Almost Certain Risk Review October 2017 Heat Map

Almost Certain Risk Review: October 2017 – Heat Map (Residual risk after mitigation) 2 5 6 3 1 Likely 12 13 6 11 4 Possible 8 7 High Unlikely 10 9 Rare Likelihood Extreme Low Moderate 1 Unsustainable projected deficit for FY 19. 2 3 Reduction in ANCP funding Emergency situations eventuate in program countries. 4 Challenges posed by the rapid scaleup of PNG operations. 5 6 Increase in supporter attrition. Failure to achieve supporter acquisition target. 7 Further degradation of civil society space by governments 8 Employee safety & security being compromised 9 Breaches in Child Safeguarding policy. 10 Fair Work Ombudsman Inquiry impact on Sector Insignificant Minor Moderate Major Consequence Risks that appeared last year as well are highlighted in blue Child. Fund Australia 11 Potential civil unrest during 2017 & 2018 Cambodia elections Severe 12 Major motor vehicle accidents 13. Major cyber attack

Expected Risk Review: October 2016 – Heat Map 1 7 Highly Likely 2 3 4 Likely 3 Unlikely 10 5 4 8 6 8 Minor Moderate Serious Consequence Child. Fund Australia Change in fundraiser regulations Employee safety security compromised 9 Serious fraud 10 Increased supporter attrition 11 Hive system challenges 11 Insignificant 5 6 7 9 NoneSlight Likelihood 1 2 Bank withdrawal of manual CC processing Further degrading of civil society in Laos Election violence in Cambodia Multilateral donor requirements compliance in PNG Emergency situation eventuating Major accident or UXO incident in Laos Major