ph i So ut h Ko re a Asia 2050: We can change the future! The Philippines can join Asia’s march to prosperity!