1 Typhoon Climate Services Deliverables 1 China Typhoon
1 Typhoon Climate Services Deliverables: 1. China Typhoon landfall catalogue 2. Landfall event generator 3. Seasonal forecasts 1 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
1. China Typhoon Landfall Catalogue 540 Typhoons, 1949 -2016 Latitude Longitude Minimum pressure Maximum wind speed Radius 33 m/s Radius 26 m/s Radius 18 m/s Integrated kinetic energy Rain rate within 500 km 2 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
2. Stochastic typhoon landfall generator 1. Poisson landfall frequency 2. Intensity lognormal 3. Intensity mean/std f (lat. ) 4. Size f (intensity and lat. ) 5. Rainfall (intensity and size ) 3 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
Landfall Typhoon simulation 4 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
Hong Kong 5 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
3. Typhoon Seasonal Forecast (last 12 months) 1. Statistical 1. Dynamical 6 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
Outreach • Catalogue and description on oasishub (Knowledge centre ? ) • Event generator and desription on oassihub (Knowledge centre ? ) • All free and open source • Bank of England (Insurance regulator): willing to ‘advertise’ outcomes and products to their newsletter & climate change scenario creation for the market & physical cause of clustering • Swiss Re : 5 year outlook 7 A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon 2020 Insurance www. h 2020 insurance. oasishub. co
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