2018 2020 Demand Resource Plan Final Resource Acquisition

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2018 – 2020 Demand Resource Plan Final Resource Acquisition Model Results Vermont Public Utilities

2018 – 2020 Demand Resource Plan Final Resource Acquisition Model Results Vermont Public Utilities Commission August 2, 2017

Agenda 1. Electric Resource Acquisition (RA) Model results a. b. c. d. e. f.

Agenda 1. Electric Resource Acquisition (RA) Model results a. b. c. d. e. f. g. Budget Annual Incremental MWh goals Cumulative MWh Savings by Customer Sector Saving by major end use First year cost of Saved Energy Total Resource Benefit (TRB) 2. Electric Development & Support Services (DSS) Plan & Budget 3. Electric QPIs and MPRs 4. TEPF Resource Acquisition & DSS 5. TEPF QPIs and MPRs 6. Questions & next steps? ?

Electric RA Model Results BED Approved Budget & Annual incremental MWh goals 3 000

Electric RA Model Results BED Approved Budget & Annual incremental MWh goals 3 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 1 500 6 000 1 000 4 000 500 2 000 - 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Ann. MWH Goals RA Budget (Filing) RA Budget (Deflated) Ann. MWH Goals Budget (000's) 2 500

Electric RA Model Results MWh Load w/ and w/o New EE 390 000 5,

Electric RA Model Results MWh Load w/ and w/o New EE 390 000 5, 40% 370 000 330 000 3, 40% 310 000 290 000 2, 40% 270 000 1, 40% 250 000 230 000 0, 40% Percent of Load Historical Load & FCST Load no EE FCST MWh Load w New EE EE as % of Load 4, 40% 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 20 22 20 23 20 24 20 25 20 26 20 27 20 28 20 29 20 30 20 31 20 32 20 33 20 34 20 35 20 36 Ann. MWh Load 350 000

Electric RA Model results Budget by Sector (2018$) 3 000 2 500 000 2

Electric RA Model results Budget by Sector (2018$) 3 000 2 500 000 2 000 1 500 000 1 000 500 000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Commercial Residential

Electric RA Model results Historical Ann. MWh (Actual Savings) vs. FCST Ann. MWH goals

Electric RA Model results Historical Ann. MWh (Actual Savings) vs. FCST Ann. MWH goals 8000 7000 6000 MWh Savings 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2013 2016 2019 2022 Historical Ann. MWh 2025 FCST Ann. MWh 2028 2031 2034 2037

Electric RA Model Results Ann. Incremental Savings by Sector 7000 6000 Ann MWH Savings

Electric RA Model Results Ann. Incremental Savings by Sector 7000 6000 Ann MWH Savings 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Commercial Residential

Electric RA Model Results Cumulative MWh Savings 80 000 70 000 60 000 MWh

Electric RA Model Results Cumulative MWh Savings 80 000 70 000 60 000 MWh 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

Electric RA Model Results Ann. MWh savings (Residential major end uses) 2 000 1

Electric RA Model Results Ann. MWh savings (Residential major end uses) 2 000 1 800 1 600 MWh Savings 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Refrigeration Clothes Washer/Dryer Dishwasher Electronics Hot Water Pool/Spa Lighting Ventiliation HVAC Shell HVAC Equipment Behavioral ER Refrigeration ER Clothes Washer/Dryer ER Hot Water ER HVAC Equipment

Electric RA Model Results Ann. MWh Savings (Commercial major end uses) 5 000 4

Electric RA Model Results Ann. MWh Savings (Commercial major end uses) 5 000 4 500 4 000 Ventilation 3 500 MWH Savings 3 000 2 500 Lighting Interior 2 000 1 500 1 000 Lighting Exterior 500 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

Electric RA Model Results First Yr Cost of Saved Energy $ 384 $ 382

Electric RA Model Results First Yr Cost of Saved Energy $ 384 $ 382 $ 380 $/ MWh $ 378 $ 376 $ 374 $ 372 $ 370 $ 368 2019 2020

Electric RA Model Results BED Summer & Winter CP MW Goals 1, 20 1,

Electric RA Model Results BED Summer & Winter CP MW Goals 1, 20 1, 00 0, 80 0, 60 0, 40 0, 20 0, 00 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Summer CP MW Winter CP MW Goal

Electric RA Model Results BED Ann Total Resource Benefits (all sectors) $ 14 000

Electric RA Model Results BED Ann Total Resource Benefits (all sectors) $ 14 000 $ 12 000 $ 10 000 $ 8 000 $ 6 000 $ 4 000 $ 2 000 $2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

Electric Development & Support services 2018 2019 2020 3 Year Total Education & Training

Electric Development & Support services 2018 2019 2020 3 Year Total Education & Training $43, 000 $43, 900 $44, 800 $131, 700 Applied R&D $14, 000 $14, 300 $14, 600 $42, 900 Planning & Reporting $69, 000 $70, 300 $71, 700 $211, 000 Evaluation $23, 000 $23, 500 $24, 000 $70, 500 Policy & Public Affairs $13, 100 $13, 300 $13, 500 $39, 900 Information Tech $14, 500 $14, 800 $15, 100 $44, 400 General $53, 890 $55, 000 $56, 100 $164, 990 $230, 490 $235, 100 $239, 800 $705, 390 Total

TEPF Budget and Goals • • 15 to 18 projects annually, mostly residential Non

TEPF Budget and Goals • • 15 to 18 projects annually, mostly residential Non natural gas customers Limited market Does not include VERMOD

TEPF DSS budget 2018 2019 2020 3 Yr. Total Education & Training $3, 400

TEPF DSS budget 2018 2019 2020 3 Yr. Total Education & Training $3, 400 $3, 500 $3, 600 $10, 500 Applied R&D $750 $800 $2, 350 Planning and Reporting $1, 105 $1, 100 $3, 305 Evaluation $750 $800 $2, 350 Policy and Public Affairs $1, 000 $3, 000 IT $750 $800 $2, 350 General Administration $2, 600 $2, 700 $2, 800 $8, 100 Total $10, 355 $10, 700 $10, 900 $31, 955

Quantifiable Performance Indicators

Quantifiable Performance Indicators

Electric Min Performance Requirements

Electric Min Performance Requirements

TEPF Performance Indicators

TEPF Performance Indicators

• Questions ?

• Questions ?