A Spatial Model of Social Interactions Multiplicity of

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A Spatial Model of Social Interactions Multiplicity of Equilibria Pascal Mossay U of Reading,

A Spatial Model of Social Interactions Multiplicity of Equilibria Pascal Mossay U of Reading, UK Pierre Picard U of Manchester, UK CORE, Louvain-la-Neuve Paris, July 2009

Agglomeration Economies • Increasing Returns (New Economic Geography) Market Mechanism • Social Interactions Non-Market

Agglomeration Economies • Increasing Returns (New Economic Geography) Market Mechanism • Social Interactions Non-Market Mechanism

Aim of the Paper • Social Interactions Desire of face-to-face contacts • Framework Communication

Aim of the Paper • Social Interactions Desire of face-to-face contacts • Framework Communication Externality • Issues Emergence of Multiple Cities Shape and Spacing of Cities Market for Land

Related Literature • Beckmann (1976), Fujita & Thisse (2002) “Implication of Social Contacts on

Related Literature • Beckmann (1976), Fujita & Thisse (2002) “Implication of Social Contacts on Shape of Cities” • Wang, Berliant, (2006, JET) “Only 1 Agglomeration in Equilibrium” • Fujita & Ogawa (1980, 1982, RSUE) “Multiple center configurations – Multiple Equilibria” • Hesley & Strange (2007, J. Econ. Geogr. ) “Endogenous Number of Social Contacts” • Tabuchi (1986, RSUE) “First best city is more concentrated than the eqm”

Plan of the Talk • • Spatial Interaction Model along a Circle Spatial Equilibria

Plan of the Talk • • Spatial Interaction Model along a Circle Spatial Equilibria Characterization and Pareto-ranking First-best Distribution Robustness of Equilibria Local vs. Global Spatial Interactions

Spatial Interaction Model Beckmann (1976), Fujita and Thisse (2002) λ(x) x Space • Each

Spatial Interaction Model Beckmann (1976), Fujita and Thisse (2002) λ(x) x Space • Each agent located in x – Faces some residence cost – Benefits from face-to-face contacts with others – Faces some accessing cost

λ(x) Max U(z, s) z s r(x) λ(x) : consumption good : land consumption

λ(x) Max U(z, s) z s r(x) λ(x) : consumption good : land consumption : rent in location x : population in location x A : social interaction benefit d(x, y): distance between x and y τ : travelling cost

Max U(z, s) = z + u(s) z, s, x z s r(x) λ(x)

Max U(z, s) = z + u(s) z, s, x z s r(x) λ(x) : consumption good : land consumption : rent in location x : population in location x A : social interaction benefit d(x, y): distance between x and y τ : travelling cost λ(x)

 • Indirect Utility • Spatial Equilibrium • Trade-off Residence Cost Accessing Cost

• Indirect Utility • Spatial Equilibrium • Trade-off Residence Cost Accessing Cost

Spatial Equilibrium λ(x) -a X=0 • Agents in x=-a: Low Residence Cost Agents in

Spatial Equilibrium λ(x) -a X=0 • Agents in x=-a: Low Residence Cost Agents in x=0 : High Residence Cost a High Accessing Cost Low Accessing Cost • Spatial Equilibrium: All agents achieve the same utility level • Distribution

Proposition: No Multiple-City Configuration City 1 City 2 City 3 x • Consider some

Proposition: No Multiple-City Configuration City 1 City 2 City 3 x • Consider some agent in x By moving to his right, lower residence cost lower accessing cost Incentive to relocate

Spatial Interactions Along a Circle λ(x) • Agent density • Each agent - faces

Spatial Interactions Along a Circle λ(x) • Agent density • Each agent - faces a residence cost - benefits from face-to-face contacts - faces an accessing cost

A priori: Many Possible Configurations City 2 City 1 City 3 Large & Small

A priori: Many Possible Configurations City 2 City 1 City 3 Large & Small Cities City 3 Uneven Spacing

Characterization 1) Proposition: Cities can’t face each other “No Antipodal Cities” • At location

Characterization 1) Proposition: Cities can’t face each other “No Antipodal Cities” • At location x, by moving to the right marginal residence cost > 0 => Pop(east)> Pop(west) West x X+1/2 East • At location x+1/2, by moving clockwise marginal residence cost > 0 => Pop(west)> Pop(east)

Characterization 2) The number of Cities can’t be even P 1 P 4 x

Characterization 2) The number of Cities can’t be even P 1 P 4 x 1 P 2 • At location x 1: P 4=P 2+P 3 • At location x 3: P 4=P 1+P 2 x 4 • But then P 1=P 3 • Similarly, P 4=P 2 x 3 P 3 • Thus P 1=0

Characterization 3) Cities of equal size & evenly spaced • Proposition: An odd number

Characterization 3) Cities of equal size & evenly spaced • Proposition: An odd number of Equal & Evenly Spaced is a Spatial Equilibrium.

City 1 x City 2 City 3

City 1 x City 2 City 3

x

x

x

x

Robustness of Spatial Equilibria • Proposition: Spatial Adjustments towards higher utility neighborhoods leads back

Robustness of Spatial Equilibria • Proposition: Spatial Adjustments towards higher utility neighborhoods leads back to eqm

Pareto-Ranking • Consider a Spatial Equilibrium with M cities V(M)= - (resid. Cost +

Pareto-Ranking • Consider a Spatial Equilibrium with M cities V(M)= - (resid. Cost + intra-city cost + inter-city cost) decreases with M increases with M • V(M) decreases with M • Proposition: M=1 is the “best” equilibrium

Social Optimum First-Best Equilibrium

Social Optimum First-Best Equilibrium

Social Optimum • In the decentralized equilibrium, agents do not internalize the other agents’

Social Optimum • In the decentralized equilibrium, agents do not internalize the other agents’ interaction cost [see Tabuchi (1986), Fujita-Thisse(2002)] • The Spatial Planner will build a city that is more concentrated than the equilibrium allocation

Localized Interactions (x-n, x+n) X-n x X+n • Consider an agent in location x

Localized Interactions (x-n, x+n) X-n x X+n • Consider an agent in location x moving to the right - faces a higher residence cost - gets closer to people at his right - further away from people at his left - gets access to “new” agents - looses access to some agents

Local vs Global Spatial Interactions Global Inter. Single Spatial Scale Local Inter. Multiple Spatial

Local vs Global Spatial Interactions Global Inter. Single Spatial Scale Local Inter. Multiple Spatial Scales

Conclusion • Along a circle, multiple cities emerge • Characterization: equal-size, evenly spaced •

Conclusion • Along a circle, multiple cities emerge • Characterization: equal-size, evenly spaced • Pareto-ranking: 1 -city > 2 -city > 3 -city >… • Robustness wrt small initial perturbations • Local Interactions=>multiple spatial scales