5 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND WAR International Institutions and

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5 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND WAR

5 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND WAR

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective Security

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective Security

International Institutions and Security Cooperation Sources of order in international relations 1. Alliances 2.

International Institutions and Security Cooperation Sources of order in international relations 1. Alliances 2. Collective security

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective Security

Alliances • States commit to security cooperation • Types of alliances • Alliances are

Alliances • States commit to security cooperation • Types of alliances • Alliances are commitments by states to cooperate on security policy.

Alliances

Alliances

Alliances are costly • Commitment of blood and treasure to defend another • -

Alliances are costly • Commitment of blood and treasure to defend another • - Must be upheld to be credible, even if defeat is likely • - Alliances limit freedom, as consultation with allies is necessary before taking action or making decisions • - An emboldened ally may entrap protector in conflict; for example, some fear that an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities would drag the United States into a regional war and potential nuclear conflict

Alliances Why form alliances? • Weak state may gain protection from powerful rivals •

Alliances Why form alliances? • Weak state may gain protection from powerful rivals • - Strong state may signal its resolve to defend weak state • - Combining resources may economize, allowing greater defense • - Can temper conflicts (for example, Greece and Turkey in NATO) • - Can formalize a sphere of influence (for example, the Warsaw Pact)

Alliances and the balance of power • Balancing results in roughly equal blocs •

Alliances and the balance of power • Balancing results in roughly equal blocs • - Small states seek to avoid domination by alliance leader • - Alliance with strong state threatens state freedom • Balancing does not explain alliance formation • Other explanations of alliance formation • - Bandwagoning: when states join winning side (for example, Italy in World War II) • - Affinity: shared culture, ideology, or religion • Powerful states do not always generate opposing alliances.

Alliances Figure 5. 1: An Alignment of Interests

Alliances Figure 5. 1: An Alignment of Interests

Alliances • • European alliances Toward the end of the nineteenth century, Germany emerged

Alliances • • European alliances Toward the end of the nineteenth century, Germany emerged as a single power. Early twentieth-century states formed contending alliances in response to this rising German power. • • • The alliance pattern contributed to the outbreak of World War I: Small conflicts escalated. Alliances created incentives for preventive war. Major powers became dependent on allies. The larger number of states increased chances of miscalculation. • The interwar period posed similar problems.

Alliances in the 1920 s and 30 s did not prevent World War II.

Alliances in the 1920 s and 30 s did not prevent World War II. • Britain did not support France when Germany challenged the harsh peace of the Treaty of Versailles. • French alliances with Eastern Europe lacked credibility. • Britain, France, and the Soviet Union did not form an alliance against Germany. • Bandwagoning and ideological differences • - The Soviet/German Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact of 1939 divided Poland between the two countries • - Soviets jumped on the German bandwagon

Alliances

Alliances

Alliances Figure 5. 2: Alignments, Alliances, and Interstate Bargaining

Alliances Figure 5. 2: Alignments, Alliances, and Interstate Bargaining

Alliances State A State B The object of contention (the green line) can be

Alliances State A State B The object of contention (the green line) can be anything over which states are in conflict.

Alliances Status quos that A will defend Status quos that B will defend A

Alliances Status quos that A will defend Status quos that B will defend A B (B’s ideal point) (A’s ideal point) Pre-alliance bargaining range

Alliances: C Allies with B Status quos that A will defend Status quos that

Alliances: C Allies with B Status quos that A will defend Status quos that B will defend A B (B’s ideal point) (A’s ideal point) (C’s ideal point) Pre-alliance bargaining range

Alliances: C Allies with B Status quos that A will challenge Status quos that

Alliances: C Allies with B Status quos that A will challenge Status quos that B will challenge A B (B’s ideal point) (A’s ideal point) (C’s ideal point) New bargaining range

Alliances

Alliances

Alliances Map 5. 1: NATO Expansion, 1949– 2009

Alliances Map 5. 1: NATO Expansion, 1949– 2009

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective

International Institutions and War 1. International Institutions and Security Cooperation 2. Alliances 3. Collective Security

Collective Security A public good

Collective Security A public good

Collective Security Likely to be undersupplied

Collective Security Likely to be undersupplied

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of

Collective Security • • • Institutional Structure Power on the Security Council Types of Enforcement Peacekeeping Success Stories Complications

Collective Security Expanded role in the post–Cold War era

Collective Security Expanded role in the post–Cold War era

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security Table 5. 1: Top Contributors to UN Peacekeeping Operations, January 2012

Collective Security Table 5. 1: Top Contributors to UN Peacekeeping Operations, January 2012

Collective Security Table 5. 2: The United Nations during and after the Cold War

Collective Security Table 5. 2: The United Nations during and after the Cold War

Collective Security Figure 5. 3: Allied Troop Contributions to the Persian Gulf War, 1990–

Collective Security Figure 5. 3: Allied Troop Contributions to the Persian Gulf War, 1990– 1991

Map 5. 2: UN Peacekeeping Operations Active in 2012 Collective Security

Map 5. 2: UN Peacekeeping Operations Active in 2012 Collective Security

Collective Security Map 5. 3: Ethnic Divisions in the Former Yugoslavia

Collective Security Map 5. 3: Ethnic Divisions in the Former Yugoslavia

Collective Security

Collective Security

Collective Security Figure 5. A: Total Size of UN Peacekeeping Forces, 1946– 2012

Collective Security Figure 5. A: Total Size of UN Peacekeeping Forces, 1946– 2012

Collective Security • Institutions such as NATO can be a source of peace through

Collective Security • Institutions such as NATO can be a source of peace through credible deterrence. • The UN is most successful when strong states agree, and when at least one strong state takes an interest in the conflict and is willing to pay costs.