AFP Vision 2028 A Worldclass Armed Forces Source

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“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” 13 th ASEAN

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” 13 th ASEAN MILITARY INTELLIGENCE INFORMAL MEETING (AMIIM-13) Armed Forces of the Philippines “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” “As we strive

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” “As we strive toward the full realization of the ASEAN Economic Community, Our region remains confronted with diverse security concerns that have brought about consequences of different magnitudes to Southeast Asia’s security…” These challenges have made it imperative that we further enhance defense and military cooperation Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Philippine Perspective on

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Philippine Perspective on Enhancing (AMIIM-13, Vientiane, Lao PDR, 11 -13 March 2016) ASEAN Military Intelligence Cooperation Armed Forces of the Philippines “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

SCOPE “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” v Regional

SCOPE “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” v Regional Challenges v Philippines’ Participation and Initiatives ü Multilateral ü Bilateral v Way Ahead v Conclusion Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES v Inter-state conflicts v Potential flashpoints v Transnational crimes v Terrorism v

REGIONAL CHALLENGES v Inter-state conflicts v Potential flashpoints v Transnational crimes v Terrorism v Human security v Effects of Globalization v Economic interdependence v Natural disasters v Climate change Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast Asia (SEA) demonstrates preference for multilateral approaches Transnational security issues cannot be resolved solely at the national level Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Terrorism

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Terrorism evolved due to the Islamic State’s (IS) growing influence v Increasing number of Southeast Asian fighters joining IS indicates its growing appeal ü v Allowed to expand its network in the region Islamic militant groups and personalities have joined the bandwagon and expressed support Al Baghdadi Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast Asia: a critical maritime region for commerce and resources v Southeast Asian waters as one of the world’s most important sea lines of communication (SLOCs) ü About $5. 3 trillion of global trade transits each year ü 60% of SEA’s population live in or rely economically on the region’s maritime zones Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Southeast Asian seas are sources of tension which put states at risk v Several Southeast Asian terrorist groups and pirates possess substantial seaborne capabilities v Common problems are poachers, smugglers, criminal syndicates and terrorists Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Territorial

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Territorial Disputes v Territorial disputes contribute to the tension in the region v Overriding concern on overlapping claims of some ASEAN states, Taiwan and China over the South China Sea (SCS) Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Territorial

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Territorial Disputes The creation of legally-binding Code of Conduct (Co. C) is an imperative mechanism to: v Prevent future conflict v Create more avenues and opportunities for genuine cooperation Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Potential

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Potential Flashpoint Korean Peninsula is a potential flashpoint with North Korea as a factor of instability Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Other

REGIONAL CHALLENGES “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Other potential flashpoints Taiwan Strait Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 East China Sea “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” PHILIPPINES’ PARTICIPATION AND

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” PHILIPPINES’ PARTICIPATION AND INITIATIVES Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” L Addressing

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” L Addressing security concerns require joint efforts and cooperation of ASEAN intelligence communities Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” L Armed

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” L Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) participates in HADR missions aimed at sharing experiences while enhancing skills Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA L “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP

MULTILATERA L “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP participates in various multilateral military intelligence activities Asia-Pacific Intelligence Chiefs Conference (APICC) Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA L “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP

MULTILATERA L “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP conducts regular meetings with the Foreign Armed Forces Attaché (FAFA) Corps Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Lv 26

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Lv 26 -30 September 2011: Inaugural ASEAN Militaries Analyst-to-Analyst Intelligence Exchange (AMAAIE) Conference in Manila Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” LASEAN Militaries

MULTILATERA “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” LASEAN Militaries Analyst-to-Analyst Intelligence Exchange (AMAAIE) v First of its kind to gather analysts and subject-matter experts v Served as a venue for the ASEAN analysts’ interaction, connectivity and collaboration v AMAAIE is already institutionalized 4 th AMAAIE is slated in Malaysia this 2016 Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

BILATERAL “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP’s commitment

BILATERAL “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” AFP’s commitment to regular conduct of Intelligence Exchanges (Intelexes) v Serve as platforms for discussion on: ü Security matters of mutual interest and concern ü Preventive measures to lessen impacts of threats to regional development v Philippines and China conduct exchanges despite maritime disputes Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations for enhancement of military intelligence cooperation: v Maintain conduct of intelexes and other regional mechanisms v Explore possibility of establishing AMAAIE-Plus ü Include major regional powers Ø Allow extensive network for sharing of expertise and best practices Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations for enhancement of military intelligence cooperation: v Set up hotlines and video teleconferences (VTCs) ü v possible future inclusion of major powers Serve as emergency lines of communication to expedite coordination and response during crisis situations Points of contact will be established and standard operating procedures (SOP) will be developed Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations for enhancement of military intelligence cooperation: v Possible development of an ASEAN intelligence analysts training courses/ seminars ü To develop strategic and analytical skills needed to deal with evolving security threats ü To create an extensive network among counterparts and foster closer interaction Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations

WAY AHEAD “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Recommendations for enhancement of military intelligence cooperation: v PHL to pursue conduct of Intelexes with the rest of ASEAN partners ü Create an avenue to intensify information exchange ü Expand network of collaboration ü Enhance bilateral defense and military relations Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

CONCLUSION v “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Complexity

CONCLUSION v “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Complexity of challenges cannot be understated ü Compelled to implement more stringent countermeasures ü Create favorable situation for all stakeholders ü Need to exert utmost efforts to achieve an integrated ASEAN Community ü Establish stronger networks ü Bolster line of communication ü Ensure more coordinated and immediate response to any contingencies Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

CONCLUSION v “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” The

CONCLUSION v “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” The need for regional response to avoid miscalculation ü Adherence to the principles of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) ü Pursuit for a legally-binding Code of Conduct (Co. C) Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

CONCLUSION “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Must find

CONCLUSION “AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Must find ways to maintain a stable regional framework and promote peace in the region Armed Forces of the Philippines Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, J 2 “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Thank You Armed

“AFP Vision 2028: A World-class Armed Forces, Source of National Pride” Thank You Armed Forces of the Philippines “AFP Core Values: Honor, Service,